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Joint modelling of longitudinal observations and event times continues to remain a topic of considerable interest in biomedical research. For example, in HIV studies, the longitudinal bio-marker such as CD4 cell count in a patient's blood…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-19 Srimanti Dutta , Arindom Chakraborty , Dipankar Bandyopadhyay

Mental stress is a largely prevalent condition known to affect many people and could be a serious health concern. The quality of human life can be significantly improved if mental health is properly managed. Towards this, we propose a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-23 Muhammad Majid , Aamir Arsalan , Syed Muhammad Anwar

In the sparse normal means model, coverage of adaptive Bayesian posterior credible sets associated to spike and slab prior distributions is considered. The key sparsity hyperparameter is calibrated via marginal maximum likelihood empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Ismael Castillo , Botond Szabo

The progression-free survival ratio (PFSr) is a widely used measure in personalized oncology trials. It evaluates the effectiveness of treatment by comparing two consecutive event times - one under standard therapy and one under an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Merle Munko , Simon Mack , Marc Ditzhaus , Stefan Fröhling , Dennis Dobler , Dominic Edelmann

Zhang (2019) presented a general estimation approach based on the Gaussian distribution for general parametric models where the likelihood of the data is difficult to obtain or unknown, but the mean and variance-covariance matrix are known.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-15 Ángel Felipe , María Jaenada , Pedro Miranda , Leandro Pardo

Probabilistic dependency graphs (PDGs) are a flexible class of probabilistic graphical models, subsuming Bayesian Networks and Factor Graphs. They can also capture inconsistent beliefs, and provide a way of measuring the degree of this…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Oliver E. Richardson , Joseph Y. Halpern , Christopher De Sa

This paper presents a two-step Bayesian framework for the estimation of the intrinsic single crystal elastic stiffness parameters from the measurements of spherical indentation stress-strain responses in multiple individual grains of a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-05-07 Andrew Castillo , Surya R. Kalidindi

Within the performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) framework, the fragility model plays a pivotal role. Such a model represents the probability that the engineering demand parameter (EDP) exceeds a certain safety threshold given a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-02 X. Zhu , M. Broccardo , B. Sudret

In regression analysis under artificial neural networks, the prediction performance depends on determining the appropriate weights between layers. As randomly initialized weights are updated during back-propagation using the gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Eunho Koo , Hyungjun Kim

This article proposes an efficient Bayesian inference for piecewise exponential hazard (PEH) models, which allow the effect of a covariate on the survival time to vary over time. The proposed inference methodology is based on a particle…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-01 Parfait Munezero

Modeling information spread through a network is one of the key problems of network analysis, with applications in a wide array of areas such as marketing and public health. Most approaches assume that the spread is governed by some…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Alexander Kagan , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) are used as statistical models in many disciplines. However, intractable likelihood functions for SDEs make inference challenging, and we need to resort to simulation-based techniques to estimate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-12 Grant Schneider , Peter F. Craigmile , Radu Herbei

This paper deals with Bayesian estimations of scale parameter of the exponential distribution based on upper record range (Rn). This has been done in two steps; point and interval. In the first step the quadratic, squared error and absolute…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-26 P. Nasiri , S. Hosseini , M. Yarmohammadi , F. Hatami

Because of the non-uniformity of the electric power CPS network and the dynamic nature of the risk propagation process, it is difficult to quantify the critical point of a cyber risk explosion. From the perspective of the dependency…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-13 Zhaoyang Qu , Yu Zhang , Nan Qu , Lei Wang , Yang Li , Yunchang Dong

In this paper we study first-passage percolation in the configuration model with empirical degree distribution that follows a power-law with exponent $\tau \in (2,3)$. We assign independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.)\ weights to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Erwin Adriaans , Julia Komjathy

Diffraction-based stress analysis of textured materials depends on understanding their elastic heterogeneity and its influence on microscopic strain distributions, which is generally done by using simplifying assumptions for crystallite…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-05-23 Maximilian Krause , Nicola Simon , Claudius Klein , Jens Gibmeier , Thomas Böhlke

The spread of an epidemic process is considered in the context of a spatial SIR stochastic model that includes a parameter $0\le p\le 1$ that assigns weights $p$ and $1- p$ to global and local infective contacts respectively. The model was…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-29 Gabriel Fabricius , Alberto Maltz

Outliers can seriously distort statistical inference by inducing excessive sensitivity in the likelihood function, thereby compromising the reliability of Bayesian estimation. To address this issue, we develop a robust Bayesian estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Jeongho Lee , Junmo Song

The spatial variability of stress fields resulting from polycrystalline aggregate calculations involving random grain geometry and crystal orientations is investigated. A periodogram-based method is proposed to identify the properties of…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-19 Bruno Sudret , Hung Xuan Dang , Marc Berveiller , Asmahana Zeghadi , Thierry Yalamas

We consider first passage percolation on the Erd\H{o}s--R\'{e}nyi graph with $n$ vertices in which each pair of distinct vertices is connected independently by an edge with probability $\lambda/n$ for some $\lambda>1$. The edges of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Fraser Daly , Matthias Schulte , Seva Shneer