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Markov jump processes are continuous-time stochastic processes with a wide range of applications in both natural and social sciences. Despite their widespread use, inference in these models is highly non-trivial and typically proceeds via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Patrick Seifner , Ramses J. Sanchez

This paper examines impulsive non-autonomous systems with grazing periodic solutions. Surfaces of discontinuity and impact functions of the systems are not depending on the time variable. That is, we can say that the impact conditions are…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-03-08 Marat Akhmet , Aysegul Kivilcim

Stochastic point processes relevant to the theory of long-range aperiodic order are considered that display diffraction spectra of mixed type, with special emphasis on explicitly computable cases together with a unified approach of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-07-17 Michael Baake , Matthias Birkner , Robert V. Moody

We introduce a random intersection graph process aimed at modeling sparse evolving affiliation networks that admit tunable (power law) degree distribution and assortativity and clustering coefficients. We show the asymptotic degree…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-24 Mindaugas Bloznelis , Michal Karonski

Spectral singularities at non-zero frequencies play an important role in investigating cyclic or seasonal time series. The publication [2] introduced the generalized filtered method-of-moments approach to simultaneously estimate singularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-13 Antoine Ayache , Myriam Fradon , Ravindi Nanayakkara , Andriy Olenko

Discrete time trawl processes constitute a large class of time series parameterized by a trawl sequence (a j) j$\in$N and defined though a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) copies of a continuous time process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Paul Doukhan , François Roueff , Joseph Rynkiewicz

Dynamical scaling is an asymptotic property typical for the dynamics of first-order phase transitions in physical systems and related to self-similarity. Based on the integral-representation for the marginal probabilities of a fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-23 Markus Kreer

During the last decade Levy processes with jumps have received increasing popularity for modelling market behaviour for both derviative pricing and risk management purposes. Chan et al. (2009) introduced the use of empirical likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-16 Steven Kou , Tony Sit , Zhiliang Ying

We perform simulations for one dimensional continuous-time random walks in two dynamic random environments with fast (independent spin-flips) and slow (simple symmetric exclusion) decay of space-time correlations, respectively. We focus on…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-23 L. Avena , P. Thomann

The recent experimental progresses in handling microscopic systems have allowed to probe them at levels where fluctuations are prominent, calling for stochastic modeling in a large number of physical, chemical and biological phenomena. This…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-08 Stefano Bo , Antonio Celani

In this work, we consider systems that are subjected to intermittent instabilities due to external stochastic excitation. These intermittent instabilities, though rare, have a large impact on the probabilistic response of the system and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-06-02 Mustafa A. Mohamad , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers are a class of stochastic algorithms for Monte Carlo integral estimation w.r.t. probability distributions, which combine elements of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and importance sampling/resampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

In this paper we consider a stochastic process that may experience random reset events which bring suddenly the system to the starting value and analyze the relevant statistical magnitudes. We focus our attention on monotonous…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-01-21 Miquel Montero , Javier Villarroel

The question whether a time series behaves as a random walk or as a station- ary process is an important and delicate problem, particularly arising in financial statistics, econometrics, and engineering. This paper studies the problem to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Ansgar Steland

We study the behavior of the random walk in a continuum independent long-range percolation model, in which two given vertices $x$ and $y$ are connected with probability that asymptotically behaves like $|x-y|^{-\alpha}$ with $\alpha>d$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-30 Ercan Sönmez , Arnaud Rousselle

A general input-output modelling technique for aperiodic-sampling linear systems has been developed. The procedure describes the dynamics of the system and includes the sequence of sampling periods among the variables to be handled. Some…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2016-08-14 Amparo Fúster-Sabater , J. M. Guillén

Modeling turbulent flows by a random Fourier decomposition is a classical procedure in order to use simplified models of turbulence in heat transport and other applications. We carefully investigate the Fourier time series of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-05-14 Paolo Cifani , Franco Flandoli , Andrea Zanoni

The notion of asymptotic unpredictability was recently introduced in (Commun. Nonlinear Sci. Numer. Simul. 134, 108029, 2024) for semiflows. Likewise unpredictable trajectories, asymptotically unpredictable ones are also capable of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Mehmet Onur Fen , Fatma Tokmak Fen

This article introduces estimators of trend and seasonality for time series of point processes. We assume the point processes follow a temporal or spatial doubly-stochastic Poisson model with log-Gaussian intensity functions. The proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Daniel Gervini , Simon A. Kopischke

Temporal point processes offer a powerful framework for sampling from discrete distributions, yet they remain underutilized in existing literature. We show how to construct, for any target multivariate count distribution with…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Cameron A. Stewart , Maneesh Sahani
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