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The group membership prediction (GMP) problem involves predicting whether or not a collection of instances share a certain semantic property. For instance, in kinship verification given a collection of images, the goal is to predict whether…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-09-17 Ziming Zhang , Yuting Chen , Venkatesh Saligrama

We study the problem of conditional two-sample testing, which aims to determine whether two populations have the same distribution after accounting for confounding factors. This problem commonly arises in various applications, such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Seongchan Lee , Suman Cha , Ilmun Kim

Conformal unlearning aims to ensure that a trained conformal predictor miscovers data points with specific shared characteristics, such as those from a particular label class, associated with a specific user, or belonging to a defined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Yahya Alkhatib , Muhammad Ahmar Jamal , Wee Peng Tay

Conformal prediction has emerged as a widely used framework for constructing valid prediction sets in classification and regression tasks. In this work, we extend the split conformal prediction framework to hierarchical classification,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-13 Thomas Mortier , Alireza Javanmardi , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman

We propose Conformal Lie-group Action Prediction Sets (CLAPS), a symmetry-aware conformal prediction-based algorithm that constructs, for a given action, a set guaranteed to contain the resulting system configuration at a user-defined…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Luís Marques , Maani Ghaffari , Dmitry Berenson

We consider the empirical risk minimization problem for linear supervised learning, with regularization by structured sparsity-inducing norms. These are defined as sums of Euclidean norms on certain subsets of variables, extending the usual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-11-23 Rodolphe Jenatton , Jean-Yves Audibert , Francis Bach

While past works have shown how uncertainty quantification can be applied to large language model (LLM) outputs, the question of whether resulting uncertainty guarantees still hold within sub-groupings of data remains open. In our work,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Terrance Liu , Zhiwei Steven Wu

Randomized smoothing is a technique for providing provable robustness guarantees against adversarial attacks while making minimal assumptions about a classifier. This method relies on taking a majority vote of any base classifier over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Ambar Pal , Jeremias Sulam

Machine learning in the context of noise is a challenging but practical setting to plenty of real-world applications. Most of the previous approaches in this area focus on the pairwise relation (casual or correlational relationship) with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-18 Qizhou Wang , Jiangchao Yao , Chen Gong , Tongliang Liu , Mingming Gong , Hongxia Yang , Bo Han

When facing uncertainty, decision-makers want predictions they can trust. A machine learning provider can convey confidence to decision-makers by guaranteeing their predictions are distribution calibrated -- amongst the inputs that receive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-14 Shengjia Zhao , Michael P. Kim , Roshni Sahoo , Tengyu Ma , Stefano Ermon

Conformal prediction is widely used to equip black-box machine learning models with uncertainty quantification, offering formal coverage guarantees under exchangeable data. However, these guarantees fail when faced with subpopulation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Nien-Shao Wang , Duygu Nur Yaldiz , Yavuz Faruk Bakman , Sai Praneeth Karimireddy

Binary classification based on predicted probabilities (scores) is a fundamental task in supervised machine learning. While thresholding scores is Bayes-optimal in the unconstrained setting, using a single threshold generally violates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Etam Benger , Katrina Ligett

We propose a statistical learning framework based on group-sparse regression that can be used to 1) enforce conservation laws, 2) ensure model equivalence, and 3) guarantee symmetries when learning or inferring differential-equation models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-21 Suryanarayana Maddu , Bevan L. Cheeseman , Christian L. Müller , Ivo F. Sbalzarini

We propose a multi-scale extension of conformal prediction, an approach that constructs prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees under minimal statistical assumptions. Classic conformal prediction relies on a single notion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Ali Baheri , Marzieh Amiri Shahbazi

Classification is a fundamental task in supervised learning, while achieving valid misclassification rate control remains challenging due to possibly the limited predictive capability of the classifiers or the intrinsic complexity of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Yinrui Sun , Yin Xia

We study a fundamental learning problem over multiple groups with unknown data distributions, where an analyst would like to learn the mean of each group. Moreover, we want to ensure that this data is collected in a relatively fair manner…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Abdellah Aznag , Rachel Cummings , Adam N. Elmachtoub

While improving prediction accuracy has been the focus of machine learning in recent years, this alone does not suffice for reliable decision-making. Deploying learning systems in consequential settings also requires calibrating and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-06 Stephen Bates , Anastasios Angelopoulos , Lihua Lei , Jitendra Malik , Michael I. Jordan

In a well-calibrated risk prediction model, the average predicted probability is close to the true event rate for any given subgroup. Such models are reliable across heterogeneous populations and satisfy strong notions of algorithmic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-31 Jean Feng , Alexej Gossmann , Romain Pirracchio , Nicholas Petrick , Gene Pennello , Berkman Sahiner

The group testing problem consists of determining a small set of defective items from a larger set of items based on a number of possibly-noisy tests, and has numerous practical applications. One of the defining features of group testing is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-12 Bernard Teo , Jonathan Scarlett

This paper studies the open problem of conformalized entry prediction in a row/column-exchangeable matrix. The matrix setting presents novel and unique challenges, but there exists little work on this interesting topic. We meticulously…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Meijia Shao , Yuan Zhang