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We identify and explore connections between the recent literature on multi-group fairness for prediction algorithms and the pseudorandomness notions of leakage-resilience and graph regularity. We frame our investigation using new variants…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Cynthia Dwork , Daniel Lee , Huijia Lin , Pranay Tankala

We propose Conformal Mixed-Integer Constraint Learning (C-MICL), a novel framework that provides probabilistic feasibility guarantees for data-driven constraints in optimization problems. While standard Mixed-Integer Constraint Learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Daniel Ovalle , Lorenz T. Biegler , Ignacio E. Grossmann , Carl D. Laird , Mateo Dulce Rubio

Machine learning has emerged as a significant approach to efficiently tackle electronic structure problems. Despite its potential, there is less guarantee for the model to generalize to unseen data that hinders its application in real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Gengyuan Hu , Gengchen Wei , Zekun Lou , Philip H. S. Torr , Wanli Ouyang , Han-sen Zhong , Chen Lin

Conformal prediction is a powerful distribution-free framework for constructing prediction sets with coverage guarantees. Classical methods, such as split conformal prediction, provide marginal coverage, ensuring that the prediction set…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Konstantina Bairaktari , Jiayun Wu , Zhiwei Steven Wu

Conformal prediction builds marginally valid prediction intervals that cover the unknown outcome of a randomly drawn test point with a prescribed probability. However, in practice, data-driven methods are often used to identify specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-21 Ying Jin , Zhimei Ren

Distribution-free uncertainty estimation for ensemble methods is increasingly desirable due to the widening deployment of multi-modal black-box predictive models. Conformal prediction is one approach that avoids such distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Eduardo Ochoa Rivera , Yash Patel , Ambuj Tewari

We initiate the study of fair classifiers that are robust to perturbations in the training distribution. Despite recent progress, the literature on fairness has largely ignored the design of fair and robust classifiers. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-05 Debmalya Mandal , Samuel Deng , Suman Jana , Jeannette M. Wing , Daniel Hsu

We propose a new problem formulation which is similar to, but more informative than, the binary multiple-instance learning problem. In this setting, we are given groups of instances (described by feature vectors) along with estimates of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Hendrik Kuck , Nando de Freitas

In strategic classification, agents manipulate their features, at a cost, to receive a positive classification outcome from the learner's classifier. The goal of the learner in such settings is to learn a classifier that is robust to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Emily Diana , Saeed Sharifi-Malvajerdi , Ali Vakilian

Methods for split conformal prediction leverage calibration samples to transform any prediction rule into a set-prediction rule that complies with a target coverage probability. Existing methods provide remarkably strong performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-15 Santiago Mazuelas

When a subgroup is identified from the data, it must be evaluated in a replicable way. The usual in-sample approach, which evaluates the post-hoc identified subgroup as predefined, might suffer from selection bias. This issue of in-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Shuoxun Xu , Xinzhou Guo

Conformal prediction is a simple and powerful tool that can quantify uncertainty without any distributional assumptions. Many existing methods only address the average coverage guarantee, which is not ideal compared to the stronger…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-21 Xing Han , Ziyang Tang , Joydeep Ghosh , Qiang Liu

Model selection is a major challenge in non-parametric clustering. There is no universally admitted way to evaluate clustering results for the obvious reason that no ground truth is available. The difficulty to find a universal evaluation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Alex Mourer , Florent Forest , Mustapha Lebbah , Hanane Azzag , Jérôme Lacaille

Deep neural networks are powerful tools to detect hidden patterns in data and leverage them to make predictions, but they are not designed to understand uncertainty and estimate reliable probabilities. In particular, they tend to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-10 Bat-Sheva Einbinder , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia , Yanfei Zhou

We propose and investigate probabilistic guarantees for the adversarial robustness of classification algorithms. While traditional formal verification approaches for robustness are intractable and sampling-based approaches do not provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Peter Blohm , Patrick Indri , Thomas Gärtner , Sagar Malhotra

We consider the problem of producing fair probabilistic classifiers for multi-class classification tasks. We formulate this problem in terms of "projecting" a pre-trained (and potentially unfair) classifier onto the set of models that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Wael Alghamdi , Hsiang Hsu , Haewon Jeong , Hao Wang , P. Winston Michalak , Shahab Asoodeh , Flavio P. Calmon

Automata learning is a technique that has successfully been applied in verification, with the automaton type varying depending on the application domain. Adaptations of automata learning algorithms for increasingly complex types of automata…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Gerco van Heerdt , Matteo Sammartino , Alexandra Silva

Uncertainty estimation in machine learning has traditionally focused on the prediction stage, aiming to quantify confidence in model outputs while treating learned representations as deterministic and reliable by default. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-20 Yiyao Yang

The sample complexity of multi-group learning is shown to improve in the group-realizable setting over the agnostic setting, even when the family of groups is infinite so long as it has finite VC dimension. The improved sample complexity is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Navid Ardeshir , Samuel Deng , Daniel Hsu , Jingwen Liu

What does it mean to say that, for example, the probability for rain tomorrow is between 20% and 30%? The theory for the evaluation of precise probabilistic forecasts is well-developed and is grounded in the key concepts of proper scoring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Christian Fröhlich , Robert C. Williamson
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