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In recent years, diffusion models have emerged as powerful tools for generating ensemble members in meteorology. In this work, we demonstrate how a Denoising Diffusion Implicit Model (DDIM) can effectively control ensemble variance by…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-15 Fabio Merizzi , Davide Evangelista , Harilaos Loukos

In this article we present an approach that enables joint wind speed and wind power forecasts for a wind park. We combine a multivariate seasonal time varying threshold autoregressive moving average (TVARMA) model with a power threshold…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-03 Florian Ziel , Carsten Croonenbroeck , Daniel Ambach

Globally, wind energy has lessened the burden on conventional fossil fuel based power generation. Wind resource assessment for onshore and offshore wind farms aids in accurate forecasting and analyzing nature of ramp events. From an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-01 Harsh S. Dhiman , Dipankar Deb

This paper proposes a distributionally robust optimal power flow (OPF) model for transmission grids with wind power generation. The model uses the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) constraints to control the reserve and branch flow limit…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-27 Lei You , Hui Ma , Tapan Kumar Saha , Gang Liu

For the dynamic analysis of floating offshore wind turbines (FOWTs) in realistic operating environment, this paper develops a coupled aero-hydro-mooring-servo model applicable to turbulent wind and irregular sea states with high…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-06 Yi Zhang , Peter Stansby , David Apsley , Hannah Mullings

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

We propose a distributionally robust data-driven predictive control framework for stochastic linear time-invariant systems with unknown dynamics and disturbance distributions. We use an offline trajectory to fit the subspace predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Mirhan Urkmez , Shahab Heshmati-Alamdari

This paper proposes a model predictive controller for discrete-time linear systems with additive, possibly unbounded, stochastic disturbances and subject to chance constraints. By computing a polytopic probabilistic positively invariant set…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Kai Wang , Kiet Tuan Hoang , Sébastien Gros

This paper presents a Model-Inspired Distributionally Robust Data-enabled Predictive Control (MDR-DeePC) framework for systems with partially known and uncertain dynamics. The proposed method integrates model-based equality constraints for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Shihao Li , Jiachen Li , Christopher Martin , Soovadeep Bakshi , Dongmei Chen

The current trend in the evolution of wind turbines is to increase their rotor size in order to capture more power. This leads to taller, slender and more flexible towers, which thus experience higher dynamical loads due to the turbine…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-30 Zhixin Feng , Alexander J. Gallo , Yichao Liu , Atindriyo K. Pamososuryo , Riccardo M. G. Ferrari , Jan-Willem van Wingerden

Wind turbines may experience local weather perturbation, which is not taken into account by the commonly-used wind turbine simulation packages. Without this information, it is extremely challenging to evaluate the controller performance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-03 Z. Feng , Y. Liu , R. Ferrari , J. W. van. Wingerden

This paper studies the problem of distributionally robust model predictive control (MPC) using total variation distance ambiguity sets. For a discrete-time linear system with additive disturbances, we provide a conditional value-at-risk…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-27 Anushri Dixit , Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Joel W. Burdick

This paper presents a novel distributed robust optimization scheme for steering distributions of multi-agent systems under stochastic and deterministic uncertainty. Robust optimization is a subfield of optimization which aims to discover an…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Arshiya Taj Abdul , Augustinos D. Saravanos , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Wind speed forecasting models and their application to wind farm operations are attaining remarkable attention in the literature because of its benefits as a clean energy source. In this paper, we suggested the time series machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-29 G. V. Drisya , Valsaraj P. , K. Asokan , K. Satheesh Kumar

We study a smart grid with wind power and battery storage. Traditionally, day-ahead planning aims to balance demand and wind power, yet actual wind conditions often deviate from forecasts. Short-term flexibility in storage and generation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-08 Thom S. Badings , Arnd Hartmanns , Nils Jansen , Marnix Suilen

We consider the problem of direct data-driven predictive control for unknown stochastic linear time-invariant (LTI) systems with partial state observation. Building upon our previous research on data-driven stochastic control, this paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-12 Ruiqi Li , John W. Simpson-Porco , Stephen L. Smith

Accurate prediction of wind ramp events is critical for ensuring the reliability and stability of the power systems with high penetration of wind energy. This paper proposes a classification based approach for estimating the future class of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-18 Saurav Gupta , Nitin Anand Shrivastava , Abbas Khosravi , Bijaya Ketan Panigrahi

Condition based maintenance is a modern approach to maintenance which has been successfully used in several industrial sectors. In this paper we present a concrete statistical approach to condition based maintenance for wind turbine by…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-17 Thomas Kenbeek , Stella Kapodistria , Alessandro Di Bucchianico

This paper describes a multi-region control framework for floating offshore wind farms. Specifically, we propose a novel generator torque controller that regulates rotor speed in Region 2, corresponding to wind speeds between the cut-in and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-10 Stephen Ampleman , Dennice F. Gayme

This paper addresses the trajectory tracking problem of an autonomous tractor-trailer system by using a fast distributed nonlinear model predictive control algorithm in combination with nonlinear moving horizon estimation for the state and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-21 Erkan Kayacan , Erdal Kayacan , Herman Ramon , Wouter Saeys