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This work presents a nonlinear system identification framework for modeling the power extraction dynamics of wind turbines, including both freestream and waked conditions. The approach models turbine dynamics using data-driven power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-10 Sebastiano Randino , Lorenzo Schena , Nicolas Coudou , Emanuele Garone , Miguel Alfonso Mendez

We describe a simple and succinct methodology to develop hourly auto-regressive moving average (ARMA) models to forecast power output from a photovoltaic solar generator. We illustrate how to build an ARMA model, to use statistical tests to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-12 Bismark Singh , David Pozo

Recent years have seen an unprecedented growth in the use of sensor data to guide wind farm operations and maintenance. Emerging sensor-driven approaches typically focus on optimal maintenance procedures for single turbine systems, or model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-05 Ilke Bakir , Murat Yildirim , Evrim Ursavas

Precise control under uncertainty requires a good understanding and characterization of the noise affecting the system. This paper studies the problem of steering state distributions of dynamical systems subject to partially known…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-20 Joshua Pilipovsky , Panagiotis Tsiotras

An extended theoretical approach is proposed to predict the average power of wind turbines in a large finite-size wind farm. The approach is based on the two-scale momentum theory proposed recently for the modelling of ideal very large wind…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-12 Takafumi Nishino

The extensive penetration of wind farms (WFs) presents challenges to the operation of distribution networks (DNs). Building a probability distribution of the aggregated wind power forecast error is of great value for decision making.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-12-19 Mengshuo Jia , Chen Shen , Zhiwen Wang

This paper presents a distributionally robust model predictive control (DRMPC) framework for the optimal Virtual Power Plant (VPP) operation under electricity price uncertainty. A unified VPP model is formulated that captures the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-15 Nikolas Recke , Mathias Hudoba de Badyn

In this paper, the variable wind power is incorporated into the dynamic model for long-term stability analysis. A theory-based method is proposed for power systems with wind power to conduct long-term stability analysis, which is able to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Xiaozhe Wang , Hsiao-Dong Chiang , Jianhui Wang , Hui Liu , Tao Wang

In this paper, we suggest that reserves must be computed dynamically to account for wind power volatility. We formalize the notion of dynamic reserves in support of sequential Day-Ahead-Market (DAM) and Real-Time-Market (RTM) clearing and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-21 Marija Ilic , Dongwei Zhao

This paper implements a recently developed social hierarchy-based distributed economic model predictive control (DEMPC) algorithm in floating offshore wind farms for the purpose of power maximization. The controller achieves this objective…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-21 Ali C. Kheirabadi , Ryozo Nagamune

To provide automatic generation control (AGC) service, wind farms (WFs) are required to control their operation dynamically to track the time-varying power reference. Wake effects impose significant aerodynamic interactions among turbines,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-25 Kaixuan Chen , Jin Lin , Yiwei Qiu , Feng Liu , Yonghua Song

With the rapid development of green energy, the efficiency and reliability of wind turbines are key to sustainable renewable energy production. For that reason, this paper presents a novel intelligent system architecture designed for the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Serhii Svystun , Oleksandr Melnychenko , Pavlo Radiuk , Oleg Savenko , Andrii Lysyi

In this paper, an offset-free bilinear model predictive control approach for wind turbines is presented. State-of-the-art controllers employ different control loops for pitch angle and generator torque which switch depending on wind…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-30 Arnold Sterle , Aaron Grapentin , Christian A. Hans , Jörg Raisch

Wind farms are an indispensable driver toward renewable and nonpolluting energy resources. However, as ideal sites are limited, placement in remote and challenging locations results in higher logistics costs and lower average wind speeds.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowe , Jonathan Keller , Yi Guo , Shuangwen Sheng , Jan Helsen

This paper studies a data-driven predictive control for a class of control-affine systems which is subject to uncertainty. With the accessibility to finite sample measurements of the uncertain variables, we aim to find controls which are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-03 Dan Li , Dariush Fooladivanda , Sonia Martinez

Power systems are shifted from conventional bulk generation toward renewable generation. This trend leads to the frequency security problem due to the decline of system inertia. On the other hand, natural gas-fired units are frequently…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-30 Lun Yang , Yinliang Xu , Jianguo Zhou , Hongbin Sun

Wind power ramp events are difficult to forecast due to strong variability, multi-scale dynamics, and site-specific meteorological effects. This paper proposes an event-first, frequency-aware forecasting paradigm that directly predicts ramp…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Purbak Sengupta , Sambeet Mishra , Sonal Shreya

This note extends a recently proposed algorithm for model identification and robust MPC of asymptotically stable, linear time-invariant systems subject to process and measurement disturbances. Independent output predictors for different…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-02 Enrico Terzi , Lorenzo Fagiano , Marcello Farina , Riccardo Scattolini

Active power control regulates the total power generated by wind farms with the power consumed on the electricity grid. Due to wake effects, the available power is reduced and turbulence is increased at downstream wind turbines. Such…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-09 Jean Gonzalez Silva , Bart Doekemeijer , Riccardo Ferrari , Jan-Willem van Wingerden

This article introduces a decentralized robust optimization framework for safe multi-agent control under uncertainty. Although stochastic noise has been the primary form of modeling uncertainty in such systems, these formulations might fall…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Arshiya Taj Abdul , Augustinos D. Saravanos , Evangelos A. Theodorou