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Preferential attachment is an appealing edge generating mechanism for modeling social networks. It provides both an intuitive description of network growth and an explanation for the observed power laws in degree distributions. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-21 Phyllis Wan , Tiandong Wang , Richard A. Davis , Sidney I. Resnick

Extreme value theory provides rigorous theory and statistical tools for extrapolation in machine learning, particularly in settings where traditional methods struggle due to data scarcity in the tails. A broad range of tasks benefit from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Sebastian Engelke , Nicola Gnecco , Anne Sabourin

In this work we present for the first time an application of the Pareto approach to the modelling of the excesses of galaxy clusters over high-mass thresholds. The distribution of those excesses can be described by the generalized Pareto…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-03 Jean-Claude Waizmann , Stefano Ettori , Lauro Moscardini

Classical methods for quantile regression fail in cases where the quantile of interest is extreme and only few or no training data points exceed it. Asymptotic results from extreme value theory can be used to extrapolate beyond the range of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-23 Nicola Gnecco , Edossa Merga Terefe , Sebastian Engelke

Random variables of the generalized Pareto distribution, can be transformed to that of the Pareto distribution. Explicit expressions exist for the maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters of the Pareto distribution. The performance…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-06 J. Martin van Zyl

Nonlinear relationships between covariates and a response variable of interest are frequently encountered in animal science research. Within statistical models, these nonlinear effects have, traditionally, been handled using a range of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-28 Gavin L. Simpson

Extreme value analysis is an essential methodology in the study of rare and extreme events, which hold significant interest in various fields, particularly in the context of environmental sciences. Models that employ the exceedances of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Lorenzo Dell'Oro , Carlo Gaetan

Statistical models incorporating change points are common in practice, especially in the area of biomedicine. This approach is appealing in that a specific parameter is introduced to account for the abrupt change in the response variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Hongling Zhou , Kung-Yee Liang

We propose a model for the unpolarized generalized parton distribution function (GPD) based on impact parameter representation and discuss its x and t dependencies at large and small values of these variables.

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-02-11 S. M. Troshin , N. E. Tyurin

The block maxima (BM) approach in extreme value analysis fits a sample of block maxima to the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution. We consider all potential blocks from a sample, which leads to the All Block Maxima (ABM) estimator.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Jochem Oorschot , Chen Zhou

We provide a complete asymptotic distribution theory for clustered data with a large number of independent groups, generalizing the classic laws of large numbers, uniform laws, central limit theory, and clustered covariance matrix…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-03 Bruce E. Hansen , Seojeong Lee

We study generalized additive partial linear models, proposing the use of polynomial spline smoothing for estimation of nonparametric functions, and deriving quasi-likelihood based estimators for the linear parameters. We establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Li Wang , Xiang Liu , Hua Liang , Raymond J. Carroll

In this paper we propose a model with a Dirichlet process mixture of gamma densities in the bulk part below threshold and a generalized Pareto density in the tail for extreme value estimation. The proposed model is simple and flexible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-03 Jairo Fuquene

The rate of uniform convergence in extreme value statistics is non-universal and can be arbitrarily slow. Further, the relative error can be unbounded in the tail of the approximation, leading to difficulty in extrapolating the extreme…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-05 Ashivni Shekhawat

Generalized dimensions of multifractal measures are usually seen as static objects, related to the scaling properties of suitable partition functions, or moments of measures of cells. When these measures are invariant for the flow of a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Théophile Caby , Davide Faranda , Giorgio Mantica , Sandro Vaienti , Pascal Yiou

We present improved methods for calculating confidence intervals and $p$-values in situations where standard asymptotic approaches fail due to small sample sizes. We apply these techniques to a specific class of statistical model that can…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-01-11 Enzo Canonero , Alessandra Rosalba Brazzale , Glen Cowan

Classification tasks usually assume that all possible classes are present during the training phase. This is restrictive if the algorithm is used over a long time and possibly encounters samples from unknown classes. The recently introduced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-18 Edoardo Vignotto , Sebastian Engelke

This doctoral thesis undertakes an in-depth exploration of limiting shape theorems across diverse mathematical structures, with a specific focus on subadditive processes within finitely generated groups exhibiting polynomial growth rates,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-22 Lucas R. de Lima

We theoretically and numerically investigated the threshold network model with a generic weight function where there were a large number of nodes and a high threshold. Our analysis was based on extreme value theory, which gave us a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-20 A. Fujihara , M. Uchida , H. Miwa

Data-driven anomaly detection methods typically build a model for the normal behavior of the target system, and score each data instance with respect to this model. A threshold is invariably needed to identify data instances with high (or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-09 Sreelekha Guggilam , S. M. Arshad Zaidi , Varun Chandola , Abani Patra