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A method is described for predicting extremes values beyond the span of historical data. The method - based on extending a curve fitted to a location- and scale-invariant variation of the double-logarithmic QQ-plot - is simple and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-08 Allan McRobie

In the low-dimensional case, the generalized additive coefficient model (GACM) proposed by Xue and Yang [Statist. Sinica 16 (2006) 1423-1446] has been demonstrated to be a powerful tool for studying nonlinear interaction effects of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Shujie Ma , Raymond J. Carroll , Hua Liang , Shizhong Xu

We consider efficient estimation of the Euclidean parameters in a generalized partially linear additive models for longitudinal/clustered data when multiple covariates need to be modeled nonparametrically, and propose an estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-05 Guang Cheng , Lan Zhou , Jianhua Z. Huang

Detecting anomalies in a temporal sequence of graphs can be applied is areas such as the detection of accidents in transport networks and cyber attacks in computer networks. Existing methods for detecting abnormal graphs can suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Conrad Sanderson , Rob J. Hyndman

The Ultra-Reliable Low-Latency Communications (URLLC) paradigm in sixth-generation (6G) systems heavily relies on precise channel modeling, especially when dealing with rare and extreme events within wireless communication channels. This…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-22 Parmida Valiahdi , Sinem Coleri

In this paper, we provide finite sample results to assess the consistency of Generalized Pareto regression trees, as tools to perform extreme value regression. The results that we provide are obtained from concentration inequalities, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-21 Sébastien Farkas , Antoine Heranval , Olivier Lopez , Maud Thomas

Maximum-type statistics of certain functions of the sample covariance matrix of high-dimensional vector time series are studied to statistically confirm or reject the null hypothesis that a data set has been collected under normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Ansgar Steland

This paper discusses asymptotic theory for penalized spline estimators in generalized additive models. The purpose of this paper is to establish the asymptotic bias and variance as well as the asymptotic normality of the penalized spline…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-21 Takuma Yoshida , Kanta Naito

Clustered binary data with a large number of covariates have become increasingly common in many scientific disciplines. This paper develops an asymptotic theory for generalized estimating equations (GEE) analysis of clustered binary data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-10 Lan Wang

In a wide variety of situations, anomalies in the behaviour of a complex system, whose health is monitored through the observation of a random vector X = (X1,. .. , X d) valued in R d , correspond to the simultaneous occurrence of extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-18 Maël Chiapino , Stéphan Clémençon , Vincent Feuillard , Anne Sabourin

Asymptotic statistical theory for estimating functions is reviewed in a generality suitable for stochastic processes. Conditions concerning existence of a consistent estimator, uniqueness, rate of convergence, and the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-06 Jean Jacod , Michael Sørensen

We propose generalized additive partial linear models for complex data which allow one to capture nonlinear patterns of some covariates, in the presence of linear components. The proposed method improves estimation efficiency and increases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-26 Li Wang , Lan Xue , Annie Qu , Hua Liang

In many applied fields it is desired to make predictions with the aim of assessing the plausibility of more severe events than those already recorded to safeguard against calamities that have not yet occurred. This problem can be analysed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 S. A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

The classical multivariate extreme-value theory concerns the modeling of extremes in a multivariate random sample, suggesting the use of max-stable distributions. In this work, the classical theory is extended to the case where aggregated…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-12 Enkelejd Hashorva , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

The three-parameter generalized extreme value distribution arises from classical univariate extreme value theory and is in common use for analyzing the far tail of observed phenomena. Curiously, important asymptotic properties of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Likun Zhang , Benjamin Shaby

There is a difficulty in finding an estimate of variance of the profile likelihood estimator in the joint model of longitudinal and survival data. We solve the difficulty by introducing the ``statistical generalized derivative''. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-23 Yuichi Hirose , Ivy Liu

We obtain an asymptotic normality result that reveals the precise asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimators of parameters for a very general class of linear mixed models containing cross random effects. In achieving the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Jiming Jiang , Matt P. Wand , Swarnadip Ghosh

In fields such as hydrology and climatology, modelling the entire distribution of positive data is essential, as stakeholders require insights into the full range of values, from low to extreme. Traditional approaches often segment the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Carlo Gaetan , Philippe Naveau

The multivariate generalized Pareto distribution (mGPD) is a common method for modeling extreme threshold exceedance probabilities in environmental and financial risk management. Despite its broad applicability, mGPD faces challenges due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-18 Chenglei Hu , Daniela Castro-Camilo

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used as distributions of random effects in linear mixed models, which are fit using the restricted likelihood or the closely-related Bayesian analysis. This article addresses two problems. First, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-04 Maitreyee Bose , James S. Hodges , Sudipto Banerjee