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This work investigates a dynamic variant of Bayesian persuasion, in which a strategic sender seeks to influence a receiver's belief over time through controlling the timing of the information disclosure, under resource constraints. We…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Ahmet Bugra Gundogan , Melih Bastopcu

Auctions with partially-revealed information about items are broadly employed in real-world applications, but the underlying mechanisms have limited theoretical support. In this work, we study a machine learning formulation of these types…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-06 Wenshuo Guo , Michael I. Jordan , Ellen Vitercik

Some of the most compelling applications of online convex optimization, including online prediction and classification, are unconstrained: the natural feasible set is R^n. Existing algorithms fail to achieve sub-linear regret in this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-11-13 Matthew Streeter , H. Brendan McMahan

We study how to make decisions that minimize Bayesian regret in offline linear bandits. Prior work suggests that one must take actions with maximum lower confidence bound (LCB) on their reward. We argue that the reliance on LCB is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Marek Petrik , Guy Tennenholtz , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

We introduce and study the problem of detecting whether an agent is updating their prior beliefs given new evidence in an optimal way that is Bayesian, or whether they are biased towards their own prior. In our model, biased agents form…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Yiling Chen , Tao Lin , Ariel D. Procaccia , Aaditya Ramdas , Itai Shapira

In this paper, we expand the Bayesian persuasion framework to account for unobserved confounding variables in sender-receiver interactions. While traditional models assume that belief updates follow Bayesian principles, real-world scenarios…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Nishanth Venkatesh S. , Heeseung Bang , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

We address Bayesian persuasion between a sender and a receiver with state-dependent quadratic cost measures for general classes of distributions. The receiver seeks to make mean-square-error estimate of a state based on a signal sent by the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Muhammed O. Sayin , Tamer Basar

A sender persuades a strategically naive decisionmaker (DM) by committing privately to an experiment. Sender's choice of experiment is unknown to the DM, who must form her posterior beliefs nonparametrically by applying some learning rule…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-10 Arnav Sood , James Best

Online structured prediction is a task of sequentially predicting outputs with complex structures based on inputs and past observations, encompassing online classification. Recent studies showed that in the full-information setting, we can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Yuki Shibukawa , Taira Tsuchiya , Shinsaku Sakaue , Kenji Yamanishi

We consider the problem of learning an unknown subset $N_\text{target}$ of a domain in an online setting. In each round $t$, the learner predicts a set of items ${N}_t$ and receives one of two types of feedback, each with equal probability:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Lee Cohen , Yishay Mansour , Shay Moran , Han Shao

We consider an online two-stage stochastic optimization with long-term constraints over a finite horizon of $T$ periods. At each period, we take the first-stage action, observe a model parameter realization and then take the second-stage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-03 Piao Hu , Jiashuo Jiang , Guodong Lyu , Hao Su

We consider the online sparse linear regression problem, which is the problem of sequentially making predictions observing only a limited number of features in each round, to minimize regret with respect to the best sparse linear regressor,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-08 Dean Foster , Satyen Kale , Howard Karloff

Recently the online advertising market has exhibited a gradual shift from second-price auctions to first-price auctions. Although there has been a line of works concerning online bidding strategies in first-price auctions, it still remains…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Rui Ai , Chang Wang , Chenchen Li , Jinshan Zhang , Wenhan Huang , Xiaotie Deng

In a game of persuasion with evidence, a sender has private information. By presenting evidence on the information, the sender wishes to persuade a receiver to take a single action (e.g., hire a job candidate, or convict a defendant). The…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Martin Hoefer , Pasin Manurangsi , Alexandros Psomas

In the convex optimization approach to online regret minimization, many methods have been developed to guarantee a $O(\sqrt{T})$ bound on regret for subdifferentiable convex loss functions with bounded subgradients, by using a reduction to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-20 Arthur Flajolet , Patrick Jaillet

Classic mechanism/information design imposes the assumption that agents are fully rational, meaning each of them always selects the action that maximizes her expected utility. Yet many empirical evidence suggests that human decisions may…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Yiding Feng , Chien-Ju Ho , Wei Tang

This paper proposes a theoretical analysis of recommendation systems in an online setting, where items are sequentially recommended to users over time. In each round, a user, randomly picked from a population of $m$ users, requests a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-26 Kaito Ariu , Narae Ryu , Se-Young Yun , Alexandre Proutière

Online advertising has recently grown into a highly competitive and complex multi-billion-dollar industry, with advertisers bidding for ad slots at large scales and high frequencies. This has resulted in a growing need for efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Zhe Feng , Swati Padmanabhan , Di Wang

I describe a Bayesian persuasion problem where Receiver has a private type representing a cutoff for choosing Sender's preferred action, and Sender has maxmin preferences over all Receiver type distributions with known mean and bounds. This…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-03 Eitan Sapiro-Gheiler

This paper addresses the Bayesian optimization problem (also referred to as the Bayesian setting of the Gaussian process bandit), where the learner seeks to minimize the regret under a function drawn from a known Gaussian process (GP).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Shogo Iwazaki
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