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Long-term rainfall prediction is a challenging task especially in the modern world where we are facing the major environmental problem of global warming. In general, climate and rainfall are highly non-linear phenomena in nature exhibiting…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ajith Abraham , Dan Steinberg

Clouds containing ice particles play a crucial role in the climate system. Yet they remain a source of great uncertainty in climate models and future climate projections. In this work, we create a new observational constraint of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-14 Kai Jeggle , Mikolaj Czerkawski , Federico Serva , Bertrand Le Saux , David Neubauer , Ulrike Lohmann

Traditionally, during the monsoon season, more rainfall is received along the Western Ghats, the Northern Gangetic plains, the central belt, and northeast India. However, recently, there has been a shift in this canonical monsoon rainfall…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Akshara Satheesh , Rajib Chattopadhyay

A novel, particle based, probabilistic approach for the simulation of cloud microphysics is proposed, which is named the Super-Droplet Method (SDM). This method enables accurate simulation of cloud microphysics with less demanding cost in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-02 Shin-ichiro Shima , Kanya Kusano , Akio Kawano , Tooru Sugiyama , Shintaro Kawahara

Large ensembles of climate projections are essential for characterizing uncertainty in future climate and extreme weather events, yet computational constraints of numerical climate models limit ensemble sizes to a small number of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-01 Francesco Immorlano , Elijah Tavares , Felix Draxler , Padhraic Smyth , Pierre Gentine , Stephan Mandt

Climate models play a critical role in understanding and projecting climate change. Due to their complexity, their horizontal resolution of about 40-100 km remains too coarse to resolve processes such as clouds and convection, which need to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Birgit Kühbacher , Fernando Iglesias-Suarez , Niki Kilbertus , Veronika Eyring

We propose a mathematical methodology to derive a stochastic parameterization of bulk warm cloud micro-physics properties. Unlike previous bulk parameterizations, the stochastic parameterization does not assume any particular droplet size…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-06-08 David Collins , Boualem Khouider

Since the prediction of climate is mainly considered as a prediction of second kind, it is indispensable to assess the accuracy with which these boundary conditions can be determined so that we can find a reasonable answer, whether climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Gerhard Kramm , Ralph Dlugi

Modern observations of the interstellar medium (ISM) in galaxies detect a variety of atomic and molecular species. The goal is to connect these observations to the astrochemical properties of the ISM. 3D hydro-chemical simulations attempt…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2019-02-20 Thomas G. Bisbas , Andreas Schruba , Ewine F. van Dishoeck

Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI), a possible climate engineering strategy where reflective particles are injected into the stratosphere, has been explored to mitigate global warming and its associated risks, such as the intensification…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-25 Cameron Dong , James W. Hurrell , Elizabeth A. Barnes

Physics parameterizations are often needed for numerical weather prediction (NWP) of precipitation forecast. This is mainly because the resolutions of most computational atmospheric models are not fine enough to explicitly resolve sub-grid…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-19 Khanh Hung Mai , Duc Le , Kazuo Saito , Tomizawa Futo , Yohei Sawada

Multi-model ensembles provide a pragmatic approach to the representation of model uncertainty in climate prediction. However, such representations are inherently ad hoc, and, as shown, probability distributions of climate variables based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-26 T. N. Palmer , F. J. Doblas-Reyes , A. Weisheimer , G. J. Shutts , J. Berner , J. M. Murphy

Cirrus clouds are key modulators of Earth's climate. Their dependencies on meteorological and aerosol conditions are among the largest uncertainties in global climate models. This work uses three years of satellite and reanalysis data to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-29 Kai Jeggle , David Neubauer , Gustau Camps-Valls , Ulrike Lohmann

The formation of precipitation in state-of-the-art weather and climate models is an important process. The understanding of its relationship with other variables can lead to endless benefits, particularly for the world's monsoon regions…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-08-25 Manmeet Singh , Bipin Kumar , Suryachandra Rao , Sukhpal Singh Gill , Rajib Chattopadhyay , Ravi S Nanjundiah , Dev Niyogi

Stochastic methods are a crucial area in contemporary climate research and are increasingly being used in comprehensive weather and climate prediction models as well as reduced order climate models. Stochastic methods are used as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Christian L. E. Franzke , Terence J. O'Kane , Judith Berner , Paul D. Williams , Valerio Lucarini

Climate simulations, at all grid resolutions, rely on approximations that encapsulate the forcing due to unresolved processes on resolved variables, known as parameterizations. Parameterizations often lead to inaccuracies in climate models,…

Various microphysical models attempt to explain the occurrence of broad droplet size distributions (DSD) in clouds through approximate representations of the stochastic droplet growth by condensation in a turbulent environment. This work…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-01-16 G. C. Abade

Precipitation governs Earth's hydroclimate, and its daily spatiotemporal fluctuations have major socioeconomic effects. Advances in Numerical weather prediction (NWP) have been measured by the improvement of forecasts for various physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-14 Manmeet Singh , Vaisakh S B , Nachiketa Acharya , Aditya Grover , Suryachandra A Rao , Bipin Kumar , Zong-Liang Yang , Dev Niyogi

Default values for many model parameters in Numerical Weather Prediction models are typically adopted based on theoretical or experimental investigations by scheme designers. Short-range forecasts are substantially affected by the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-06-16 Sandeep Chinta , Yaswanth Sai Jetti , C Balaji

Considering turbulence is crucial to understanding clouds. However, covering all scales involved in the turbulent mixing of clouds with their environment is computationally challenging, urging the development of simpler models to represent…

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