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Forecasting multivariate time series is a computationally intensive task challenged by extreme or redundant samples. Recent resampling methods aim to increase training efficiency by reweighting samples based on their running losses.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Jiang You , Arben Cela , René Natowicz , Jacob Ouanounou , Patrick Siarry

Let $(X_n)_{n\in \mathbb Z}$ be a GARCH process with $E(X_0^4)<\infty$, and let $\mu_n$ denote the distribution of $\frac 1{{\sqrt n}}\sum_{i=1}^n [X_i^2-\mathbb E(X_0^2)]$. We derive a numerical approximation of $\mu_n$ when $x_1,...,x_n$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Marc Taberner-Ortiz , Manfred Denker

In this paper we consider parameter estimation for discretely observed diffusion processes. In particular, we focus on data that are observed at low frequency and methodology that can estimate parameters with uncertainty quantification.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-01 Jingning Yao , Ajay Jasra , Sheng Jiang

We consider distributed recursive estimation of consensus+innovations type in the presence of heavy-tailed sensing and communication noises. We allow that the sensing and communication noises are mutually correlated while independent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-13 Manojlo Vukovic , Dusan Jakovetic , Dragana Bajovic , Soummya Kar

In this paper we extend the refined second-order Poincar\'e inequality for Poisson functionals from a one-dimensional to a multi-dimensional setting. Its proof is based on a multivariate version of the Malliavin-Stein method for normal…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Mathias Mørck Ljungdahl , Christoph Thäle

We consider in this paper the problem of sampling a high-dimensional probability distribution $\pi$ having a density with respect to the Lebesgue measure on $\mathbb{R}^d$, known up to a normalization constant $x \mapsto \pi(x)=…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-17 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines

Obtaining solutions to Optimal Transportation (OT) problems is typically intractable when the marginal spaces are continuous. Recent research has focused on approximating continuous solutions with discretization methods based on i.i.d.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-17 Junqi Wang , Pei Wang , Patrick Shafto

Group-invariant probability distributions appear in many data-generative models in machine learning, such as graphs, point clouds, and images. In practice, one often needs to estimate divergences between such distributions. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Behrooz Tahmasebi , Stefanie Jegelka

Robust and sparse estimation of linear regression coefficients is investigated. The situation addressed by the present paper is that covariates and noises are sampled from heavy-tailed distributions, and the covariates and noises are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-11 Takeyuki Sasai

I report a new statistical distribution formulated to confront the infamous, long-standing, computational/modeling challenge presented by highly skewed and/or leptokurtic ("fat- or heavy-tailed") data. The distribution is straightforward,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-01 Lawrence R. Thorne

Langevin diffusion processes and their discretizations are often used for sampling from a target density. The most convenient framework for assessing the quality of such a sampling scheme corresponds to smooth and strongly log-concave…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Arnak S. Dalalyan , Lionel Riou-Durand

We study the problem of sampling from strongly log-concave distributions over $\mathbb{R}^d$ using the Poisson midpoint discretization (a variant of the randomized midpoint method) for overdamped/underdamped Langevin dynamics. We prove its…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Rishikesh Srinivasan , Dheeraj Nagaraj

In this paper, we consider the filtering problem for partially observed diffusions, which are regularly observed at discrete times. We are concerned with the case when one must resort to time-discretization of the diffusion process if the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-09 Marco Ballesio , Ajay Jasra , Erik von Schwerin , Raul Tempone

This paper studies the distributed optimization problem under the influence of heavy-tailed gradient noises. Here, a heavy-tailed noise means that the noise does not necessarily satisfy the bounded variance assumption. Instead, it satisfies…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-12 Chao Sun , Huiming Zhang , Bo Chen , Li Yu

We study the multivariate deconvolution problem of recovering the distribution of a signal from independent and identically distributed observations additively contaminated with random errors (noise) from a known distribution. For errors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-28 Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo

We derive normal approximation bounds in the Wasserstein distance for sums of weighted U-statistics, based on a general distance bound for functionals of independent random variables of arbitrary distributions. Those bounds are applied to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Nicolas Privault , Grzegorz Serafin

We investigate a problem estimating coefficients of linear regression under sparsity assumption when covariates and noises are sampled from heavy tailed distributions. Additionally, we consider the situation where not only covariates and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-05 Takeyuki Sasai , Hironori Fujisawa

The paper focuses on a class of light-tailed multivariate probability distributions. These are obtained via a transformation of the margins from a heavy-tailed original distribution. This class was introduced in Balkema et al. (J.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Guus Balkema , Paul Embrechts , Natalia Nolde

This article studies the convergence rate of the sample mean for $\varphi$-mixing dependent random variables with finite means and infinite variances. Dividing the sample mean into sum of the average of the main parts and the average of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-20 F. Q. Tang , D. Han

We propose a method for estimating the posterior distribution of a standard geostatistical model. After choosing the model formulation and specifying a prior, we use normal mixture densities to approximate the posterior distribution. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-10 Zepu Zhang