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This note contains a short and simple proof of Wormald's differential equation method (that yields slightly improved approximation guarantees and error probabilities). This powerful method uses differential equations to approximate the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Lutz Warnke

Variational methods are employed in situations where exact Bayesian inference becomes intractable due to the difficulty in performing certain integrals. Typically, variational methods postulate a tractable posterior and formulate a lower…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-12 Nikolaos Gianniotis , Christoph Schnörr , Christian Molkenthin , Sanjay Singh Bora

In this paper we derive sharp lower and upper bounds for the covariance of two bounded random variables when knowledge about their expected values, variances or both is available. When only the expected values are known, our result can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-21 Ola Hössjer , Arvid Sjölander

Given an autonomous system of ordinary differential equations (ODE), we consider developing practical models for the deterministic, slow/coarse behavior of the ODE system. Two types of coarse variables are considered. The first type…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Likun Tan , Amit Acharya , Kaushik Dayal

We derive a novel variational expectation maximization approach based on truncated posterior distributions. Truncated distributions are proportional to exact posteriors within subsets of a discrete state space and equal zero otherwise. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-12 Jörg Lücke

Ordinary differential equations are widely-used in the field of systems biology and chemical engineering to model chemical reaction networks. Numerous techniques have been developed to estimate parameters like rate constants, initial…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-06 Daniel Kaschek , Jens Timmer

We introduce an alternative to the method of matched asymptotic expansions. In the "traditional" implementation, approximate solutions, valid in different (but overlapping) regions are matched by using "intermediate" variables. Here we…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-01-23 Luiz M. Faria , Rodolfo R. Rosales

We revisit a model for time-varying linear regression that assumes the unknown parameters evolve according to a linear dynamical system. Counterintuitively, we show that when the underlying dynamics are stable the parameters of this model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Ali Jadbabaie , Horia Mania , Devavrat Shah , Suvrit Sra

Stability and boundedness analysis for vector nonlinear systems with variable delays and coefficients remains challenging due to the conservatism of existing methods. Moreover, estimates of the transient behavior of solution norms remain…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Mark A. Pinsky

A default assumption in many machine learning scenarios is that the training and test samples are drawn from the same probability distribution. However, such an assumption is often violated in the real world due to non-stationarity of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Tianyi Zhang , Ikko Yamane , Nan Lu , Masashi Sugiyama

The assumption of conditional independence among observed variables, primarily used in the Variational Autoencoder (VAE) decoder modeling, has limitations when dealing with high-dimensional datasets or complex correlation structures among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Seunghwan An , Jong-June Jeon

In a paper from 1995, Wormald gave general criteria for certain parameters in a family of discrete random processes to converge to the solution of a system of differential equations. Based on this method, we show that if some further…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-24 Taral Guldahl Seierstad

We introduce an effective algorithmic method for the computation of a lower bound for uniform expansion in one-dimensional dynamics. The approach employs interval arithmetic and thus provides a rigorous numerical result (computer-assisted…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Paweł Pilarczyk , Michał Palczewski , Stefano Luzzatto

We develop a novel, fundamental and surprisingly simple randomized iterative method for solving consistent linear systems. Our method has six different but equivalent interpretations: sketch-and-project, constrain-and-approximate, random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Robert M. Gower , Peter Richtárik

We consider a method of pairwise variations for smooth optimization problems, which involve polyhedral constraints. It consists in making steps with respect to the difference of two selected extreme points of the feasible set together with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-12 I. V. Konnov

We construct a new tail bound for the sum of independent random variables for situations in which the expected value of the sum is known and each random variable lies within a specified interval, which may be different for each variable.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Jackson Loper , Jeffrey Regier

Variational inference methods for latent variable statistical models have gained popularity because they are relatively fast, can handle large data sets, and have deterministic convergence guarantees. However, in practice it is unclear…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-22 Hachem Saddiki , Andrew C. Trapp , Patrick Flaherty

We propose a method for variable selection in discriminant analysis with mixed categorical and continuous variables. This method is based on a criterion that permits to reduce the variable selection problem to a problem of estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Alban Mbina Mbina , Guy Martial Nkiet , Fulgence Eyi Obiang

Existing theory for multivariate extreme values focuses upon characterizations of the distributional tails when all components of a random vector, standardized to identical margins, grow at the same rate. In this paper, we consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-20 J. L. Wadsworth , J. A. Tawn

For the basic maximum likelihood estimating function of the two parameters Weibull distribution, a simple proof on its global monotonicity is given to ensure the existence and uniqueness of its solution. The boundary of the function's…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-10-04 DeTao Mao , Wenyuan Li
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