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Fitting a graphical model to a collection of random variables given sample observations is a challenging task if the observed variables are influenced by latent variables, which can induce significant confounding statistical dependencies…
In this paper, we study finite-sample properties of the least squares estimator in first order autoregressive processes. By leveraging a result from decoupling theory, we derive upper bounds on the probability that the estimate deviates by…
Random effect models are popular statistical models for detecting and correcting spurious sample correlations due to hidden confounders in genome-wide gene expression data. In applications where some confounding factors are known,…
This paper studies quantitative deviation bounds for statistical ensembles evolving under the one-parameter flow of a nearly integrable Hamiltonian system. Combining Nekhoroshev-type stability estimates with phase-mixing arguments, we…
Products between phase-type distributed random variables and any independent, positive and continuous random variable are studied. Their asymptotic properties are established, and an expectation-maximization algorithm for their effective…
Stochastic estimators are fundamental to large-scale optimization, where population quantities must be inferred from noisy oracle observations. Although influential methods such as momentum, SPIDER, STORM, and PAGE have been highly…
We propose a simple stochastic process for modeling improper or noncircular complex-valued signals. The process is a natural extension of a complex-valued autoregressive process, extended to include a widely linear autoregressive term. This…
We propose a method for variable selection in multiple regression with random predictors. This method is based on a criterion that permits to reduce the variable selection problem to a problem of estimating suitable permutation and…
This paper considers the problem of computing Bayesian estimates of both states and model parameters for nonlinear state-space models. Generally, this problem does not have a tractable solution and approximations must be utilised. In this…
A framework to boost the efficiency of Bayesian inference in probabilistic programs is introduced by embedding a sampler inside a variational posterior approximation. We call it the refined variational approximation. Its strength lies both…
A fast Bayesian method that seamlessly fuses classification and hypothesis testing via discriminant analysis is developed. Building upon the original discriminant analysis classifier, modelling components are added to identify…
Accelerated proximal gradient methods have recently been developed for solving quasi-static incremental problems of elastoplastic analysis with some different yield criteria. It has been demonstrated through numerical experiments that these…
Given a stream of Bernoulli random variables, consider the problem of estimating the mean of the random variable within a specified relative error with a specified probability of failure. Until now, the Gamma Bernoulli Approximation Scheme…
We consider a class of stochastic gradient optimization schemes. Assuming that the objective function is strongly convex, we prove weak error estimates which are uniform in time for the error between the solution of the numerical scheme,…
We propose a single neural probabilistic model based on variational autoencoder that can be conditioned on an arbitrary subset of observed features and then sample the remaining features in "one shot". The features may be both real-valued…
An initial-boundary value problem for the 1D self-adjoint parabolic equation on the half-axis is solved. We study a broad family of two-level finite-difference schemes with two parameters related to averagings both in time and space.…
The energy method can be used to identify well-posed initial boundary value problems for quasi-linear, symmetric hyperbolic partial differential equations with maximally dissipative boundary conditions. A similar analysis of the discrete…
For a mixed stochastic differential equation involving standard Brownian motion and an almost surely H\"older continuous process $Z$ with H\"older exponent $\gamma>1/2$, we establish a new result on its unique solvability. We also establish…
How can we perform efficient inference and learning in directed probabilistic models, in the presence of continuous latent variables with intractable posterior distributions, and large datasets? We introduce a stochastic variational…
We deduce conditional $L_p$-estimates for the variation of a solution of a BSDE. Both quadratic and sub-quadratic types of BSDEs are considered, and using the theory of weighted bounded mean oscillation we deduce new tail estimates for the…