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Time series often appear in an additive hierarchical structure. In such cases, time series on higher levels are the sums of their subordinate time series. This hierarchical structure places a natural constraint on forecasts. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Louis Steinmeister , Markus Pauly

Recently, channel-independent methods have achieved state-of-the-art performance in multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting. Despite reducing overfitting risks, these methods miss potential opportunities in utilizing channel dependence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-14 Lifan Zhao , Yanyan Shen

Multivariate time series forecasting has been widely used in various practical scenarios. Recently, Transformer-based models have shown significant potential in forecasting tasks due to the capture of long-range dependencies. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Zhe Li , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Zenglin Xu

Multivariate time series forecasting, which analyzes historical time series to predict future trends, can effectively help decision-making. Complex relations among variables in MTS, including static, dynamic, predictable, and latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Yueyang Wang , Ziheng Duan , Yida Huang , Haoyan Xu , Jie Feng , Anni Ren

Accurate and reliable traffic forecasting for complicated transportation networks is of vital importance to modern transportation management. The complicated spatial dependencies of roadway links and the dynamic temporal patterns of traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-13 Xiaolei Ma , Yi Li , Zhiyong Cui , Yinhai Wang

Time series (TS) forecasting has been an unprecedentedly popular problem in recent years, with ubiquitous applications in both scientific and business fields. Various approaches have been introduced to time series analysis, including both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-20 Ziyou Guo , Yan Sun , Tieru Wu

Recent research in time series forecasting has explored integrating multimodal features into models to improve accuracy. However, the accuracy of such methods is constrained by three key challenges: inadequate extraction of fine-grained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Shule Hao , Junpeng Bao , Wenli Li

Recently, deep learning-based Text-to-Speech (TTS) systems have achieved high-quality speech synthesis results. Recurrent neural networks have become a standard modeling technique for sequential data in TTS systems and are widely used.…

Sound · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Ziqi Liang , Haoxiang Shi , Jiawei Wang , Keda Lu

Spatio-temporal forecasting is crucial in many domains, such as transportation, meteorology, and energy. However, real-world scenarios frequently present challenges such as signal anomalies, noise, and distributional shifts. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Wei Chen , Yuxuan Liang

Regional traffic forecasting is a critical challenge in urban mobility, with applications to various fields such as the Internet of Everything. In recent years, spatio-temporal graph neural networks have achieved state-of-the-art results in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-02 Theodoros Theodoropoulos , Angelos-Christos Maroudis , Antonios Makris , Konstantinos Tserpes

Despite great progress in multimodal tracking, these trackers remain too heavy and expensive for resource-constrained devices. To alleviate this problem, we propose LightFC-X, a family of lightweight convolutional RGB-X trackers that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Yunfeng Li , Bo Wang , Ye Li

Recently, there has been a surge of Transformer-based solutions for the long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) task. Despite the growing performance over the past few years, we question the validity of this line of research in this work.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-18 Ailing Zeng , Muxi Chen , Lei Zhang , Qiang Xu

While linear-complexity attention mechanisms offer a promising alternative to Softmax attention for overcoming the quadratic bottleneck, training such models from scratch remains prohibitively expensive. Inheriting weights from pretrained…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Yining Li , Dongchen Han , Zeyu Liu , Hanyi Wang , Yulin Wang , Gao Huang

With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with traditional univariate forecasting procedures leaves great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

While LLMs have demonstrated remarkable potential in time series forecasting, their practical deployment remains constrained by excessive computational demands and memory footprints. Existing LLM-based approaches typically suffer from three…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Haoran Fan , Bin Li , Yixuan Weng , Shoujun Zhou

Time series forecasting aims to model temporal dependencies among variables for future state inference, holding significant importance and widespread applications in real-world scenarios. Although deep learning-based methods have achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Zesen Wang , Lijuan Lan , Yonggang Li

The expansion of edge computing has increased the attack surface, creating an urgent need for robust, real-time machine learning (ML)-based host intrusion detection systems (HIDS) that balance accuracy and efficiency. In such settings,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Onat Gungor , Ishaan Kale , Jiasheng Zhou , Tajana Rosing

Automatic Time Series Forecasting (TSF) model design which aims to help users to efficiently design suitable forecasting model for the given time series data scenarios, is a novel research topic to be urgently solved. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Chunnan Wang , Xingyu Chen , Chengyue Wu , Hongzhi Wang

While explicit Chain-of-Thought (CoT) equips Large Language Models (LLMs) with strong reasoning capabilities, it requires models to verbalize every intermediate step in text tokens, constraining the model thoughts to the discrete vocabulary…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Weihao Liu , Dehai Min , Lu Cheng

Spatiotemporal forecasting is critical for real-world applications like traffic management, yet capturing reliable interactions remains challenging under noisy and non-stationary conditions. Existing methods primarily rely on historical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Yinghao Ai , Yukai Zhou , Ruoxi Jiang , Junyi An , Chao Qu , Zhijian Zhou , Shiyu Wang , Fenglei Cao , Zenglin Xu , Furao Shen , Yuan Qi