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Information theory provides ideas for conceptualising information and measuring relationships between objects. It has found wide application in the sciences, but economics and finance have made surprisingly little use of it. We show that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-02 Galen Sher , Pedro Vitoria

While Internet of Things (IoT) devices and sensors create continuous streams of information, Big Data infrastructures are deemed to handle the influx of data in real-time. One type of such a continuous stream of information is time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-05 Elyas Sabeti , Peter X. K. Song , Alfred O. Hero

In this work, we apply information theory inspired methods to quantify changes in daily activity patterns. We use in-home movement monitoring data and show how they can help indicate the occurrence of healthcare-related events. Three…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-06 Yushan Huang , Yuchen Zhao , Hamed Haddadi , Payam Barnaghi

Understanding the temporal dependence of precipitation is key to improving weather predictability and developing efficient stochastic rainfall models. We introduce an information-theoretic approach to quantify memory effects in discrete…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-03-16 Juan De Gregorio , David Sánchez , Raúl Toral

Finding interdependency relations between (possibly multivariate) time series provides valuable knowledge about the processes that generate the signals. Information theory sets a natural framework for non-parametric measures of several…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-09 German Gomez-Herrero , Wei Wu , Kalle Rutanen , Miguel C. Soriano , Gordon Pipa , Raul Vicente

Quantifying relationships between components of a complex system is critical to understanding the rich network of interactions that characterize the behavior of the system. Traditional methods for detecting pairwise dependence of time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-04-10 Aria Nguyen , Oscar McMullin , Joseph T. Lizier , Ben D. Fulcher

Information theory is a practical and theoretical framework developed for the study of communication over noisy channels. Its probabilistic basis and capacity to relate statistical structure to function make it ideally suited for studying…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-09 Simon R. Schultz , Robin A. A. Ince , Stefano Panzeri

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

A cornerstone of human statistical learning is the ability to extract temporal regularities / patterns from random sequences. Here we present a method of computing pattern time statistics with generating functions for first-order Markov…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-06-29 Yanlong Sun , Hongbin Wang

The growing study of time series, especially those related to nonlinear systems, has challenged the methodologies to characterize and classify dynamical structures of a signal. Here we conceive a new diagnostic tool for time series based on…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-07-05 G. Corso , T. L. Prado , G. Z. dos S. Lima , S. R. Lopes

Shannon Entropy is the preeminent tool for measuring the level of uncertainty (and conversely, information content) in a random variable. In the field of communications, entropy can be used to express the information content of given…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Bill Kay , Audun Myers , Thad Boydston , Emily Ellwein , Cameron Mackenzie , Iliana Alvarez , Erik Lentz

We determine the amount of information contained in a time series of price returns at a given time scale, by using a widespread tool of the information theory, namely the Shannon entropy, applied to a symbolic representation of this time…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-26 Xavier Brouty , Matthieu Garcin

This paper introduces a novel methodology that utilizes latency to unveil time-series dependence patterns. A customized statistical test detects memory dependence in event sequences by analyzing their inter-event time distributions.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-22 Fabio Vanni , David Lambert

Given the constant rise in quantity and quality of data obtained from neural systems on many scales ranging from molecular to systems', information-theoretic analyses became increasingly necessary during the past few decades in the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-10-08 Felix Effenberger

A novel Markovian network evolution model is introduced and analysed by means of information theory. It will be proved that the model, called Network Evolution Chain, is a stationary and ergodic stochastic process. Therefore, the Asymptotic…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-21 Amirmohammad Farzaneh , Justin P. Coon

Information theory provides a mathematical foundation to measure uncertainty in belief. Belief is represented by a probability distribution that captures our understanding of an outcome's plausibility. Information measures based on…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-17 Jed A. Duersch , Thomas A. Catanach

Network data have appeared frequently in recent research. For example, in comparing the effects of different types of treatment, network models have been proposed to improve the quality of estimation and hypothesis testing. In this paper,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-04 Zhixin Zhou , Ping Li , Feifang Hu

The characterisation of information processing is an important task in complex systems science. Information dynamics is a quantitative methodology for modelling the intrinsic information processing conducted by a process represented as a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-08-01 Richard E. Spinney , Joseph T. Lizier

Time series data can be subject to changes in the underlying process that generates them and, because of these changes, models built on old samples can become obsolete or perform poorly. In this work, we present a way to incorporate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-27 Jesus Antonanzas , Marta Arias , Albert Bifet

Functional and effective networks inferred from time series are at the core of network neuroscience. Interpreting their properties requires inferred network models to reflect key underlying structural features; however, even a few spurious…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-22 Leonardo Novelli , Joseph T. Lizier
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