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Significance tests are probably the most extended form of inference in empirical research, and significance is often interpreted as providing greater informational content than non-significance. In this article we show, however, that…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-03-05 Alberto Abadie

Much of science is (rightly or wrongly) driven by hypothesis testing. Even in situations where the hypothesis testing paradigm is correct, the common practice of basing inferences solely on p-values has been under intense criticism for over…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-31 M. J. Bayarri , Daniel J. Benjamin , James O. Berger , Thomas M. Sellke

Null hypothesis significance testing remains popular despite decades of concern about misuse and misinterpretation. We believe that much of the problem is due to language: significance testing has little to do with other meanings of the…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-10-16 Jonathan Dushoff , Morgan P. Kain , Benjamin M. Bolker

When researchers carry out a null hypothesis significance test, it is tempting to assume that a statistically significant result lowers Prob(H0), the probability of the null hypothesis being true. Technically, such a statement is…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-19 Daniel J. Schad , Shravan Vasishth

Null Hypothesis Statistical Testing is a dominant framework for conducting statistical analysis across the sciences. There remains considerable debate as to whether, and under what circumstances, evidence can be said to be confirmatory of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Reid Dale

While Null Hypothesis Significance Testing (NHST) remains a widely used statistical tool, it suffers from several shortcomings in its common usage, such as conflating statistical and practical significance, the formulation of inappropriate…

There is a wide availability of methods for testing normality under the assumption of independent and identically distributed data. When data are dependent in space and/or time, however, assessing and testing the marginal behavior is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Minwoo Kim , Marc G Genton , Raphael Huser , Stefano Castruccio

Statistical hypothesis tests typically use prespecified sample sizes, yet data often arrive sequentially. Interim analyses invalidate classical error guarantees, while existing sequential methods require rigid testing preschedules or incur…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

This paper places conformal testing in a general framework of statistical hypothesis testing. A standard approach to testing a composite null hypothesis $H$ is to test each of its elements and to reject $H$ when each of its elements is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Vladimir Vovk

We propose a novel finite-sample procedure for testing composite null hypotheses. Traditional likelihood ratio tests based on asymptotic $\chi^2$ approximations often exhibit substantial bias in small samples. Our procedure rejects the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-07 Joonha Park , Ming Wang

A popular approach to significance testing proposes to decide whether the given hypothesized statistical model is likely to be true (or false). Statistical decision theory provides a basis for this approach by requiring every significance…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-08 William Perkins , Mark Tygert , Rachel Ward

Hypothesis tests under order restrictions arise in a wide range of scientific applications. By exploiting inequality constraints, such tests can achieve substantial gains in power and interpretability. However, these gains come at a cost:…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Ori Davidov

When statisticians quarrel about hypothesis testing, the debate usually focus on which method is the correct one. The fundamental question of whether we should test hypothesis at all tends to be forgotten. This lack of debate has its roots…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2016-11-22 André C. R. Martins

Bayesian hypothesis testing is re-examined from the perspective of an a priori assessment of the test statistic distribution under the alternative. By assessing the distribution of an observable test statistic, rather than prior parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Hedibert F. Lopes , Nicholas G. Polson

Null Hypothesis Significance Testing (NHST) has long been central to the scientific project, guiding theory development and supporting evidence-based intervention and decision-making. Recent years, however, have seen growing awareness of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-16 Fintan Costello , Paul Watts

In Bayesian statistics the precise point-null hypothesis $\theta=\theta_0$ can be tested by checking whether $\theta_0$ is contained in a credible set. This permits testing of $\theta=\theta_0$ without having to put prior probabilities on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-11 Måns Thulin

The method of surrogate data provides a framework for testing observed data against a hierarchy of alternative hypotheses. The aim of applying this method is to exclude the possibility that the data are consistent with simple linear…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Xiaodong Luo , Jie Zhang , Junfeng Sun , Michael Small , Irene Moroz

A new method based on the rejection sampling for finding statistical tests is proposed. This method is conceptually intuitive, easy to implement, and applicable for arbitrary dimension. To illustrate its potential applicability, three…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-11 Markku Kuismin

Not all experiments publish their results with a description of the correlations between the data points. This makes it difficult to do hypothesis tests or model fits with that data, since just assuming no correlation can lead to an over-…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-06-30 Lukas Koch

The machine learning community adopted the use of null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) in order to ensure the statistical validity of results. Many scientific fields however realized the shortcomings of frequentist reasoning and in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-18 Alessio Benavoli , Giorgio Corani , Janez Demsar , Marco Zaffalon
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