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We propose a new optimization framework for aleatoric uncertainty estimation in regression problems. Existing methods can quantify the error in the target estimation, but they tend to underestimate it. To obtain the predictive uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-12 Takumi Kawashima , Qing Yu , Akari Asai , Daiki Ikami , Kiyoharu Aizawa

Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Anna Fitzpatrick , Molly Folino , Andrea Arnold

Model-based offline reinforcement learning approaches generally rely on bounds of model error. Estimating these bounds is usually achieved through uncertainty estimation methods. In this work, we combine parametric and nonparametric methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-07 Guy Tennenholtz , Shie Mannor

Identifying the dynamic properties of manipulated objects is essential for safe and accurate robot control. Most methods rely on low noise force torque sensors, long exciting signals, and solving nonlinear optimization problems, making the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Donghoon Baek , Bo Peng , Saurabh Gupta , Joao Ramos

Online imitation learning is the problem of how best to mimic expert demonstrations, given access to the environment or an accurate simulator. Prior work has shown that in the infinite sample regime, exact moment matching achieves value…

We uncover a fairly general principle in online learning: If regret can be (approximately) expressed as a function of certain "sufficient statistics" for the data sequence, then there exists a special Burkholder function that 1) can be used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-22 Dylan J. Foster , Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan

Inherent in virtually every iterative machine learning algorithm is the problem of hyper-parameter tuning, which includes three major design parameters: (a) the complexity of the model, e.g., the number of neurons in a neural network, (b)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Christos Mavridis , John Baras

This paper investigates online identification and prediction for nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems. In contrast to offline learning methods, we develop online algorithms that learn unknown parameters from a single trajectory. A key…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-07 Lantian Zhang , Silun Zhang

This paper introduces an iterative algorithm for training nonparametric additive models that enjoys favorable memory storage and computational requirements. The algorithm can be viewed as the functional counterpart of stochastic gradient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-01 Xin Chen , Jason M. Klusowski

We establish optimal rates for online regression for arbitrary classes of regression functions in terms of the sequential entropy introduced in (Rakhlin, Sridharan, Tewari, 2010). The optimal rates are shown to exhibit a phase transition…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-12 Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan

Many techniques for online optimization problems involve making decisions based solely on presently available information: fewer works take advantage of potential predictions. In this paper, we discuss the problem of online convex…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-04 Robert Ravier , Vahid Tarokh

Most of the existing works for reinforcement learning (RL) with general function approximation (FA) focus on understanding the statistical complexity or regret bounds. However, the computation complexity of such approaches is far from being…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Dingwen Kong , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Ruosong Wang , Lin F. Yang

Current online learning methods suffer issues such as lower convergence rates and limited capability to select important features compared to their offline counterparts. In this paper, a novel framework for online learning based on running…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-15 Lizhe Sun , Mingyuan Wang , Siquan Zhu , Adrian Barbu

We study online linear optimization with matrix variables constrained by the operator norm, a setting where the geometry renders designing data-dependent and efficient adaptive algorithms challenging. The best-known adaptive regret bounds…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Ruichen Jiang , Zakaria Mhammedi , Mehryar Mohri , Aryan Mokhtari

We investigate online convex optimization in non-stationary environments and choose dynamic regret as the performance measure, defined as the difference between cumulative loss incurred by the online algorithm and that of any feasible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Peng Zhao , Yu-Jie Zhang , Lijun Zhang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

Online continual learning (OCL) methods adapt to changing environments without forgetting past knowledge. Similarly, online time series forecasting (OTSF) is a real-world problem where data evolve in time and success depends on both rapid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Edoardo Urettini , Daniele Atzeni , Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki , Antonio Carta

In this paper, we study optimization problems where the cost function contains time-varying parameters that are unmeasurable and evolve according to linear, yet unknown, dynamics. We propose a solution that leverages control theoretic tools…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Shivanshu Tripathi , Abed AlRahman Al Makdah , Fabio Pasqualetti

Reliable decision-making with streaming data requires principled uncertainty quantification of online methods. While first-order methods enable efficient iterate updates, their inference procedures still require updating proper (covariance)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Haoxuan Wang , Xinchen Du , Sen Na

Dynamical systems, for instance in model predictive control, often contain unknown parameters, which must be determined during system operation. Online or on-the-fly parameter identification methods are therefore necessary. The challenge of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-05 Barbara Kaltenbacher , Tram Thi Ngoc Nguyen

We revisit the online dynamic acknowledgment problem. In the problem, a sequence of requests arrive over time to be acknowledged, and all outstanding requests can be satisfied simultaneously by one acknowledgement. The goal of the problem…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Sungjin Im , Benjamin Moseley , Chenyang Xu , Ruilong Zhang