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Predicting the results of sport matches and competitions is an arising research field, benefiting from the growing amount of available data and the novel data analytics techniques. Excellent forecasts can be achieved by advanced machine…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-20 Giuseppe Jurman

Sports analysis has gained paramount importance for coaches, scouts, and fans. Recently, computer vision researchers have taken on the challenge of collecting the necessary data by proposing several methods of automatic player and ball…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-11 Pegah Rahimian , Laszlo Toka

In recent years, great emphasis has been placed on the prediction of association football. Due to this, several studies have proposed different types of statistical models to predict the outcome of a football match. However, most existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-11 Roberto Macrì-Demartino , Leonardo Egidi , Nicola Torelli

We consider games played on finite graphs, whose goal is to obtain a trace belonging to a given set of winning traces. We focus on those states from which Player 1 cannot force a win. We explore and compare several criteria for establishing…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2008-11-12 Marco Faella

This study analyzes pass networks in football (soccer) using a stochastic model known as the P\'olya urn. By focusing on preferential selection, it theoretically demonstrates that the time evolution of networks can be characterized by a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-19 Ken Yamamoto

This study developed a new explainable artificial intelligence algorithm called PassAI, which classifies successful or failed passes in a soccer game and explains its rationale using both tracking and passer's seasonal stats information.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Ryota Takamido , Jun Ota , Hiroki Nakamoto

We consider the task of determining a football player's ability for a given event type, for example, scoring a goal. We propose an interpretable Bayesian model which is fit using variational inference methods. We implement a Poisson model…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-24 Gavin A. Whitaker , Ricardo Silva , Daniel Edwards , Ioannis Kosmidis

The success of a football team depends on various individual skills and performances of the selected players as well as how cohesively they perform. We propose a two-stage process for selecting optimal playing eleven of a football team from…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-14 Soudeep Deb , Shubhabrata Das

We study the kinetics of infiltration in which contaminant particles, which are suspended in a flowing carrier fluid, penetrate a porous medium. The progress of the ``invader'' particles is impeded by their trapping on active ``defender''…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 W. Hwang , S. Redner

Estimating win probability is one of the classic modeling tasks of sports analytics. Many widely used win probability estimators use machine learning to fit the relationship between a binary win/loss outcome variable and certain game-state…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 Ryan S. Brill , Ronald Yurko , Abraham J. Wyner

Analyzing football score data with statistical techniques, we investigate how the not purely random, but highly co-operative nature of the game is reflected in averaged properties such as the probability distributions of scored goals for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-04-02 Elmar Bittner , Andreas Nussbaumer , Wolfhard Janke , Martin Weigel

Defensive Pass Interference (DPI) is one of the most impactful penalties in the NFL. DPI is a spot foul, yielding an automatic first down to the team in possession. With such an influence on the game, referees have no room for a mistake. It…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Arian Skoki , Jonatan Lerga , Ivan Štajduhar

Women's football is gaining supporters and practitioners worldwide, raising questions about what the differences are with men's football. While the two sports are often compared based on the players' physical attributes, we analyze the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-15 Luca Pappalardo , Alessio Rossi , Giuseppe Pontillo , Michela Natilli , Paolo Cintia

We consider a variant of the target defense problem where a single defender is tasked to capture a sequence of incoming intruders. The intruders' objective is to breach the target boundary without being captured by the defender. As soon as…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Arman Pourghorban , Michael Dorothy , Daigo Shishika , Alexander Von Moll , Dipankar Maity

We show that, in John Conway's board game Phutball (or Philosopher's Football), it is NP-complete to determine whether the current player has a move that immediately wins the game. In contrast, the similar problems of determining whether…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Erik D. Demaine , Martin L. Demaine , David Eppstein

The objective of this work was to help the soccer field managers to evaluate the performance of a goalkeeper in saving the penalty kicks. To this end, based on the concept of clustering, four measures were proposed for evaluating the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-11 Mahdi Teimouri

Posture-based mental state inference has significant potential in diagnosing fatigue, preventing injury, and enhancing performance across various domains. Such tools must be research-validated with large datasets before being translated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Abhishek Jaiswal , Nisheeth Srivastava

Soccer Simulation 2D (SS2D) is a simulation of a real soccer game in two dimensions. In soccer, passing behavior is an essential action for keeping the ball in possession of our team and creating goal opportunities. Similarly, for SS2D,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Nader Zare , Mahtab Sarvmaili , Aref Sayareh , Omid Amini , Stan Matwin Amilcar Soares

Within college basketball, the decision to foul or not with a 3-point lead (the "foul up 3" dilemma) significantly impacts teams. A single fouling decision can directly determine the outcome of a game or even an entire season. Within this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-22 Julian Zapata-Hall

In most sports, especially football, most coaches and analysts search for key performance indicators using notational analysis. This method utilizes a statistical summary of events based on video footage and numerical records of goal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Chenyao Li , Stylianos Kampakis , Philip Treleaven
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