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Decision trees are widely used for interpretable machine learning due to their clearly structured reasoning process. However, this structure belies a challenge we refer to as predictive equivalence: a given tree's decision boundary can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Hayden McTavish , Zachery Boner , Jon Donnelly , Margo Seltzer , Cynthia Rudin

Experimentally [1-38] and computationally [39-50] validated machine learning (ML) articles are sorted based on the size of the training data: 1-100, 101-10000, and 10000+ in a comprehensive set summarizing legacy and recent advances in the…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-03-20 Sterling G. Baird , Marianne Liu , Hasan M. Sayeed , Taylor D. Sparks

While Large Language Models (LLMs) have achieved strong performance on general-purpose language tasks, their deployment in regulated and data-sensitive domains, including insurance, remains limited. Leveraging millions of historical…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Zhengda Mo , Zhiyu Quan , Eli O'Donohue , Kaiwen Zhong

Machine learning is increasingly used to guide branch-and-cut (B&C) for mixed-integer linear programming by learning score-based policies for selecting branching variables and cutting planes. Many approaches train on local signals from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Hongyu Cheng , Amitabh Basu

The effect of training data size on machine learning methods has been well investigated over the past two decades. The predictive performance of tree based machine learning methods, in general, improves with a decreasing rate as the size of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-01 Zardad Khan , Naz Gul , Nosheen Faiz , Asma Gul , Werner Adler , Berthold Lausen

Model-based methods for recommender systems have been studied extensively in recent years. In systems with large corpus, however, the calculation cost for the learnt model to predict all user-item preferences is tremendous, which makes full…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-24 Han Zhu , Xiang Li , Pengye Zhang , Guozheng Li , Jie He , Han Li , Kun Gai

Most modern supervised statistical/machine learning (ML) methods are explicitly designed to solve prediction problems very well. Achieving this goal does not imply that these methods automatically deliver good estimators of causal…

Tree-based ensemble methods such as random forests, gradient-boosted trees, and Bayesianadditive regression trees have been successfully used for regression problems in many applicationsand research studies. In this paper, we study ensemble…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-21 Alexandre Seiller , Éric Gaussier , Emilie Devijver , Marianne Clausel , Sami Alkhoury

When using machine learning for imbalanced binary classification problems, it is common to subsample the majority class to create a (more) balanced training dataset. This biases the model's predictions because the model learns from data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Nathan Phelps , Daniel J. Lizotte , Douglas G. Woolford

Large language models (LLMs) inherently operate over a large generation space, yet conventional usage typically reports the most likely generation (MLG) as a point prediction, which underestimates the model's capability: although the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Ye Li , Anqi Hu , Yuanchang Ye , Shiyan Tong , Zhiyuan Wang , Bo Fu

One compelling vision of the future of materials discovery and design involves the use of machine learning (ML) models to predict materials properties and then rapidly find materials tailored for specific applications. However, realizing…

Towards a future where machine learning systems will integrate into every aspect of people's lives, researching methods to interpret such systems is necessary, instead of focusing exclusively on enhancing their performance. Enriching the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Ioannis Mollas , Nick Bassiliades , Ioannis Vlahavas , Grigorios Tsoumakas

Claim reserving in insurance has been studied through two primary frameworks: the macro-level approach, which estimates reserves at an aggregate level (e.g., Chain-Ladder), and the micro-level approach, which estimates reserves at the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Sebastian Calcetero Vanegas , Andrei L. Badescu , X. Sheldon Lin

Machine Learning (ML) models are increasingly integrated into safety-critical systems, such as autonomous vehicle platooning, to enable real-time decision-making. However, their inherent imperfection introduces a new class of failure:…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Razieh Arshadizadeh , Mahmoud Asgari , Zeinab Khosravi , Yiannis Papadopoulos , Koorosh Aslansefat

Insurance application processes often rely on lengthy and standardized questionnaires that struggle to capture individual differences. Moreover, insurers must blindly trust users' responses, increasing the chances of fraud. The ARQuest…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Diogo Silva , João Teixeira , Bruno Lima

In tabular prediction tasks, tree-based models combined with automated feature engineering methods often outperform deep learning approaches that rely on learned representations. While these feature engineering techniques are effective,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Jaehyun Nam , Kyuyoung Kim , Seunghyuk Oh , Jihoon Tack , Jaehyung Kim , Jinwoo Shin

Although regression trees were originally designed for large datasets, they can profitably be used on small datasets as well, including those from replicated or unreplicated complete factorial experiments. We show that in the latter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wei-Yin Loh

The interpretability of models has become a crucial issue in Machine Learning because of algorithmic decisions' growing impact on real-world applications. Tree ensemble methods, such as Random Forests or XgBoost, are powerful learning tools…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Giulia Di Teodoro , Marta Monaci , Laura Palagi

In recent years, the increasing threat of devastating wildfires has underscored the need for effective prescribed fire management. Process-based computer simulations have traditionally been employed to plan prescribed fires for wildfire…

We present a scalable machine learning (ML) framework for predicting intensive properties and particularly classifying phases of many-body systems. Scalability and transferability are central to the unprecedented computational efficiency of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-06-18 Zhongzheng Tian , Sheng Zhang , Gia-Wei Chern
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