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We solve for the equilibrium dynamics of information sharing in a large population. Each agent is endowed with signals regarding the likely outcome of a random variable of common concern. Individuals choose the effort with which they search…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-20 Darrell Duffie , Semyon Malamud , Gustavo Manso

Economic inequality is one of the pivotal issues for most of economic and social policy makers across the world to insure the sustainable economic growth and justice. In the mainstream school of economics, namely neoclassical theories,…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-04-26 Hossein Sabzian , Alireza Aliahmadi , Adel Azar , Madjid Mirzaee

Research on infodemics, i.e., the rapid spread of (mis)information related to a hazardous event, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, requires the integration of a multiplicity of scientific disciplines. The dynamics emerging from infodemics have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-02 Stephan Leitner , Bartosz Gula , Dietmar Jannach , Ulrike Krieg-Holz , Friederike Wall

The recent framework of performative prediction is aimed at capturing settings where predictions influence the target/outcome they want to predict. In this paper, we introduce a natural multi-agent version of this framework, where multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Georgios Piliouras , Fang-Yi Yu

In the last few years, economic agent-based models have made the transition from qualitative models calibrated to match stylised facts to quantitative models for time series forecasting, and in some cases, their predictions have performed…

Inspired by recent ideas on how the analysis of complex financial risks can benefit from analogies with independent research areas, we propose an unorthodox framework for mapping microfinance credit risk---a major obstacle to the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-21 Joung-Hun Lee , Marko Jusup , Boris Podobnik , Yoh Iwasa

In this work, the dynamics of agents below a \textit{threshold line} in some modified CCM type kinetic wealth exchange models are studied. These agents are eligible for subsidy as can be seen in any real economy. An interaction is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-29 Sanchari Goswami

We consider a heterogeneous agent-based economic model where economic agents have strictly bounded rationality and where income allocation strategies evolve through selective imitation. Income is calculated by a Cobb-Douglas type production…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-15 Volker Nannen

Advances in artificial intelligence often stem from the development of new environments that abstract real-world situations into a form where research can be done conveniently. This paper contributes such an environment based on ideas…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-05-16 Michael Bradley Johanson , Edward Hughes , Finbarr Timbers , Joel Z. Leibo

Organizations face numerous challenges posed by unexpected events such as energy price hikes, pandemic disruptions, terrorist attacks, and natural disasters, and the factors that contribute to organizational success in dealing with such…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-09 Stephan Leitner

It is increasingly recognized that the multiple and systemic impacts of Earth system change threaten the prosperity of society through altered land carbon dynamics, freshwater variability, biodiversity loss, and climate extremes. For…

This essay discusses the advantages of a probabilistic agent-based approach to questions in theoretical economics, from the nature of economic agents, to the nature of the equilibria supported by their interactions. One idea we propose is…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-05 Ted Theodosopoulos

Nowadays, we are surrounded by a large number of complex phenomena ranging from rumor spreading, social norms formation to rise of new economic trends and disruption of traditional businesses. To deal with such phenomena,Complex Adaptive…

Feedback-evolving games is a framework that models the co-evolution between payoff functions and an environmental state. It serves as a useful tool to analyze many social dilemmas such as natural resource consumption, behaviors in…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Keith Paarporn , James Nelson

The emergence of the modern gig economy introduces a new set of employment considerations for firms and laborers that include various trade-offs. With a game-theoretical approach, we examine the influences of technology, policy and markets…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-25 Kevin Hu , Feng Fu

The dynamical evolution of many economic, sociological, biological and physical systems tends to be dominated by a relatively small number of unexpected, large changes (`extreme events'). We study the large, internal changes produced in a…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 D. Lamper , S. Howison , N. F. Johnson

Designing a financial market that works well is very important for developing and maintaining an advanced economy, but is not easy because changing detailed rules, even ones that seem trivial, sometimes causes unexpected large impacts and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-08 Takanobu Mizuta

Tackling real-world socio-economic challenges requires designing and testing economic policies. However, this is hard in practice, due to a lack of appropriate (micro-level) economic data and limited opportunity to experiment. In this work,…

We analyze a conservative market model for the competition among economic agents in a close society. A minimum dynamics ensures that the poorest agent has a chance to improve its economic welfare. After a transient, the system…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 S. Pianegonda , J. R. Iglesias

This paper analyzes the global dynamics of 1-dimensional agent arrays with nearest neighbor linear couplings. The equations of motion are second order linear ODEs with constant coeffcients. The novel part of this research is that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-15 R. Lyons , J. J. P. Veerman
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