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In a regression setup with deterministic design, we study the pure aggregation problem and introduce a natural extension from the Gaussian distribution to distributions in the exponential family. While this extension bears strong…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-06-06 Philippe Rigollet

This work studies the global convergence and implicit bias of Gauss Newton's (GN) when optimizing over-parameterized one-hidden layer networks in the mean-field regime. We first establish a global convergence result for GN in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Michael Arbel , Romain Menegaux , Pierre Wolinski

This study evaluates deep neural networks for forecasting probability distributions of financial returns. 1D convolutional neural networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) architectures are used to forecast parameters of three…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Jakub Michańków

Score-based Generative Models (SGMs) approximate a data distribution by perturbing it with Gaussian noise and subsequently denoising it via a learned reverse diffusion process. These models excel at modeling complex data distributions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Stefano Bruno , Sotirios Sabanis

In many real-world decision problems there is partially observed, hidden or latent information that remains fixed throughout an interaction. Such decision problems can be modeled as Latent Markov Decision Processes (LMDPs), where a latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Jeongyeol Kwon , Shie Mannor , Constantine Caramanis , Yonathan Efroni

In this work, we investigate the market-making problem on a trading session in which a continuous phase on a limit order book is followed by a closing auction. Whereas standard optimal market-making models typically rely on terminal…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-27 Julius Graf , Thibaut Mastrolia

A grand challenge in machine learning is the development of computational algorithms that match or outperform humans in perceptual inference tasks that are complicated by nuisance variation. For instance, visual object recognition involves…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-03 Ankit B. Patel , Tan Nguyen , Richard G. Baraniuk

While Gaussian processes (GPs) are the method of choice for regression tasks, they also come with practical difficulties, as inference cost scales cubic in time and quadratic in memory. In this paper, we introduce a natural and expressive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Martin Trapp , Robert Peharz , Carl E. Rasmussen , Franz Pernkopf

Combinatorial optimization (CO) problems arise across a broad spectrum of domains, including medicine, logistics, and manufacturing. While exact solutions are often computationally infeasible, many practical applications require…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Arman Mielke , Uwe Bauknecht , Thilo Strauss , Mathias Niepert

This paper examines whether one can learn to play an optimal action while only knowing part of true specification of the environment. We choose the optimal pricing problem as our laboratory, where the monopolist is endowed with an…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-07-22 In-Koo Cho , Jonathan Libgober

Generative modeling, which learns joint probability distribution from data and generates samples according to it, is an important task in machine learning and artificial intelligence. Inspired by probabilistic interpretation of quantum…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-07-20 Zhao-Yu Han , Jun Wang , Heng Fan , Lei Wang , Pan Zhang

Generative networks have experienced great empirical successes in distribution learning. Many existing experiments have demonstrated that generative networks can generate high-dimensional complex data from a low-dimensional easy-to-sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-28 Biraj Dahal , Alex Havrilla , Minshuo Chen , Tuo Zhao , Wenjing Liao

We introduce a new algorithm for approximate inference that combines reparametrization, Markov chain Monte Carlo and variational methods. We construct a very flexible implicit variational distribution synthesized by an arbitrary Markov…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-07 Michalis K. Titsias

We consider the learning and prediction of nonlinear time series generated by a latent symplectic map. A special case is (not necessarily separable) Hamiltonian systems, whose solution flows give such symplectic maps. For this special case,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Renyi Chen , Molei Tao

For applications as varied as Bayesian neural networks, determinantal point processes, elliptical graphical models, and kernel learning for Gaussian processes (GPs), one must compute a log determinant of an $n \times n$ positive definite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-10 Kun Dong , David Eriksson , Hannes Nickisch , David Bindel , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Score-based Generative Models (SGMs) aim to sample from a target distribution by learning score functions using samples perturbed by Gaussian noise. Existing convergence bounds for SGMs in the W2-distance rely on stringent assumptions about…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-12 Marta Gentiloni-Silveri , Antonio Ocello

Learning conditional densities and identifying factors that influence the entire distribution are vital tasks in data-driven applications. Conventional approaches work mostly with summary statistics, and are hence inadequate for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Chengliang Tang , Nathan Lenssen , Ying Wei , Tian Zheng

Significant advances have been made recently on training neural networks, where the main challenge is in solving an optimization problem with abundant critical points. However, existing approaches to address this issue crucially rely on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-28 Weihao Gao , Ashok Vardhan Makkuva , Sewoong Oh , Pramod Viswanath

We consider inverse problems where the conditional distribution of the observation ${\bf y}$ given the latent variable of interest ${\bf x}$ (also known as the forward model) is known, and we have access to a data set in which multiple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-14 Yves Atchade , Xinru Liu , Qiuyun Zhu

Graph prediction problems prevail in data analysis and machine learning. The inverse prediction problem, namely to infer input data from given output labels, is of emerging interest in various applications. In this work, we develop…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-22 Chen Xu , Xiuyuan Cheng , Yao Xie
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