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In a series of recent papers Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard introduce an attractive class of continuous time stochastic volatility models for financial assets where the volatility processes are functions of positive Ornstein-Uhlenbeck(OU)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Lancelot F. James

Various deep generative models have been proposed to estimate potential outcomes distributions from observational data. However, none of them have the favorable theoretical property of general Neyman-orthogonality and, associated with it,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Valentyn Melnychuk , Stefan Feuerriegel

We study the generalized linear bandit (GLB) problem, a contextual multi-armed bandit framework that extends the classical linear model by incorporating a non-linear link function, thereby modeling a broad class of reward distributions such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Yu-Jie Zhang , Sheng-An Xu , Peng Zhao , Masashi Sugiyama

We develop a novel deep learning approach for pricing European options in diffusion models, that can efficiently handle high-dimensional problems resulting from Markovian approximations of rough volatility models. The option pricing partial…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-04 Antonis Papapantoleon , Jasper Rou

We study contextual dynamic pricing with linear valuations and bounded-support agnostic noise, whose induced demand curve may be non-Lipschitz with arbitrary jumps and atoms. Such discontinuities break the cross-context interpolation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Jianyu Xu , Yu-Xiang Wang

We connect a large class of Generative Deep Networks (GDNs) with spline operators in order to derive their properties, limitations, and new opportunities. By characterizing the latent space partition, dimension and angularity of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-28 Randall Balestriero , Sebastien Paris , Richard Baraniuk

Precise probabilistic forecasts are fundamental for energy risk management, and there is a wide range of both statistical and machine learning models for this purpose. Inherent to these probabilistic models is some form of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Andreas Lebedev , Abhinav Das , Sven Pappert , Stephan Schlüter

While score-based generative models (SGMs) have achieved remarkable success in enormous image generation tasks, their mathematical foundations are still limited. In this paper, we analyze the approximation and generalization of SGMs in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-26 Frank Cole , Yulong Lu

In this paper, we consider a stochastic asset price model where the trend is an unobservable Ornstein Uhlenbeck process. We first review some classical results from Kalman filtering. Expectedly, the choice of the parameters is crucial to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-21 Ahmed Bel Hadj Ayed , Grégoire Loeper , Frédéric Abergel

We study the problem of estimating the distribution of the return of a policy using an offline dataset that is not generated from the policy, i.e., distributional offline policy evaluation (OPE). We propose an algorithm called Fitted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Runzhe Wu , Masatoshi Uehara , Wen Sun

The problem of learning functions over spaces of probabilities - or distribution regression - is gaining significant interest in the machine learning community. A key challenge behind this problem is to identify a suitable representation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-20 Dimitri Meunier , Massimiliano Pontil , Carlo Ciliberto

Statistical inference from high-dimensional data with low-dimensional structures has recently attracted lots of attention. In machine learning, deep generative modeling approaches implicitly estimate distributions of complex objects by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-21 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

Randomized zeroth-order methods are classically analyzed in expectation, but a black-box Markov conversion can give misleading high-probability guarantees, in particular by forcing the finite-difference smoothing radius to shrink with the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Haishan Ye

The use of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process is ubiquitous in business, economics and finance to capture various price processes and evolution of economic indicators exhibiting mean-reverting properties. When structural changes happen,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-30 Fuqi Chen , Rogemar Mamon , Matt Davison

Distributionally robust optimization has emerged as an attractive way to train robust machine learning models, capturing data uncertainty and distribution shifts. Recent statistical analyses have proved that generalization guarantees of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Tam Le , Jérôme Malick

Probabilistic models for sequential data are the basis for a variety of applications concerned with processing timely ordered information. The predominant approach in this domain is given by recurrent neural networks, implementing either an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-21 Ronny Hug , Stefan Becker , Wolfgang Hübner , Michael Arens , Jürgen Beyerer

We establish a systematic framework of unbiased quantum sampling and estimation protocols for the classical Gibbs expectation. This framework generalizes existing approaches to the partition function estimation and has broader applications…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-02 Xinmiao Li , Jin-Peng Liu

Neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs) provide expressive representations of invertible transport maps that can be used to approximate complex probability distributions, e.g., for generative modeling, density estimation, and Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Youssef Marzouk , Zhi Ren , Jakob Zech

Depth completion aims to predict a dense depth map from a color image with sparse depth measurements. Although deep learning methods have achieved state-of-the-art (SOTA), effectively handling the sparse and irregular nature of input depth…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Jie Tang , Pingping Xie , Jian Li , Ping Tan

We propose a new discrete choice model, called the generalized stochastic preference (GSP) model, that incorporates non-rationality into the stochastic preference (SP) choice model, also known as the rank-based model. Our model can capture…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Gerardo Berbeglia , Ashwin Venkataraman