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Balancing false discovery rate (FDR) control with high statistical power remains a central challenge in high-dimensional variable selection. While several FDR-controlling methods have been proposed, many degrade the original data -- by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Changhu Wang , Ziheng Zhang , Jingyi Jessica Li

In multiple hypothesis testing, it is well known that adaptive procedures can enhance power via incorporating information about the number of true nulls present. Under independence, we establish that two adaptive false discovery rate (FDR)…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-25 Dennis Leung , Ninh Tran

We explicitly define the notions of (bona fide, approximate or asymptotic) compound p-values and e-values, which have been implicitly presented and used in the recent multiple testing literature. While it is known that the e-BH procedure…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Ruodu Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

We present a conformal inference method for constructing lower prediction bounds for survival times from right-censored data, extending recent approaches designed for more restrictive type-I censoring scenarios. The proposed method imputes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Matteo Sesia , Vladimir Svetnik

This paper explores the intrinsic connections between the Bayesian false discovery rate (FDR) control procedures and their counterpart of frequentist procedures. We attempt to offer a unified view of FDR control within and beyond the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-15 Xiaoquan Wen

External controls from historical trials or observational data can augment randomized controlled trials when large-scale randomization is impractical or unethical, such as in drug evaluation for rare diseases. However, non-randomized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Ke Zhu , Shu Yang , Xiaofei Wang

With promising empirical performance across a wide range of applications, synthetic data augmentation appears a viable solution to data scarcity and the demands of increasingly data-intensive models. Its effectiveness lies in expanding the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Zixuan Wu , So Won Jeong , Yating Liu , Yeo Jin Jung , Claire Donnat

Conformal prediction (CP) provides a comprehensive framework to produce statistically rigorous uncertainty sets for black-box machine learning models. To further improve the efficiency of CP, conformal correction is proposed to fine-tune or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Senrong Xu , Tianyu Wang , Zenan Li , Yuan Yao , Taolue Chen , Feng Xu , Xiaoxing Ma

We develop a new class of distribution--free multiple testing rules for false discovery rate (FDR) control under general dependence. A key element in our proposal is a symmetrized data aggregation (SDA) approach to incorporating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-27 Lilun Du , Xu Guo , Wenguang Sun , Changliang Zou

Conformalized multiple testing offers a model-free way to control predictive uncertainty in decision-making. Existing methods typically use only part of the available data to build score functions tailored to specific settings. We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Yuyang Huo , Xiaoyang Wu , Changliang Zou , Haojie Ren

We discuss systematically two versions of confidence regions: those based on p-values and those based on e-values, a recent alternative to p-values. Both versions can be applied to multiple hypothesis testing, and in this paper we are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Vladimir Vovk , Ruodu Wang

Controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) is a powerful approach to multiple testing. In many applications, the tested hypotheses have an inherent hierarchical structure. In this paper, we focus on the fixed sequence structure where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-11 Gavin Lynch , Wenge Guo , Sanat K. Sarkar , Helmut Finner

Continuous improvement in medical imaging techniques allows the acquisition of higher-resolution images. When these are used in a predictive setting, a greater number of explanatory variables are potentially related to the dependent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Tuan-Binh Nguyen , Jérôme-Alexis Chevalier , Bertrand Thirion

When selecting from a list of potential candidates, it is important to ensure not only that the selected items are of high quality, but also that they are sufficiently dissimilar so as to both avoid redundancy and to capture a broader range…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Yash Nair , Ying Jin , James Yang , Emmanuel Candes

Invariant causal prediction provides a useful framework for identifying causal predictors of a response using heterogeneous data from multiple environments. One valuable property of the original invariant causal prediction method is that it…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Jinzhou Li , Jelle J Goeman

Deep neural networks are powerful tools to detect hidden patterns in data and leverage them to make predictions, but they are not designed to understand uncertainty and estimate reliable probabilities. In particular, they tend to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-10 Bat-Sheva Einbinder , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia , Yanfei Zhou

Negative control is a common technique in scientific investigations and broadly refers to the situation where a null effect (''negative result'') is expected. Motivated by a real proteomic dataset, we will present three promising and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Zijun Gao , Qingyuan Zhao

This article proposes novel rules for false discovery rate control (FDRC) geared towards online anomaly detection in time series. Online FDRC rules allow to control the properties of a sequence of statistical tests. In the context of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-07 Quentin Rebjock , Barış Kurt , Tim Januschowski , Laurent Callot

Split conformal prediction has recently sparked great interest due to its ability to provide formally guaranteed uncertainty sets or intervals for predictions made by black-box neural models, ensuring a predefined probability of containing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-29 António Farinhas , Chrysoula Zerva , Dennis Ulmer , André F. T. Martins

This paper discusses several p-value-free multiple hypothesis testing methods proposed in recent years and organizes them by introducing a unified framework termed competition test. Although existing competition tests are effective in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Mingzhou Deng , Yan Fu
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