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Contextual stochastic optimization is an advanced methodology to model uncertainty in the presence of contextual information during decision planning processes. Although classical methodologies focus on minimizing the expectation of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Man Yiu Tsang , Tony Sit , Hoi Ying Wong

The paper Zhao et al. (2015) shows that mean-CVaR-skewness portfolio optimization problems based on asymetric Laplace (AL) distributions can be transformed into quadratic optimization problems under which closed form solutions can be found.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-20 Nuerxiati Abudurexiti , Kai He , Dongdong Hu , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Hasanjan Sayit , Ruoyu Sun

We study learning algorithms that seek to minimize the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), when all the learner knows is that the losses incurred may be heavy-tailed. We begin by studying a general-purpose estimator of CVaR for potentially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-04 Matthew J. Holland , El Mehdi Haress

Synthetic aperture radar (SAR) is widely used for ground surface classification since it utilizes information on vegetation and soil unavailable in optical observation. Image classification often employs convolutional neural networks.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-31 Bungo Konishi , Akira Hirose , Ryo Natsuaki

The existence of multiple irregular obstacles in the environment introduces nonconvex constraints into the optimization for motion planning, which makes the optimal control problem hard to handle. One efficient approach to address this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-10 Xuda Ding , Han Wang , Jianping He , Cailian Chen , Kostas Margellos , Antonis Papachristodoulou

Safety is a core challenge of autonomous robot motion planning, especially in the presence of dynamic and uncertain obstacles. Many recent results use learning and deep learning-based motion planners and prediction modules to predict…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Sleiman Safaoui , Tyler H. Summers

We propose a sigmoidal approximation for the value-at-risk (that we call SigVaR) and we use this approximation to tackle nonlinear programs (NLPs) with chance constraints. We prove that the approximation is conservative and that the level…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Yankai Cao , Victor M. Zavala

This paper introduces a novel approach to financial risk assessment by incorporating topological data analysis (TDA), specifically cohomology groups, into the evaluation of equities portfolios. The study aims to go beyond traditional risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-30 Amit Kumar Jha

Machine learning (ML) models used in prediction and classification tasks may display performance disparities across population groups determined by sensitive attributes (e.g., race, sex, age). We consider the problem of evaluating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Lucas Monteiro Paes , Ananda Theertha Suresh , Alex Beutel , Flavio P. Calmon , Ahmad Beirami

Risk management is very important for individual investors or companies. There are many ways to measure the risk of investment. Prices of risky assets vary rapidly and randomly due to the complexity of finance market. Random interval is a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-26 Jinping Zhang , Keming Zhang

Scenario reduction (SR) alleviates the computational complexity of scenario-based stochastic optimization with conditional value-at-risk (SBSO-CVaR) by identifying representative scenarios to depict the underlying uncertainty and tail…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Yingrui Zhuang , Lin Cheng , Ning Qi , Mads R. Almassalkhi , Feng Liu

In this paper, we propose to deploy multiple unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) mounted base stations to serve ground users in outdoor environments with obstacles. In particular, the geographic information is employed to capture the blockage…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-24 Pengfei Yi , Lipeng Zhu , Zhenyu Xiao , Rui Zhang , Zhu Han , Xiang-Gen Xia

We account for time-varying parameters in the conditional expectile-based value at risk (EVaR) model. The EVaR downside risk is more sensitive to the magnitude of portfolio losses compared to the quantile-based value at risk (QVaR). Rather…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-29 Xiu Xu , Andrija Mihoci , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

In this paper we present an efficient active-set method for the solution of convex quadratic programming problems with general piecewise-linear terms in the objective, with applications to sparse approximations and risk-minimization. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-01 Spyridon Pougkakiotis , Jacek Gondzio , Dionysios S. Kalogerias

Accurate prediction of mRNA secondary structure is critical for understanding gene expression, translation efficiency, and advancing mRNA-based therapeutics. However, the combinatorial complexity of possible foldings, especially in long…

This paper aims to solve a safe reinforcement learning (RL) problem with risk measure-based constraints. As risk measures, such as conditional value at risk (CVaR), focus on the tail distribution of cost signals, constraining risk measures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Dohyeong Kim , Songhwai Oh

We develop a novel multivariate semi-parametric framework for joint portfolio Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) forecasting. Unlike existing univariate semi-parametric approaches, the proposed framework explicitly models the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-23 Giuseppe Storti , Chao Wang

The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is an important graphic tool for evaluating a test in a wide range of disciplines. While useful, an ROC curve can cross the chance line, either by having an S-shape or a hook at the extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Soutik Ghosal , Zhen Chen

In this work, we study the sample complexity problem of risk-sensitive Reinforcement Learning (RL) with a generative model, where we aim to maximize the Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) with risk tolerance level $\tau$ at each step, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Zilong Deng , Simon Khan , Shaofeng Zou

Estimation of the value-at-risk (VaR) of a large portfolio of assets is an important task for financial institutions. As the joint log-returns of asset prices can often be projected to a latent space of a much smaller dimension, the use of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Robert Sicks , Stefanie Grimm , Ralf Korn , Ivo Richert