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Two-stage stochastic programming is a popular framework for optimization under uncertainty, where decision variables are split between first-stage decisions, and second-stage (or recourse) decisions, with the latter being adjusted after…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Antonio Alcántara , Carlos Ruiz , Calvin Tsay

In many real-world optimization problems, more than one objective plays a role and input parameters are subject to uncertainty. In this paper, motivated by applications in disaster relief and public facility location, we model and solve a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-24 Sophie N. Parragh , Fabien Tricoire , Walter Gutjahr

In economics, insurance and finance, value at risk (VaR) is a widely used measure of the risk of loss on a specific portfolio of financial assets. For a given portfolio, time horizon, and probability $\alpha$, the $100\alpha\%$ VaR is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-15 Raúl Torres , Rosa E. Lillo , Henry Laniado

This paper introduces a novel penalty decomposition algorithm customized for addressing the non-differentiable and nonconvex problem of extended mean-variance-CVaR portfolio optimization with short-selling and cardinality constraints. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Ahmad Mousavi , Maziar Salahi , Zois Boukouvalas

We address imbalanced classification, the problem in which a label may have low marginal probability relative to other labels, by weighting losses according to the correct class. First, we examine the convergence rates of the expected…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-28 Ziyu Xu , Chen Dan , Justin Khim , Pradeep Ravikumar

In this paper, we consider a multi-objective control problem for stochastic systems that seeks to minimize a cost of interest while ensuring safety. We introduce a novel measure of safety risk using the conditional value-at-risk and a set…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-23 Samantha Samuelson , Insoon Yang

Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) have become the most popular measures of market risk in Financial and Insurance fields. However, the estimation of both risk measures is challenging, because it requires the knowledge…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-17 Jacinto Martín , M. Isabel Parra , Eva L. Sanjuán , Mario M. Pizarro

Optimizing Conditional Value-at-risk (CVaR) using policy gradient (a.k.a CVaR-PG) faces significant challenges of sample inefficiency. This inefficiency stems from the fact that it focuses on tail-end performance and overlooks many sampled…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Yudong Luo , Erick Delage

This paper formulates algorithms to upper-bound the maximum Value-at-Risk (VaR) of a state function along trajectories of stochastic processes. The VaR is upper bounded by two methods: minimax tail-bounds (Cantelli/Vysochanskij-Petunin) and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-05 Jared Miller , Matteo Tacchi , Mario Sznaier , Ashkan Jasour

We study linear bilevel programming problems whose lower-level objective is given by a random cost vector with known distribution. We consider the case where this distribution is nonatomic, allowing to reformulate the problem of the leader…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Gonzalo Muñoz , David Salas , Anton Svensson

Value-at-risk (VaR) is an established measure to assess risks in critical real-world applications with random environmental factors. This paper presents a novel VaR upper confidence bound (V-UCB) algorithm for maximizing the VaR of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Quoc Phong Nguyen , Zhongxiang Dai , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low , Patrick Jaillet

We study a discrete-time multi-period portfolio optimization problem under an explicit constraint on the Deviation Conditional Value-at-Risk (DCVaR), defined as the excess of Conditional Value-at-Risk over expected terminal wealth. The…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-17 Jérôme Lelong , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , William Thevenot

Planning through crowded environments under uncertain obstacle motions remains difficult, as stochastic interactions often induce overly conservative behavior or reduced efficiency. To address this challenge, we propose an end-to-end risk…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Xinyi Wang , Taekyung Kim , Bardh Hoxha , Georgios Fainekos , Dimitra Panagou

When optimising for conditional value at risk (CVaR) using policy gradients (PG), current methods rely on discarding a large proportion of trajectories, resulting in poor sample efficiency. We propose a reformulation of the CVaR…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Harry Mead , Clarissa Costen , Bruno Lacerda , Nick Hawes

Risk measure forecast and model have been developed in order to not only provide better forecast but also preserve its (empirical) property especially coherent property. Whilst the widely used risk measure of Value-at-Risk (VaR) has shown…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-08 Bony Josaphat , Khreshna Syuhada

Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming (SDDP) is a widely used and fundamental algorithm for solving multistage stochastic optimization problems. Although SDDP has been frequently applied to solve risk-averse models with the Conditional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-26 Joaquim Dias Garcia , Iago Leal , Raphael Chabar , Mario Veiga Pereira

Tail-end risk measures such as static conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) are used in safety-critical applications to prevent rare, yet catastrophic events. Unlike risk-neutral objectives, the static CVaR of the return depends on entire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Aneri Muni , Vincent Taboga , Esther Derman , Pierre-Luc Bacon , Erick Delage

We consider the portfolio optimization with risk measured by conditional value-at-risk, based on the stress event of chosen asset being equal to the opposite of its value-at-risk level, under the normality assumption. Solvability conditions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Anna Zalewska

This paper introduces the notions of stability, ultimate boundedness, and positive invariance for stochastic systems in the view of risk. More specifically, those notions are defined in terms of the worst-case Conditional Value-at-Risk…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Masako Kishida

Value-at-Risk (VaR) is an institutional measure of risk favored by financial regulators. VaR may be interpreted as a quantile of future portfolio values conditional on the information available, where the most common quantile used is 95%.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-18 Khizar Qureshi