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We consider the problem of bid prediction in repeated auctions and evaluate the performance of econometric methods for learning agents using a dataset from a mainstream sponsored search auction marketplace. Sponsored search auctions is a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-11-02 Gali Noti , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Bidding is a key element of search advertising, but the variation in bidders' valuations and strategies is often overlooked. Disclosing bid information helps uncover this heterogeneity and enables platforms to tailor their disclosure…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-10 Zhu Mingxi , Song Michelle

This paper develops a general approach, rooted in statistical learning theory, to learning an approximately revenue-maximizing auction from data. We introduce $t$-level auctions to interpolate between simple auctions, such as welfare…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-12 Jamie Morgenstern , Tim Roughgarden

In this paper, we study the problem of learning to bid in repeated first-price auctions with budget constraints. In each period, the decision maker needs to submit a bid to win the auction and maximize the total collected reward, subject to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Zeng Fu , Jiashuo Jiang , Yuan Zhou

We study the question of setting and testing reserve prices in single item auctions when the bidders are not identical. At a high level, there are two generalizations of the standard second price auction: in the lazy version we first…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-26 Renato Paes Leme , Martin Pal , Sergei Vassilvitskii

Conventional bidding strategies for online display ad auction heavily relies on observed performance indicators such as clicks or conversions. A bidding strategy naively pursuing these easily observable metrics, however, fails to optimize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-10 Daisuke Moriwaki , Yuta Hayakawa , Isshu Munemasa , Yuta Saito , Akira Matsui

Motivated by applications such as stock exchanges and spectrum auctions, there is a growing interest in mechanisms for arranging trade in two-sided markets. Existing mechanisms are either not truthful, or do not guarantee an…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-05-02 Erel Segal-Halevi , Avinatan Hassidim , Yonatan Aumann

Motivated by online advertising auctions, we study auction design in repeated auctions played by simple Artificial Intelligence algorithms (Q-learning). We find that first-price auctions with no additional feedback lead to tacit-collusive…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-02-15 Martino Banchio , Andrzej Skrzypacz

Posted price mechanisms are prevalent in allocating goods within online marketplaces due to their simplicity and practical efficiency. We explore a fundamental scenario where buyers' valuations are independent and identically distributed,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-26 José Correa , Vasilis Livanos , Dana Pizarro , Victor Verdugo

We study risk-free bidding strategies in combinatorial auctions with incomplete information. Specifically, what is the maximum profit that a complement-free (subadditive) bidder can guarantee in a multi-item combinatorial auction? Suppose…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Vishnu V. Narayan , Gautam Rayaprolu , Adrian Vetta

We study the problem of selling a resource through an auction mechanism. The winning buyer in turn develops this resource to generate profit. Two forms of payment are considered: charging the winning buyer a one-time payment, or an initial…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-07-27 Vineet Abhishek , Bruce Hajek , Steven R. Williams

In online advertising, a set of potential advertisements can be ranked by a certain auction system where usually the top-1 advertisement would be selected and displayed at an advertising space. In this paper, we show a selection bias issue…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Shinya Suzumura , Hitoshi Abe

The transition of display ad exchanges from second-price auctions (SPA) to first-price auctions (FPA) has raised questions about its impact on revenue. Auction theory predicts the revenue equivalence between these two auction formats.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-04 Martin Bichler , Alok Gupta , Matthias Oberlechner

In this paper, we study how a budget-constrained bidder should learn to bid adaptively in repeated first-price auctions to maximize cumulative payoff. This problem arises from the recent industry-wide shift from second-price auctions to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Yige Wang , Jiashuo Jiang

Real-time bidding, as one of the most popular mechanisms for selling online ad slots, facilitates advertisers to reach their potential customers. The goal of bidding optimization is to maximize the advertisers' return on investment (ROI)…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Manxing Du , Alexander I. Cowen-Rivers , Ying Wen , Phu Sakulwongtana , Jun Wang , Mats Brorsson , Radu State

Sequential auctions for identical items with unit-demand, private-value buyers are common and often occur periodically without end, as new bidders replace departing ones. We model bidder uncertainty by introducing a probability that a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Amir Ban

While auction theory views bids and valuations as continuous variables, real-world auctions are necessarily discrete. In this paper, we use a combination of analytical and computational methods to investigate whether incorporating…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-08-17 Itzhak Rasooly , Carlos Gavidia-Calderon

We study equilibrium investment into bidding and latency reduction for different sequencing policies. For a batch auction design, we observe that bidders shade bids according to the likelihood that competing bidders land in the current…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Christoph Schlegel

Algorithms increasingly automate bidding in online auctions, raising concerns about tacit bid suppression and revenue shortfalls. Prior work identifies individual mechanisms behind algorithmic bid suppression, but it remains unclear which…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-24 Pranjal Rawat

We consider auction environments in which at the time of the auction bidders observe signals about their ex-post value. We introduce a model of novice bidders who do not know know the joint distribution of signals and instead build a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-07-02 Philippe Jehiel , Konrad Mierendorff