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We present an informal review of recent work on the asymptotics of Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC). In particular we focus on how does the ABC posterior, or point estimates obtained by ABC, behave in the limit as we have more data?…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-26 Paul Fearnhead

We study nonasymptotic (finite-sample) confidence intervals for treatment effects in randomized experiments. In the existing literature, the effective sample sizes of nonasymptotic confidence intervals tend to be looser than the…

New asymptotic approximations of the non-central $t$ distribution are given, a generalization of the Student's $t$ distribution. Using new integral representations, we give new asymptotic expansions for large values of the noncentrality…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Amparo Gil , Javier Segura , Nico M Temme

This paper provides an analysis of the tradeoff between asymptotic bias (suboptimality with unlimited data) and overfitting (additional suboptimality due to limited data) in the context of reinforcement learning with partial observability.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-07 Vincent Francois-Lavet , Guillaume Rabusseau , Joelle Pineau , Damien Ernst , Raphael Fonteneau

A general method is presented for deriving the limiting behavior of estimators that are defined as the values of parameters optimizing an empirical criterion function. The asymptotic behavior of such estimators is typically deduced from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Peter Radchenko

We study the asymptotic performance of the Thompson sampling algorithm in the batched multi-armed bandit setting where the time horizon $T$ is divided into batches, and the agent is not able to observe the rewards of her actions until the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Cem Kalkanli , Ayfer Ozgur

We consider the development of adaptive, instance-dependent algorithms for interactive decision making (bandits, reinforcement learning, and beyond) that, rather than only performing well in the worst case, adapt to favorable properties of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-26 Andrew Wagenmaker , Dylan J. Foster

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods rely on asymptotic arguments, implying that parameter inference can be systematically biased even when sufficient statistics are available. We propose to construct the ABC accept/reject step…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-24 Oliver Ratmann , Anton Camacho , Adam Meijer , Gé Donker

We study asymptotic behavior of one-step $M$-estimators based on samples from arrays of not necessarily identically distributed random variables and representing explicit approximations to the corresponding consistent $M$-estimators. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-12 Yu. Yu. Linke

We construct an asymptotic approximation to the solution of a transmission problem for a body containing a region occupied by many small inclusions. The cluster of inclusions is characterised by two small parameters that determine the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-07-22 Michael Nieves

Regression problems with bounded continuous outcomes frequently arise in real-world statistical and machine learning applications, such as the analysis of rates and proportions. A central challenge in this setting is predicting a response…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-21 Zhanli Wu , Fabrizio Leisen , F. Javier Rubio

We study the questions of determining the asymptotics of the probabilistic characteristics of additive arithmetic functions in the paper, regardless of whether they have a limit distribution or not. Several assertions are proved about the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Victor Volfson

This paper considers the estimation of treatment effects in randomized experiments with complex experimental designs, including cases with interference between units. We develop a design-based estimation theory for arbitrary experimental…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-27 Haoge Chang

We consider the sequential composite binary hypothesis testing problem in which one of the hypotheses is governed by a single distribution while the other is governed by a family of distributions whose parameters belong to a known set…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Jiachun Pan , Yonglong Li , Vincent Y. F. Tan

We study the existence, strong consistency and asymptotic normality of estimators obtained from estimating functions, that are p-dimensional martingale transforms. The problem is motivated by the analysis of evolutionary clustered data,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Laura Dumitrescu , Ioana Schiopu-Kratina

In group sequential designs, where several data looks are conducted for early stopping, we generally assume the vector of test statistics from the sequential analyses follows (at least approximately or asymptotially) a multivariate normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Long-Hao Xu , Tobias Mütze , Frank Konietschke , Tim Friede

We derive a nonparametric higher-order asymptotic expansion for small-time changes of conditional characteristic functions of It\^o semimartingale increments. The asymptotics setup is of joint type: both the length of the time interval of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-12 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

We investigate the performance of parallel and adaptive quantum channel discrimination strategies for a finite number of channel uses. It has recently been shown that, in the asymmetric setting with asymptotically vanishing type I error…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-28 Bjarne Bergh , Nilanjana Datta , Robert Salzmann , Mark M. Wilde

Asymptotic solutions are derived for inhomogeneous differential equations having a large real or complex parameter and a simple turning point. They involve Scorer functions and three slowly varying analytic coefficient functions. The…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-03-02 T. M. Dunster

In this paper we continue our earlier investigations into the asymptotic behaviour of infinite systems of coupled differential equations. Under the mild assumption that the so-called characteristic function of our system is completely…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Lassi Paunonen , David Seifert