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We provide another look at the statistical calibration problem in computer models. This viewpoint is inspired by two overarching practical considerations of computer models: (i) many computer models are inadequate for perfectly modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Xiaowu Dai , Peter Chien

A statistic can be a function of multiple samples. There is little existing work on asymptotic theory for such statistics when group membership is random. We propose a flexible framework that can handle both deterministic and random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Ha-Young Shin

We consider a linear mixed-effects model with a clustered structure, where the parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood (ML) based on possibly unbalanced data. Inference with this model is typically done based on asymptotic theory,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

Modern statistical inference tasks often require iterative optimization methods to compute the solution. Convergence analysis from an optimization viewpoint only informs us how well the solution is approximated numerically but overlooks the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-27 Tengyuan Liang , Weijie Su

Change-point models are widely used by statisticians to model drastic changes in the pattern of observed data. Least squares/maximum likelihood based estimation of change-points leads to curious asymptotic phenomena. When the change-point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Rui Song , Moulinath Banerjee , Michael R. Kosorok

We derive asymptotic formulas for central extended binomial coefficients, which are generalizations of binomial coefficients. To do so, we relate the exact distribution of the sum of independent discrete uniform random variables to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-05 Steffen Eger

Asymptotic expansion is constructed and justified for the solution to a nonuniform Neumann boundary-value problem for the Poisson equation with the right-hand side that depends both on longitudinal and transversal variables in a thin…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-04-30 Arsen V. Klevtsovskiy , Taras A. Mel'nyk

The advantages of adaptive experiments have led to their rapid adoption in economics, other fields, as well as among practitioners. However, adaptive experiments pose challenges for causal inference. This note suggests a BOLS (batched…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-12 Jan Kemper , Davud Rostam-Afschar

We discuss in detail the asymptotic distribution of sample expectiles. First, we show uniform consistency under the assumption of a finite mean. In case of a finite second moment, we show that for expectiles other then the mean, only the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Hajo Holzmann , Bernhard Klar

This paper establishes a formal connection between finite-sample and asymptotically minimax robust hypothesis testing under distributional uncertainty. It is shown that, whenever a finite-sample minimax robust test exists, it coincides with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Gökhan Gül

This thesis considers sequential decision problems, where the loss/reward incurred by selecting an action may not be inferred from observed feedback. A major part of this thesis focuses on the unsupervised sequential selection problem,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-23 Arun Verma

The asymptotic behavior of estimates and information criteria in linear models are studied in the context of hierarchically correlated sampling units. The work is motivated by biological data collected on species where autocorrelation is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-20 Cécile Ané

We introduce templates for exponential asymptotic expansions that, in contrast to matched asymptotic approaches, enable the simultaneous satisfaction of both boundary values in classes of linear and nonlinear equations that are singularly…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-05-19 C. J. Howls

We consider exact asymptotics of the minimax risk for global testing against sparse alternatives in the context of high dimensional linear regression. Our results characterize the leading order behavior of this minimax risk in several…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-03 Rajarshi Mukherjee , Subhabrata Sen

We prove non-asymptotic error bounds for Sequential MCMC methods in the case of multimodal target distributions. Our bounds depend in an explicit way on upper bounds on relative densities, on constants associated with local mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-31 Nikolaus Schweizer

Approximate Bayesian Computation is a family of likelihood-free inference techniques that are well-suited to models defined in terms of a stochastic generating mechanism. In a nutshell, Approximate Bayesian Computation proceeds by computing…

Computation · Statistics 2010-07-28 Michael Blum

In repeated Measure Designs with multiple groups, the primary purpose is to compare different groups in various aspects. For several reasons, the number of measurements and therefore the dimension of the observation vectors can depend on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Paavo Sattler , Markus Pauly

We consider the problem of constructing optimal designs for population pharmacokinetics which use random effect models. It is common practice in the design of experiments in such studies to assume uncorrelated errors for each subject. In…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-16 Holger Dette , Andrey Pepelyshev , Tim Holland-Letz

Uniform convergence rates are provided for asymptotic representations of sample extremes. These bounds which are universal in the sense that they do not depend on the extreme value index are meant to be extended to arbitrary samples…

This paper deals with the problem of asymptotically optimal detection of changes in regime-switching stochastic models. We need to divide the whole obtained sample of data into several sub-samples with observations belonging to different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-25 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky
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