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Related papers: Dynamic Arctic weather variability and connectivit…

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Significant salinity anomalies have been observed in the Arctic Ocean surface layer during the last decade. Using gridded data of winter salinity in the upper 50 m layer of the Arctic Ocean for the period 1950-1993 and 2007-2012, we…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-09-09 Ekaterina A. Chernyavskaya , Ivan Sudakov , Kenneth M. Golden , Leonid A. Timokhov

Spatiotemporal variations in thunderstorm occurrence frequency are considered here using an environmental dataset derived from ERA5 reanalysis data. Interannual variability in the thunderstorm environments is examined for the period…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-17 Andrew Dowdy , Andrew Brown , Todd Lane , Mateusz Taszarek

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index, a measure of sea-level atmospheric pressure variability, holds significant influence over weather patterns in North America and Northern Europe. A negative (positive) NAO value signifies increased…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-12 Alka Yadav , Sourish Das , Anirban Chakraborti , Sudeep Shukla

Analysis of the meteorology of Polar Regions is fundamental to the process of understanding the global climatology of the Earth and Earth-like planets. The nature of air circulation in a polar vortex is of preliminary importance. I have…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-10-04 Krzysztof Sienicki

Past research has shown that multiple climate subsystems might undergo abrupt shifts, such as the Arctic Winter sea ice or the Amazon rainforest, but there are large uncertainties regarding their timing and spatial extent. In this study we…

The stochastic Arctic sea ice model described as a single periodic non-autonomous stochastic ordinary differential equation (ODE) is useful in explaining the seasonal variability of Arctic sea ice. However, to be nearer to realistic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-11-02 Woosok Moon

With growing amounts of wind and solar power in the electricity mix of many European countries, understanding and predicting variations of renewable energy generation at multiple timescales is crucial to ensure reliable electricity systems.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-08 Llorenç Lledó , Jaume Ramon , Albert Soret , Francisco-Javier Doblas-Reyes

Elucidating the statistical properties of extreme meteo-climatic events and capturing the physical processes responsible for their occurrence are key steps for improving our understanding of climate variability and climate change and for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-18 Valerio Lucarini , Vera Melinda Galfi , Gabriele Messori , Jacopo Riboldi

There is an ongoing debate in the literature about whether the present global warming is increasing local and global temperature variability. The central methodological issues of this debate relate to the proper treatment of normalised…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-02-24 Miklos Vincze , Ion Borcia , Uwe Harlander

We propose a method to reconstruct and analyze a complex network from data generated by a spatio-temporal dynamical system, relying on the nonlinear mutual information of time series analysis and betweenness centrality of complex network…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-02-11 Jonathan F. Donges , Yong Zou , Norbert Marwan , Juergen Kurths

Weather regimes describe the large-scale atmospheric circulation in the mid-latitudes in terms of a few circulation states that modulate regional surface weather. Subseasonal forecasts of prevailing weather regimes have proven skillful and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-09 Judith Gerighausen , Joshua Dorrington , Marisol Osman , Christian M. Grams

Arctic coastal morphology is governed by multiple factors, many of which are affected by climatological changes. As the season length for shorefast ice decreases and temperatures warm permafrost soils, coastlines are more susceptible to…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-12-05 Matthew Kupilik , Frank Witmer , Euan-Angus MacLeod , Caixia Wang , Tom Ravens

The thermal dynamics and hydrology of active layer soils and supra-permafrost aquifers determine the fate of the vast pool of carbon that they hold. In permafrost watersheds of Arctic Alaska, air temperature has warmed by up to 3.5 {\deg}C…

Seasonal patterns associated with stress modulation, as evidenced by earthquake occurrence, have been detected in regions characterized by present day mountain building and glacial retreat in the Northern Hemisphere. In the Himalaya and the…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-03-01 Antonella Peresan , Francesco Cocetta , Giuliano F. Panza

The downward trend in Arctic sea ice extent is one of the most dramatic signals of climate change during recent decades. Comprehensive climate models have struggled to reproduce this, typically simulating a slower rate of sea ice retreat…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-12-21 Erica Rosenblum , Ian Eisenman

Atmospheric flows exhibit fluctuations of all scales (space -time) ranging from turbulence (millimeters-seconds) to climate (thousands of kilometers-years). The apparently random fluctuations however exhibit long-range spatio-temporal…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-09-25 Suvarna Fadnavis , A. M. Selvam

The transport of sea ice over the polar oceans plays an important role in climate. This transport is driven predominantly by turbulent winds, leading to stochastic motion of ice floes. Observed diffusivities and velocity distributions of…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-26 Bryan Shaddy , P. Alex Greaney , Bhargav Rallabandi

Near-surface extreme winds profoundly affect human society, yet process-based understanding of their changes under climate forcings remains limited. This study systematically investigates the responses of high (HWE) and low (LWE) wind…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-05 G. Zhang , M. Rao , I. Simpson , K. A. Reed , B. Medeiros , H. -H. Chou , T. Shaw

A proper description of ocean-atmosphere interactions is key for a correct understanding of climate evolution. The interplay among the different variables acting over the climate is complex, often leading to correlations across long spatial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-10-11 Niclas Rieger , Álvaro Corral , Estrella Olmedo , Antonio Turiel