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Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is vital in fields like weather, energy, and finance. However, despite deep learning advancements, traditional Transformer-based models often diminish the effect of crucial inter-variable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Yanhong Li , David C. Anastasiu

The wide spread of new energy resources, smart devices, and demand side management strategies has motivated several analytics operations, from infrastructure load modeling to user behavior profiling. Energy Demand Forecasting (EDF) of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Andreas Tritsarolis , Gil Sampaio , Nikos Pelekis , Yannis Theodoridis

Solar power becomes one of the most promising renewable energy resources in recent years. However, the weather is continuously changing, and this causes a discontinuity of energy generation. PV Power forecasting is a suitable solution to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-22 Mohamed Massaoudi , Ines Chihi , Lilia Sidhom , Mohamed Trabelsi , Shady S. Refaat , Fakhreddine S. Oueslati

Accurately predicting the wind power output of a wind farm across various time scales utilizing Wind Power Forecasting (WPF) is a critical issue in wind power trading and utilization. The WPF problem remains unresolved due to numerous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Hongjin Song , Qianrun Chen , Tianqi Jiang , Yongfeng Li , Xusheng Li , Wenjun Xi , Songtao Huang

Accurate short-term wind speed forecasting is essential for large-scale integration of wind power generation. However, the seasonal and stochastic characteristics of wind speed make forecasting a challenging task. This study uses a new…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-02-24 Mehdi Neshat , Meysam Majidi Nezhad , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Lina Bertling Tjernberg , Davide Astiaso Garcia , Bradley Alexander , Markus Wagner

An accurate load forecast is always important for the power industry and energy players as it enables stakeholders to make critical decisions. In addition, its importance is further increased with growing uncertainties in the generation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-11-26 Muhammad Qamar Raza , N. Mithulananthan , Jiaming Li , Kwang Y. Lee

Over the past years, the share of electricity production from wind power plants has increased to significant levels in several power systems across Europe and the United States. In order to cope with the fluctuating and partially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-19 Line Roald , Sidhant Misra , Michael Chertkov , Scott Backhaus , Göran Andersson

Solar based electricity generations have experienced strong and impactful growth in recent years. The regulation, scheduling, dispatching, and unit commitment of intermittent solar power is dependent on the accuracy of the forecasting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-30 Shaktinarayana Mishra , Lokanath Tripathy , Prachitara Satapathy , P. K. Dash , Nitasha Sahani

Traditionally, power system's inertia has been estimated according to the rotating masses directly connected to the grid. However, a new generation mix scenario is currently identified, where conventional supply-side is gradually replaced…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-04 Ana Fernández-Guillamón , Emilio Gómez-Lázaro , Angel Molina-García

To mitigate the uncertainty of variable renewable resources, two off-the-shelf machine learning tools are deployed to forecast the solar power output of a solar photovoltaic system. The support vector machines generate the forecasts and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-02 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

Accurate building load forecasting plays a critical role in facilitating demand response aggregation and optimizing energy management. However, the complex temporal dependencies and high volatility of building loads limit the improvement of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Hang Fan , Ying Lu , Weican Liu , Dunnan Liu , Xiaotao Chen , Shengwei Mei

Electricity price forecasting is a critical tool for the efficient operation of power systems and for supporting informed decision-making by market participants. This paper explores a novel methodology aimed at improving the accuracy of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-13 Bartosz Uniejewski , Florian Ziel

Electricity networks are vulnerable to weather damage, with severe events often leading to faults and power outages. Timely forecasts of fault occurrences, ranging from nowcasts to several days ahead, can enhance preparedness, support…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-03 Mateus Maia , Daniela Castro-Camilo , Jethro Browell

Long-term time-series forecasting (LTTF) has become a pressing demand in many applications, such as wind power supply planning. Transformer models have been adopted to deliver high prediction capacity because of the high computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-06 Yan Li , Xinjiang Lu , Haoyi Xiong , Jian Tang , Jiantao Su , Bo Jin , Dejing Dou

The uncertainty associated with solar photo-voltaic (PV) power output is a big challenge to design, manage and implement effective demand response and management strategies. Therefore, an accurate PV power output forecast is an utmost…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-11-26 Muhammad Qamar Raza , N. Mithulananthan , Jiaming Li , Kwang Y. Lee , Hoay Beng Gooi

With the increasing penetration of renewable power sources such as wind and solar, accurate short-term, nowcasting renewable power prediction is becoming increasingly important. This paper investigates the multi-modal (MM) learning and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-17 Rushil Vohra , Ali Rajaei , Jochen L. Cremer

Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed are important for a wide range of applications, ranging from operational decision making in connection with wind power generation to storm warnings, ship routing and aviation. We present a statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-06 Michael Scheuerer , David Möller

This study proposes a novel framework for long-term electricity demand prediction based solely on historical consumption data, without relying on external variables such as temperature or economic indicators. The method combines…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Toma Masaki , Kanta Tachibana

The prediction of electrical power in combined cycle power plants is a key challenge in the electrical power and energy systems field. This power output can vary depending on environmental variables, such as temperature, pressure, and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-06 Jesus L. Lobo , Igor Ballesteros , Izaskun Oregi , Javier Del Ser

With more wind farms clustered for integration, the short-term wind speed prediction of such wind farm clusters is critical for normal operation of power systems. This paper focuses on achieving accurate, fast, and robust wind speed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Mumin Zhang , Haochen Zhang , Xin Zhi Khoo , Yilin Zhang , Nuo Chen , Ting Zhang , Junjie Tang