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Averting the impending harms of climate change requires to replace fossil fuels with renewables as a primary source of energy. Non-electric renewable potential being limited, this implies extending the use of electricity generated from wind…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-21 Leonard Göke

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere

The prediction of residential power usage is essential in assisting a smart grid to manage and preserve energy to ensure efficient use. An accurate energy forecasting at the customer level will reflect directly into efficiency improvements…

Accurate and reliable prediction of Photovoltaic (PV) power output is critical to electricity grid stability and power dispatching capabilities. However, Photovoltaic (PV) power generation is highly volatile and unstable due to different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Sarah Almaghrabi , Mashud Rana , Margaret Hamilton , Mohammad Saiedur Rahaman

Accurate forecasting of renewable generation is crucial to facilitate the integration of Renewable Energy Sources into the power system. Focusing on photovoltaic (PV) units, forecasting methods can be divided into two main categories:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Matteo Tortora , Francesco Conte , Gianluca Natrella , Paolo Soda

Inspired from recent insights into the common ground of machine learning, optimization and decision-making, this paper proposes an easy-to-implement, but effective procedure to enhance both the quality of renewable energy forecasts and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-17 Miguel Á. Muñoz , Juan M. Morales , Salvador Pineda

Wind energy significantly contributes to the global shift towards renewable energy, yet operational challenges, such as Leading-Edge Erosion on wind turbine blades, notably reduce energy output. This study introduces an advanced, scalable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-17 Emil Marcus Buchberg , Kent Vugs Nielsen

Real-time optimal power flow (RT-OPF) under wind energy penetration is highly desired but extremely difficult to realize. This is basically due to the conflict between the fast changes in wind power generation and the slow response from the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-02 Erfan Mohagheghi , Aouss Gabash , Pu Li

Accurate projections of wind energy potential under climate change are critical for effective long-term energy planning. While previous studies have highlighted the value of multi-model ensembles, they often fall short in capturing the full…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-02 Andrea Lira-Loarca , Francesco Ferrari , Andrea Mazzino

With the rapid growth of wind power penetration, wind farms (WFs) are required to implement frequency regulation that active power control to track a given power reference. Due to the wake interaction of the wind turbines (WTs), there is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-31 Cheng Zhong , Yicheng Ding , Husai Wang , Jikai Chen , Jian Wang , Yang Li

We study short-term prediction of wind speed and wind power (every 10 minutes up to 4 hours ahead). Accurate forecasts for these quantities are crucial to mitigate the negative effects of wind farms' intermittent production on energy…

The global transition towards renewable energy has accelerated the deployment of utility-scale wind farms, increasing the need for accurate performance and economic assessments. Although wind energy offers substantial potential for carbon…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-25 Ann Mary Toms , Xingpeng Li

Reliable wind turbine power prediction is imperative to the planning, scheduling and control of wind energy farms for stable power production. In recent years Machine Learning (ML) methods have been successfully applied in a wide range of…

The paper introduces a new methodology for assessing on-line the prediction risk of short-term wind power forecasts. The first part of this methodology consists in computing confidence intervals with a confidence level defined by the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-10-05 Georges Kariniotakis , Pierre Pinson

Forecasting multiscale properties of the solar wind is one of the important aspects of space weather prediction as mesoscales, larger than one minute, can affect the magnetosphere. Amongst forecasting techniques, the Analog Ensemble (AnEn)…

Space Physics · Physics 2025-08-05 Pauline A. Simon , Christopher H. K. Chen , Mathew J. Owens , Chaitanya Sishtla

Recent years have seen an unprecedented growth in the use of sensor data to guide wind farm operations and maintenance. Emerging sensor-driven approaches typically focus on optimal maintenance procedures for single turbine systems, or model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-05 Ilke Bakir , Murat Yildirim , Evrim Ursavas

In this article we present an approach that enables joint wind speed and wind power forecasts for a wind park. We combine a multivariate seasonal time varying threshold autoregressive moving average (TVARMA) model with a power threshold…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-03 Florian Ziel , Carsten Croonenbroeck , Daniel Ambach

This paper introduces the concept of affine reserve policies for accommodating large, fluctuating renewable infeeds in power systems. The approach uses robust optimization with recourse to determine operating rules for power system entities…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-07-15 Joseph Warrington , Paul Goulart , Sebastien Mariethoz , Manfred Morari

High wind energy penetration critically challenges the economic dispatch of current and future power systems. Supply and demand must be balanced at every bus of the grid, while respecting transmission line ratings and accounting for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Yu Zhang , Nikolaos Gatsis , Vassilis Kekatos , Georgios B. Giannakis

Owing to its minimal pollution and efficient energy use, wind energy has become one of the most widely exploited renewable energy resources. The successful integration of wind power into the grid system is contingent upon accurate wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Ephrem Admasu Yekun , Alem H. Fitwib , Selvi Karpaga Subramaniand , Anubhav Kumard , Teshome Goa Tella
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