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Demystifying the delay propagation mechanisms among multiple airports is fundamental to precise and interpretable delay prediction, which is crucial during decision-making for all aviation industry stakeholders. The principal challenge lies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Yuankai Wu , Hongyu Yang , Yi Lin , Hong Liu

Diffusion approximation provides weak approximation for stochastic gradient descent algorithms in a finite time horizon. In this paper, we introduce new tools motivated by the backward error analysis of numerical stochastic differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-05 Yuanyuan Feng , Tingran Gao , Lei Li , Jian-Guo Liu , Yulong Lu

With an ever-increasing number of sensors in modern society, spatio-temporal time series forecasting has become a de facto tool to make informed decisions about the future. Most spatio-temporal forecasting models typically comprise distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Lars Ødegaard Bentsen , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Roy Stenbro , Paal Engelstad

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are proposed without considering the agnostic distribution shifts between training and testing graphs, inducing the degeneration of the generalization ability of GNNs on Out-Of-Distribution (OOD) settings. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Shaohua Fan , Xiao Wang , Chuan Shi , Peng Cui , Bai Wang

Short-term passenger flow prediction is an important but challenging task for better managing urban rail transit (URT) systems. Some emerging deep learning models provide good insights to improve short-term prediction accuracy. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Jinlei Zhang , Hua Li , Lixing Yang , Guangyin Jin , Jianguo Qi , Ziyou Gao

Spatio-temporal graph neural networks have proven efficacy in capturing complex dependencies for urban computing tasks such as forecasting and kriging. Yet, their performance is constrained by the reliance on extensive data for training on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Junfeng Hu , Xu Liu , Zhencheng Fan , Yifang Yin , Shili Xiang , Savitha Ramasamy , Roger Zimmermann

Traffic speed prediction is significant for intelligent navigation and congestion alleviation. However, making accurate predictions is challenging due to three factors: 1) traffic diffusion, i.e., the spatial and temporal causality existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Yi Rong , Yingchi Mao , Yinqiu Liu , Ling Chen , Xiaoming He , Dusit Niyato

Recent advancements in Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks (ST-GNNs) and Transformers have demonstrated promising potential for traffic forecasting by effectively capturing both temporal and spatial correlations. The generalization ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Hongjun Wang , Jiyuan Chen , Tong Pan , Zheng Dong , Lingyu Zhang , Renhe Jiang , Xuan Song

Due to the dynamics of underlying physics and external influences, the uncertainty of time series often varies over time. However, existing Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPMs) often fail to capture this non-stationary nature,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Weiwei Ye , Zhuopeng Xu , Ning Gui

As an important part of intelligent transportation systems, traffic forecasting has attracted tremendous attention from academia and industry. Despite a lot of methods being proposed for traffic forecasting, it is still difficult to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Le Zhao , Mingcai Chen , Yuntao Du , Haiyang Yang , Chongjun Wang

Timely accurate traffic forecast is crucial for urban traffic control and guidance. Due to the high nonlinearity and complexity of traffic flow, traditional methods cannot satisfy the requirements of mid-and-long term prediction tasks and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-13 Bing Yu , Haoteng Yin , Zhanxing Zhu

Dynamic spatial graph construction is a challenge in graph neural network (GNN) for time series data problems. Although some adaptive graphs are conceivable, only a 2D graph is embedded in the network to reflect the current spatial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-20 Chengcheng Jia , Bo Wu , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Graph neural networks (GNNs) are powerful tools for solving graph-related problems. Distributed GNN frameworks and systems enhance the scalability of GNNs and accelerate model training, yet most are optimized for node classification. Their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Xin Huang , Chul-Ho Lee

The distributionally robust optimization (DRO)-based graph neural network methods improve recommendation systems' out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization by optimizing the model's worst-case performance. However, these studies fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Chu Zhao , Enneng Yang , Yuliang Liang , Jianzhe Zhao , Guibing Guo , Xingwei Wang

Graph is a flexible and effective tool to represent complex structures in practice and graph neural networks (GNNs) have been shown to be effective on various graph tasks with randomly separated training and testing data. In real…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Shengyu Zhang , Kun Kuang , Jiezhong Qiu , Jin Yu , Zhou Zhao , Hongxia Yang , Zhongfei Zhang , Fei Wu

Recent studies have significantly improved the prediction accuracy of travel demand using graph neural networks. However, these studies largely ignored uncertainty that inevitably exists in travel demand prediction. To fill this gap, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-23 Qingyi Wang , Shenhao Wang , Dingyi Zhuang , Haris Koutsopoulos , Jinhua Zhao

Despite the recent success of Graph Neural Networks, it remains challenging to train a GNN on large graphs with millions of nodes and billions of edges, which are prevalent in many graph-based applications. Traditional sampling-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Zheng Chai , Guangji Bai , Liang Zhao , Yue Cheng

Modern Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) are extremely powerful on a range of computer vision tasks. However, their performance may degrade when the data is characterised by large intra-class variability caused by spatial transformations.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-07-17 Roberto Annunziata , Christos Sagonas , Jacques Calì

Over the past few years, research on deep graph learning has shifted from static graphs to temporal graphs in response to real-world complex systems that exhibit dynamic behaviors. In practice, temporal graphs are formalized as an ordered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Jintang Li , Ruofan Wu , Xinzhou Jin , Boqun Ma , Liang Chen , Zibin Zheng

We propose a novel Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) framework to address the problem of learning uncertainty-aware representations for graph-structured data. While Graph Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (GNODEs) have shown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Richard Bergna , Sergio Calvo-Ordoñez , Felix L. Opolka , Pietro Liò , Jose Miguel Hernandez-Lobato
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