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Scenario-based probabilistic forecasts have become vital for decision-makers in handling intermittent renewable energies. This paper presents a recent promising deep learning generative approach called denoising diffusion probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Esteban Hernandez Capel , Jonathan Dumas

The popularity of deep learning techniques renewed the interest in neural architectures able to process complex structures that can be represented using graphs, inspired by Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). We focus our attention on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-02 Matteo Tiezzi , Giuseppe Marra , Stefano Melacci , Marco Maggini

This paper is the first work to propose a network to predict a structured uncertainty distribution for a synthesized image. Previous approaches have been mostly limited to predicting diagonal covariance matrices. Our novel model learns to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Gara Dorta , Sara Vicente , Lourdes Agapito , Neill D. F. Campbell , Ivor Simpson

In recent years, traffic flow prediction has played a crucial role in the management of intelligent transportation systems. However, traditional forecasting methods often model non-Euclidean low-dimensional traffic data as a simple graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Mei Wu , Yiqian Lin , Tianfan Jiang , Wenchao Weng

Spatio-temporal graph signal analysis has a significant impact on a wide range of applications, including hand/body pose action recognition. To achieve effective analysis, spatio-temporal graph convolutional networks (ST-GCN) leverage the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Zida Cheng , Siheng Chen , Ya Zhang

Spatio-temporal prediction is a crucial research area in data-driven urban computing, with implications for transportation, public safety, and environmental monitoring. However, scalability and generalization challenges remain significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Jiabin Tang , Wei Wei , Lianghao Xia , Chao Huang

Stochastic forecasting is critical for efficient decision-making in uncertain systems, such as energy markets and finance, where estimating the full distribution of future scenarios is essential. We propose Diffusion Scenario Tree (DST), a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Stelios Zarifis , Ioannis Kordonis , Petros Maragos

Forecasting over graph-structured sensor networks demands models that capture both deterministic spatial trends and stochastic variability, while remaining efficient enough for repeated inference as new observations arrive. We propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Hanlin Dong , Arian Prabowo , Hao Xue , Ao Shuang , Tianyi Zhou , Flora D. Salim

In recent years, spatio-temporal graph neural networks (GNNs) have attracted considerable interest in the field of time series analysis, due to their ability to capture, at once, dependencies among variables and across time points. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Flavio Corradini , Flavio Gerosa , Marco Gori , Carlo Lucheroni , Marco Piangerelli , Martina Zannotti

Forecasting future traffic flows from previous ones is a challenging problem because of their complex and dynamic nature of spatio-temporal structures. Most existing graph-based CNNs attempt to capture the static relations while largely…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-06 Ken Chen , Fei Chen , Baisheng Lai , Zhongming Jin , Yong Liu , Kai Li , Long Wei , Pengfei Wang , Yandong Tang , Jianqiang Huang , Xian-Sheng Hua

Origin-Destination (O-D) travel demand prediction is a fundamental challenge in transportation. Recently, spatial-temporal deep learning models demonstrate the tremendous potential to enhance prediction accuracy. However, few studies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Dingyi Zhuang , Shenhao Wang , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Jinhua Zhao

We introduce U-shaped encoder-decoder graph neural networks (U-GNNs) for stochastic graph signal generation using denoising diffusion processes. The architecture learns node features at different resolutions with skip connections between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Yigit Berkay Uslu , Samar Hadou , Sergio Rozada , Shirin Saeedi Bidokhti , Alejandro Ribeiro

Spatial Transformer Networks (STNs) estimate image transformations that can improve downstream tasks by `zooming in' on relevant regions in an image. However, STNs are hard to train and sensitive to mis-predictions of transformations. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Pola Schwöbel , Frederik Warburg , Martin Jørgensen , Kristoffer H. Madsen , Søren Hauberg

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) have recently emerged as the dominant model in computer vision. If provided with enough training data, they predict almost any visual quantity. In a discrete setting, such as classification, CNNs are not…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-11-25 Deepak Pathak , Philipp Krähenbühl , Stella X. Yu , Trevor Darrell

Spatiotemporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) have shown promising results in many domains, from forecasting to epidemiology. However, understanding the dynamics learned by these models and explaining their behaviour is significantly more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Michele Guerra , Simone Scardapane , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Diffusion models have become a leading paradigm in generative AI, with score estimation via denoising score matching as a central component. While recent theory provides strong statistical guarantees, it typically relies on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Yinbin Han , Meisam Razaviyayn , Renyuan Xu

Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) have emerged as a powerful tool for modeling dynamic graph-structured data across diverse domains. However, they often fail to generalize in Spatio-Temporal Out-of-Distribution (STOOD)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Haoyu Zhang , Wentao Zhang , Hao Miao , Xinke Jiang , Yuchen Fang , Yifan Zhang

Recently, diffusion probabilistic models have attracted attention in generative time series forecasting due to their remarkable capacity to generate high-fidelity samples. However, the effective utilization of their strong modeling ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Xinyao Fan , Yueying Wu , Chang Xu , Yuhao Huang , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian

Traffic forecasting has emerged as a core component of intelligent transportation systems. However, timely accurate traffic forecasting, especially long-term forecasting, still remains an open challenge due to the highly nonlinear and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-30 Mingxing Xu , Wenrui Dai , Chunmiao Liu , Xing Gao , Weiyao Lin , Guo-Jun Qi , Hongkai Xiong
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