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Epistemic uncertainty arises in lack of complete knowledge about the state of a system. There are multiple mathematical frameworks for measuring such uncertainty quantitatively, often referred to as imprecise probability theories. Inspired…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Torgeir Aambø

We analyse the structure of imprecise Markov chains and study their convergence by means of accessibility relations. We first identify the sets of states, so-called minimal permanent classes, that are the minimal sets capable of containing…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Damjan Skulj

We consider the parameter estimation of Markov chain when the unknown transition matrix belongs to an exponential family of transition matrices. Then, we show that the sample mean of the generator of the exponential family is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Masahito Hayashi , Shun Watanabe

We introduce Markov Neural Processes (MNPs), a new class of Stochastic Processes (SPs) which are constructed by stacking sequences of neural parameterised Markov transition operators in function space. We prove that these Markov transition…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-26 Jin Xu , Emilien Dupont , Kaspar Märtens , Tom Rainforth , Yee Whye Teh

We construct a family of genealogy-valued Markov processes that are induced by a continuous-time Markov population process. We derive exact expressions for the likelihood of a given genealogy conditional on the history of the underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-26 Aaron A. King , Qianying Lin , Edward L. Ionides

This paper integrates two strands of the literature on stability of general state Markov chains: conventional, total variation based results and more recent order-theoretic results. First we introduce a complete metric over Borel…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-02 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

We model stochastic choices with categorization. The agent preliminarly groups alternatives in homogenous disjoint classes, then randomly chooses one class and randomly picks an item within the selected class. We give a formal definition of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-06 Ester Sudano

In this paper, a class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes with underlying fast dynamic is studied. Using a "penalty method" , an averaging result is obtained when the underlying dynamic is infinitely accelerated. The features of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-31 Alexandre Genadot

We introduce the concept of structured synthesis for Markov decision processes where the structure is induced from finitely many pre-specified options for a system configuration. The resulting synthesis problem is in general a nonlinear…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-07-18 Nils Jansen , Laura Humphrey , Jana Tumova , Ufuk Topcu

There is much interest in using partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) as a formal model for planning in stochastic domains. This paper is concerned with finding optimal policies for POMDPs. We propose several improvements…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Nevin Lianwen Zhang , Stephen S. Lee

Motivated by the study of the time evolution of random dynamical systems arising in a vast variety of domains --- ranging from physics to ecology ---, we establish conditions for the occurrence of a non-trivial asymptotic behaviour for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Vladimir Belitsky , Mikhail Menshikov , Dimitri Petritis , Marina Vachkovskaia

We consider the synthesis of control policies for probabilistic systems, modeled by Markov decision processes, operating in partially known environments with temporal logic specifications. The environment is modeled by a set of Markov…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-03-07 Tichakorn Wongpiromsarn , Emilio Frazzoli

This paper is concerned with the taxonomy of finitely complete categories, based on 'matrix properties' - these are a particular type of exactness properties that can be represented by integer matrices. In particular, the main result of the…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-14 Michael Hoefnagel , Pierre-Alain Jacqmin , Zurab Janelidze

We provide a framework for speeding up algorithms for time-bounded reachability analysis of continuous-time Markov decision processes. The principle is to find a small, but almost equivalent subsystem of the original system and only analyse…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-26 Pranav Ashok , Yuliya Butkova , Holger Hermanns , Jan Křetínský

A concept of "evolving categories" is suggested to build a simple, scalable, mathematically consistent framework for representing in uniform way both data and algorithms. A state machine for executing algorithms becomes clear, rich and…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Evgeny Yanenko

We consider a finite collection of reinforced stochastic processes with a general network-based interaction among them. We provide sufficient and necessary conditions in order to have some form of almost sure asymptotic synchronization,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-11 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi , Andrea Ghiglietti

The probabilistic description of finite classical systems often leads to linear kinetic equations. A set of physically motivated mathematical requirements is accordingly formulated. We show that it necessarily implies that solutions of such…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2008-11-06 Constantinos Tzanakis , Alkis P. Grecos

In this paper, we consider the problem of controlling a partially observed Markov decision process (POMDP) in order to actively estimate its state trajectory over a fixed horizon with minimal uncertainty. We pose a novel active smoothing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-06 Timothy L. Molloy , Girish N. Nair

We introduce and study a family of Markov processes on partitions. The processes preserve the so-called z-measures on partitions previously studied in connection with harmonic analysis on the infinite symmetric group. We show that the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alexei Borodin , Grigori Olshanski

In a standard possibilistic logic, prioritized information are encoded by means of weighted knowledge base. This paper proposes an extension of possibilistic logic for dealing with partially ordered information. We Show that all basic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Salem Benferhat , Sylvain Lagrue , Odile Papini