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The correlation matrix is the key element in optimal portfolio allocation and risk management. In particular, the eigenvectors of the correlation matrix corresponding to large eigenvalues can be used to identify the market mode, sectors and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-05 S. Valeyre , D. S. Grebenkov , S. Aboura

Motivated by practical applications, we explore the constrained multi-period mean-variance portfolio selection problem within a market characterized by a dynamic factor model. This model captures predictability in asset returns driven by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-26 Jianjun Gao , Chengneng Jin , Yun Shi , Xiangyu Cui

A new approach is presented to describe the change in the statistics of the log return distribution of financial data as a function of the timescale. To this purpose a measure is introduced, which quantifies the distance of a considered…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 Andreas P. Nawroth , Joachim Peinke

The number of pension funds has multiplied exponentially over the last decade. Active portfolio management requires a precise analysis of the performance drivers. Several risk and performance attribution metrics have been developed since…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-17 Hugo Inzirillo , Rémi Genet

Recommender systems aim to fulfill the user's daily demands. While most existing research focuses on maximizing the user's engagement with the system, it has recently been pointed out that how frequently the users come back for the service…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Ziru Liu , Shuchang Liu , Bin Yang , Zhenghai Xue , Qingpeng Cai , Xiangyu Zhao , Zijian Zhang , Lantao Hu , Han Li , Peng Jiang

We suggest an empirical model of investment strategy returns which elucidates the importance of non-Gaussian features, such as time-varying volatility, asymmetry and fat tails, in explaining the level of expected returns. Estimating the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-07 Arthur M. Berd

A geometric analysis of the time series of returns has been performed in the past and it implied that the most of the systematic information of the market is contained in a space of small dimension. Here we have explored subspaces of this…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-23 Samuel Eleutério , Tanya Araújo , R. Vilela Mendes

Using an intangible intensity factor that is orthogonal to the Fama--French factors, we compare the role of intangible investment in predicting stock returns over the periods 1963--1992 and 1993--2022. For 1963--1992, intangible investment…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-23 Lin Li

The decision process requires information about the present state of the system, but in economy acquiring data and processing them is an expensive and time consuming process. Therefore the state of the system is measured and announced at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-09-21 Janusz Miskiewicz

Scientific and technological progress is largely driven by firms in many domains, including artificial intelligence and vaccine development. However, we do not know yet whether the success of firms' research activities exhibits dynamic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-03 Shuqi Xu , Manuel S. Mariani , Linyuan Lü , Lorenzo Napolitano , Emanuele Pugliese , Andrea Zaccaria

This paper investigates the Tennis Momentum Model (TMM), which aims to enhance the understanding of match dynamics by integrating key factors such as efficiency, historical scoring probabilities, and real-time scoring data. The model is…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-30 Jackson Graves , Daniel X. Guo , Ridge Shepherd , Alexander Young

An extensive empirical literature documents a generally negative correlation, named the "leverage effect," between asset returns and changes of volatility. It is more challenging to establish such a return-volatility relationship for jumps…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 Markus Bibinger , Christopher Neely , Lars Winkelmann

Customer slowdown describes the phenomenon that a customer's service requirement increases with experienced delay. In healthcare settings, there is substantial empirical evidence for slowdown, particularly when a patient's delay exceeds a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-20 Jori Selen , Ivo Adan , Vidyadhar Kulkarni , Johan van Leeuwaarden

We present an experimental and simulated model of a multi-agent stock market driven by a double auction order matching mechanism. Studying the effect of cumulative information on the performance of traders, we find a non monotonic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Bence Toth , Enrico Scalas , Juergen Huber , Michael Kirchler

The measured correlations of financial time series in subsequent epochs change considerably as a function of time. When studying the whole correlation matrices, quasi-stationary patterns, referred to as market states, are seen by applying…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-03 Anton J. Heckens , Sebastian M. Krause , Thomas Guhr

This paper explores the concept of "momentum" in sports competitions through the use of the TOPSIS model and 0-1 logistic regression model. First, the TOPSIS model is employed to evaluate the performance of two tennis players, with…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-05 Mingpu Ma

We decompose returns for portfolios of bottom-ranked, lower-priced assets relative to the market into rank crossovers and changes in the relative price of those bottom-ranked assets. This decomposition is general and consistent with…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-17 Ricardo T. Fernholz , Christoffer Koch

We consider a dynamic pricing problem where customer response to the current price is impacted by the customer price expectation, aka reference price. We study a simple and novel reference price mechanism where reference price is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Shipra Agrawal , Wei Tang

We consider an M/M/1 feedback queue in which service attempts may fail, requiring the customer to rejoin the queue. Arriving customers act strategically, deciding whether to join the queue based on a threshold strategy that depends on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-16 Peter Taylor , Jiesen Wang

Recommendation systems are pervasive in the digital economy. An important assumption in many deployed systems is that user consumption reflects user preferences in a static sense: users consume the content they like with no other…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Andreas Haupt , Dylan Hadfield-Menell , Chara Podimata