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Understanding individual customers' sensitivities to prices, promotions, brands, and other marketing mix elements is fundamental to a wide swath of marketing problems. An important but understudied aspect of this problem is the dynamic…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-03 Ryan Dew , Yuhao Fan

Position bias poses a persistent challenge in recommender systems, with much of the existing research focusing on refining ranking relevance and driving user engagement. However, in practical applications, the mitigation of position bias…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Andrii Dzhoha , Alexey Kurennoy , Vladimir Vlasov , Marjan Celikik

We investigate the concept of network momentum, a novel trading signal derived from momentum spillover across assets. Initially observed within the confines of pairwise economic and fundamental ties, such as the stock-bond connection of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-25 Xingyue Pu , Stephen Roberts , Xiaowen Dong , Stefan Zohren

We compare observed corporate cumulative default probabilities to those calculated using a stochastic model based on an extension of the work of Black and Cox and find that corporations default as if via diffusive dynamics. The model, based…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Ting Lei , Raymond J. Hawkins

A simple quantum model explains the Levy-unstable distributions for individual stock returns observed by ref.[1]. The probability density function of the returns is written as the squared modulus of an amplitude. For short time intervals…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Martin Schaden

Delay or queue length information has the potential to influence the decision of a customer to use a service system. Thus, it is imperative for service system managers to understand how the information that they provide will affect the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-07 Jamol Pender , Richard H. Rand , Elizabeth Wesson

Factorial moments are convenient tools in particle physics to characterize the multiplicity distributions when phase-space resolution ($\Delta$) becomes small. They include all correlations within the system of particles and represent…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-31 Laurent Schoeffel

The value of stocks, indices and other assets, are examples of stochastic processes with unpredictable dynamics. In this paper, we discuss asymmetries in short term price movements that can not be associated with a long term positive trend.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Ingve Simonsen , Peter Toke Heden Ahlgren , Mogens H. Jensen , Raul Donangelo , Kim Sneppen

In this paper, we use a database of around 400,000 metaorders issued by investors and electronically traded on European markets in 2010 in order to study market impact at different scales. At the intraday scale we confirm a square root…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-09 Emmanuel Bacry , Adrian Iuga , Matthieu Lasnier , Charles-Albert Lehalle

Data is fundamental to machine learning-based products and services and is considered strategic due to its externalities for businesses, governments, non-profits, and more generally for society. It is renowned that the value of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Ehsan Valavi , Joel Hestness , Marco Iansiti , Newsha Ardalani , Feng Zhu , Karim R. Lakhani

In-degree, PageRank, number of visits and other measures of Web page popularity significantly influence the ranking of search results by modern search engines. The assumption is that popularity is closely correlated with quality, a more…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2009-09-29 Sandeep Pandey , Sourashis Roy , Christopher Olston , Junghoo Cho , Soumen Chakrabarti

Factor models have become a common and valued tool for understanding the risks associated with an investing strategy. In this report we describe Exabel's factor model, we quantify the fraction of the variability of the returns explained by…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-24 Øyvind Grotmol , Michael Scheuerer , Kjersti Aas , Martin Jullum

The dynamics of market prices is described as the evolution of opinions in the trading community regarding future market behavior. The price then is a function of the voting process of the market players in favor to raise or reduce the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-31 Elad Oster , Alexander Feigel

Stock prices move as piece-wise trending fluctuation rather than a purely random walk. Traditionally, the prediction of future stock movements is based on the historical trading record. Nowadays, with the development of social media, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Shwai He , Shi Gu

This paper derives the expressions of correlations between prices of two assets, returns of two assets, and price-return correlations of two assets that depend on statistical moments and correlations of the current values, past values, and…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-18 Victor Olkhov

Network-based marketing refers to a collection of marketing techniques that take advantage of links between consumers to increase sales. We concentrate on the consumer networks formed using direct interactions (e.g., communications) between…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Shawndra Hill , Foster Provost , Chris Volinsky

Recently the interest of researchers has shifted from the analysis of synchronous relationships of financial instruments to the analysis of more meaningful asynchronous relationships. Both of those analyses are concentrated only on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-18 Paweł Fiedor

This article provides a simple explanation of the asymptotic concavity of the price impact of a meta-order via the microstructural properties of the market. This explanation is made more precise by a model in which the local relationship…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Sergey Nadtochiy

We study how loyalty behavior of customers and differing costs to produce undifferentiated products by firms can influence market outcomes. In prior works that study such markets, firm costs have generally been assumed negligible or equal,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-01-25 Theja Tulabandhula , Aris Ouksel , Son Nguyen

Evaluation metrics are an essential part of a ranking system, and in the past many evaluation metrics have been proposed in information retrieval and Web search. Discounted Cumulated Gains (DCG) has emerged as one of the evaluation metrics…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2012-12-27 Ke Zhou , Hongyuan Zha , Gui-Rong Xue , Yong Yu
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