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We propose a new variational inference algorithm for learning in Gaussian Process State-Space Models (GPSSMs). Our algorithm enables learning of unstable and partially observable systems, where previous algorithms fail. Our main algorithmic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Silvan Melchior , Sebastian Curi , Felix Berkenkamp , Andreas Krause

We propose new compressive parameter estimation algorithms that make use of polar interpolation to improve the estimator precision. Our work extends previous approaches involving polar interpolation for compressive parameter estimation in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Karsten Fyhn , Marco F. Duarte , Søren Holdt Jensen

A promising approach for scalable Gaussian processes (GPs) is the Karhunen-Lo\`eve (KL) decomposition, in which the GP kernel is represented by a set of basis functions which are the eigenfunctions of the kernel operator. Such decomposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Kyle Hayes , Michael W. Fouts , Ali Baheri , David S. Mebane

We introduce a simple, rigorous, and unified framework for solving nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs), and for solving inverse problems (IPs) involving the identification of parameters in PDEs, using the framework of Gaussian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-12 Yifan Chen , Bamdad Hosseini , Houman Owhadi , Andrew M Stuart

We present a new approach for constructing a data-driven surrogate model and using it for Bayesian parameter estimation in partial differential equation (PDE) models. We first use parameter observations and Gaussian Process regression to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Jing Li , Alexandre M Tartakovsky

Earth observation from satellite sensory data poses challenging problems, where machine learning is currently a key player. In recent years, Gaussian Process (GP) regression has excelled in biophysical parameter estimation tasks from…

We review the field of data assimilation (DA) from a Bayesian perspective and show that, in addition to its by now common application to state estimation, DA may be used for model selection. An important special case of the latter is the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-05 Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Alexis Hannart , Michael Ghil

Sequential neural posterior estimation (SNPE) techniques have been recently proposed for dealing with simulation-based models with intractable likelihoods. Unlike approximate Bayesian computation, SNPE techniques learn the posterior from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-17 Yifei Xiong , Xiliang Yang , Sanguo Zhang , Zhijian He

This article proposes an efficient numerical method for solving nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) based on sparse Gaussian processes (SGPs). Gaussian processes (GPs) have been extensively studied for solving PDEs by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-08-09 Rui Meng , Xianjin Yang

Through the Bayesian lens of data assimilation, uncertainty on model parameters is traditionally quantified through the posterior covariance matrix. However, in modern settings involving high-dimensional and computationally expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-16 Michael Stanley , Mikael Kuusela , Brendan Byrne , Junjie Liu

To achieve scalable and accurate inference for latent Gaussian processes, we propose a variational approximation based on a family of Gaussian distributions whose covariance matrices have sparse inverse Cholesky (SIC) factors. We combine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-30 Jian Cao , Myeongjong Kang , Felix Jimenez , Huiyan Sang , Florian Schafer , Matthias Katzfuss

Calibrating mathematical models of biological processes is essential for achieving predictive accuracy and gaining mechanistic insight. However, this task remains challenging due to limited and noisy data, significant biological…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-04 Piotr Gwiazda , Alexey Kazarnikov , Anna Marciniak-Czochra , Zuzanna Szymańska

In this work, we revisit the adaptive L1 time-stepping scheme for solving the time-fractional Allen-Cahn equation in the Caputo's form. The L1 implicit scheme is shown to preserve a variational energy dissipation law on arbitrary nonuniform…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Hong-lin Liao , Xiaohan Zhu , Jindi Wang

This study proposes an extension of the high-order compact gas-kinetic scheme (CGKS) to compressible flow simulation in an arbitrary Lagrangian-Eulerian (ALE) formulation in unstructured mesh. The ALE method is achieved by subdividing…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-01-05 Yue Zhang , Kun Xu

We propose a novel numerical inversion algorithm for the coefficients of parabolic partial differential equations, based on model reduction. The study is motivated by the application of controlled source electromagnetic exploration, where…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-11-21 Liliana Borcea , Vladimir Druskin , Alexander V. Mamonov , Mikhail Zaslavsky

This paper addresses the Bayesian calibration of dynamic models with parametric and structural uncertainties, in particular where the uncertain parameters are unknown/poorly known spatio-temporally varying subsystem models. Independent…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-02 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

Although data assimilation originates from control theory, the relationship between modern data assimilation methods in geoscience and model predictive control has not been extensively explored. In the present paper, I discuss that the…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-21 Yohei Sawada

The model of partially observed linear system depending on some unknown parameters is considered. An approximation of the unobserved component is proposed. This approximation is realized in three steps. First an estimator of the method of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-20 Yury A. Kutoyants

This paper proposes an effective treatment of hyperparameters in the Bayesian inference of a scalar field from indirect observations. Obtaining the joint posterior distribution of the field and its hyperparameters is challenging. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-20 Nadège Polette , Olivier Le Maître , Pierre Sochala , Alexandrine Gesret

Accurate and timely prediction of crop growth is of great significance to ensure crop yields and researchers have developed several crop models for the prediction of crop growth. However, there are large difference between the simulation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Siqi Zhou , Ling Wang , Jie Liu , Jinshan Tang