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Current methods for regularization in machine learning require quite specific model assumptions (e.g. a kernel shape) that are not derived from prior knowledge about the application, but must be imposed merely to make the method work. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-01 Matthias Wieler

Gaussian processes (GP) for machine learning have been studied systematically over the past two decades and they are by now widely used in a number of diverse applications. However, GP kernel design and the associated hyper-parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Feng Yin , Lishuo Pan , Xinwei He , Tianshi Chen , Sergios Theodoridis , Zhi-Quan , Luo

Data-driven modelling techniques provide a method for deriving models of dynamical systems directly from complicated data streams. However, tracking and forecasting such data streams poses a significant challenge to most methods, as they…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Stephen A Falconer , David J. B. Lloyd , Naratip Santitissadeekorn

This article advocates the use of conformal prediction (CP) methods for Gaussian process (GP) interpolation to enhance the calibration of prediction intervals. We begin by illustrating that using a GP model with parameters selected by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Aurélien Pion , Emmanuel Vazquez

Gaussian processes (GPs) stand as crucial tools in machine learning and signal processing, with their effectiveness hinging on kernel design and hyper-parameter optimization. This paper presents a novel GP linear multiple kernel (LMK) and a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-17 Richard Cornelius Suwandi , Zhidi Lin , Feng Yin , Zhiguo Wang , Sergios Theodoridis

Posterior predictive p-values (ppps) have become popular tools for Bayesian model assessment, being general-purpose and easy to use. However, interpretation can be difficult because their distribution is not uniform under the hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 Sally Paganin , Perry de Valpine

Many applications, such as intermittent data assimilation, lead to a recursive application of Bayesian inference within a Monte Carlo context. Popular data assimilation algorithms include sequential Monte Carlo methods and ensemble Kalman…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-01-15 Sebastian Reich

Graph-based models require aggregating information in the graph from neighbourhoods of different sizes. In particular, when the data exhibit varying levels of smoothness on the graph, a multi-scale approach is required to capture the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Felix L. Opolka , Yin-Cong Zhi , Pietro Liò , Xiaowen Dong

Falsification is the basis for testing existing hypotheses, and a great danger is posed when results incorrectly reject our prior notions (false positives). Though nonparametric and nonlinear exploratory methods of uncovering coupling…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-08 Ameer Ghouse , Gaetano Valenza

In the last decade, a considerable research effort has been devoted to developing adaptive algorithms based on kernel functions. One of the main features of these algorithms is that they form a family of universal approximation techniques,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-08-21 A. Flores , R. C. de Lamare

In this paper we discuss a deterministic form of ensemble Kalman inversion as a regularization method for linear inverse problems. By interpreting ensemble Kalman inversion as a low-rank approximation of Tikhonov regularization, we are able…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Fabian Parzer , Otmar Scherzer

In this letter, we propose an online scalar field estimation algorithm of unknown environments using a distributed Gaussian process (DGP) framework in wireless sensor networks (WSNs). While the kernel-based Gaussian process (GP) has been…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Jaemin Seo , Geunsik Bae , Hyondong Oh

Gaussian processes (GPs) offer appealing properties but are costly to train at scale. Sparse variational GP (SVGP) approximations reduce cost yet still rely on Cholesky decompositions of kernel matrices, ill-suited to low-precision,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-02 Stefano Cortinovis , Laurence Aitchison , Stefanos Eleftheriadis , Mark van der Wilk

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely recognized as powerful non-parametric models for regression and classification. Traditional GP frameworks predominantly operate under the assumption that the inputs are either accurately known or subject…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-14 Muzaffar Qureshi , Tochukwu Elijah Ogri , Zachary I. Bell , Wanjiku A. Makumi , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Mathematical modeling and simulation of complex physical systems based on partial differential equations (PDEs) have been widely used in engineering and industrial applications. To enable reliable predictions, it is crucial yet challenging…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-20 Han Gao , Jian-Xun Wang

To improve the reliability and interpretability of industrial process monitoring, this article proposes a Causal Graph Spatial-Temporal Autoencoder (CGSTAE). The network architecture of CGSTAE combines two components: a correlation graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Xiangrui Zhang

The replica method is a non-rigorous but well-known technique from statistical physics used in the asymptotic analysis of large, random, nonlinear problems. This paper applies the replica method, under the assumption of replica symmetry, to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-01-20 Sundeep Rangan , Alyson K. Fletcher , Vivek K Goyal

Gaussian processes are ubiquitous as the primary tool for modeling spatial data. However, the Gaussian process is limited by its $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$ cost, making direct parameter fitting algorithms infeasible for the scale of modern data…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Ashlynn Crisp , Daniel Taylor-Rodriguez , Andrew O. Finley

Data assimilation is a technique for increasing the accuracy of simulations of solutions to partial differential equations by incorporating observable data into the solution as time evolves. Recently, a promising new algorithm for data…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Adam Larios , Collin Victor

In many signal processing applications of Kalman filter (KF) and its variants and extensions, accurate estimation of extreme states is often of great importance. When the observations used are uncertain, however, KF suffers from conditional…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-02 Haojing Shen , Haksu Lee , Dong-Jun Seo
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