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Quantifying the risk of global warming exceeding critical targets such as 2.0 K requires reliable projections of uncertainty as well as best estimates of Global Mean Surface Temperature (GMST). However, uncertainty bands on GMST projections…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-21 Philip G. Sansom , Donald Cummins , Stephan Siegert , David B. Stephenson

The recently introduced Minimalist Model [Vazquez- Prada et al., 2002] of characteristic earthquakes provides a simple representation of the seismicity originated in a sin- gle fault. Here, we first characterize the properties of this model…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-09-29 R. Lopez-Ruiz , M. Vazquez-Prada , J. B. Gomez , A. F. Pacheco

Android's Earthquake Alert (AEA) system provided timely early warnings to millions during the Mw 6.2 Marmara Ereglisi, T\"urkiye earthquake on April 23, 2025. This event, the largest in the region in 25 years, served as a critical…

While deep learning models have seen recent high uptake in the geosciences, and are appealing in their ability to learn from minimally processed input data, as black box models they do not provide an easy means to understand how a decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-03 Akshat Goel , Denise Gorse

In this work, we discuss use of machine learning techniques for rapid prediction of detonation properties including explosive energy, detonation velocity, and detonation pressure. Further, analysis is applied to individual molecules in…

Natural disasters pose significant challenges to timely and accurate damage assessment due to their sudden onset and the extensive areas they affect. Traditional assessment methods are often labor-intensive, costly, and hazardous to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Catherine Hoier , Khandaker Mamun Ahmed

Accurately separating tectonic, anthropogenic, and geomorphologic seismic sources is essential for Pacific Northwest (PNW) monitoring but remains difficult as networks densify and signals overlap. Prior work largely treats binary…

While modern deep learning methods have shown great promise in the problem of earthquake detection, the most successful methods so far have been based on supervised learning, which requires large datasets with ground-truth labels. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Onur Efe , Arkadas Ozakin

This work investigates the structural properties, cycloid trajectories, and non-asymptotic convergence guarantees of the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for two-component Mixed Linear Regression (2MLR) with unknown mixing weights…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Zhankun Luo , Abolfazl Hashemi

Most machine learning techniques are based upon statistical learning theory, often simplified for the sake of computing speed. This paper is focused on the uncertainty aspect of mathematical modeling in machine learning. Regression analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Valentin Arkov

Accurate slope stability analysis of earth embankments under ground shaking is of great importance for practical use in earthquake geotechnics. This study aims to predict soil slope displacements of earth embankments subjected to earthquake…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Jin Zhenyang , Sanglin Zhao , Fan Siyu , Javdanian Hamed

Over the past decades much effort has been devoted towards understanding and forecasting natural hazards. However, earthquake forecasting skill is still very limited and remains a great scientific challenge. The limited earthquake…

In the present paper we have conducted studies on seismological properties using worldwide data of deep earthquakes (depth larger than 70 km), considering events with magnitude $m \geq 4.5$. We have addressed the problem under the…

The rapid proliferation of deep-learning-based detection and association methods has greatly expanded automatically generated earthquake catalogs, but has also introduced false detections, mis-associated arrivals, and poorly constrained…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-03 Ziye Yu , Jinqing Sun , Yuqi Cai , Zemin Liu , Pingping Wu , Xin Liu , Jiayan Tan

The extreme value index is a fundamental parameter in univariate Extreme Value Theory (EVT). It captures the tail behavior of a distribution and is central in the extrapolation beyond observed data. Among other semi-parametric methods (such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-02 Clément Dombry , Ana Ferreira

Recent developments in extreme value statistics have established the so-called geometric approach as a powerful modelling tool for multivariate extremes. We tailor these methods to the case of spatial modelling and examine their efficacy at…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Lydia Kakampakou , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

We present a deep learning method for single-station earthquake location, which we approach as a regression problem using two separate Bayesian neural networks. We use a multi-task temporal-convolutional neural network to learn epicentral…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-12-02 S. Mostafa Mousavi , Gregory C. Beroza

Induced seismicity has emerged as a source of a significant earthquake hazard associated with recent development of unconventional energy resources. Therefore, it is imperative to develop stochastic models that can accurately describe the…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-08 Robert Shcherbakov

This paper explores the potential of extreme learning machine based supervised classification algorithm for land cover classification. In comparison to a backpropagation neural network, which requires setting of several user-defined…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Mahesh Pal

We introduce a new model for an earthquake fault system that is composed of non-interacting simple lattice models with different levels of damage denoted by $q$. The undamaged lattice models ($q=0$) have Gutenberg-Richter scaling with a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-17 C. A. Serino , K. F. Tiampo , W. Klein