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Accurate prediction of structural failure modes under seismic excitations is essential for seismic risk and resilience assessment. Traditional simulation-based approaches often result in imbalanced datasets dominated by non-failure or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Jungho Kim , Taeyong Kim

This paper develops several interesting, significant, and interconnected approaches to nonparametric or semi-parametric statistical inferences. The overwhelmingly favoured maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) under parametric model is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Haodi Liang , Jiahua Chen

Reliable earthquake detection and seismic phase classification is often challenging especially in the circumstances of low magnitude events or poor signal-to-noise ratio. With improved seismometers and better global coverage, a sharp…

Machine learning (ML) catalogs contain many more earthquakes than routine catalogs, but their performance in phase picking and earthquake detection has not been fully evaluated. We develop station-level detection probabilities using…

Computational earthquake sequence models provide generative estimates of the time, location, and size of synthetic seismic events that can be compared with observed earthquake histories and assessed as rupture forecasts. Here we describe a…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-04-17 Brendan J. Meade

The inverse-free extreme learning machine (ELM) algorithm proposed in [4] was based on an inverse-free algorithm to compute the regularized pseudo-inverse, which was deduced from an inverse-free recursive algorithm to update the inverse of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-13 Hufei Zhu , Chenghao Wei

Geometrical complexities in natural fault zones, such as steps and gaps, pose a challenge in seismic hazard studies as they can act as obstacles to seismic ruptures. In this study, we propose a criterion, which is based on the…

Machine learning (ML) is a revolutionary technology with demonstrable applications across multiple disciplines. Within the Earth science community, ML has been most visible for weather forecasting, producing forecasts that rival modern…

It has recently been found that the evolution of the preparation of a strong earthquake (EQ), as it is monitored through fracture-induced electromagnetic emissions (EME) in the MHz band, presents striking similarity with the evolution of a…

A multicomponent random process used as a model for the problem of space-time earthquake prediction; this allows us to develop consistent estimation for conditional probabilities of large earthquakes if the values of the predictor…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-04-28 V. M. Ghertzik

The quality of space-time earthquake prediction is usually characterized by a two-dimensional error diagram (n,tau), where 'n' is the rate of failures-to-predict and 'tau' is the normalized measure of space-time alarm. The most interesting…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-05-19 G. Molchan , L. Romashkova

Machine learning models play a vital role in the prediction task in several fields of study. In this work, we utilize the ability of machine learning algorithms to predict the occurrence of extreme events in a nonlinear mechanical system.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 J. Meiyazhagan , S. Sudharsan , A. Venkatasen , M. Senthilvelan

Seismic waveforms contain rich information about earthquake processes, making effective data analysis crucial for earthquake monitoring, source characterization, and seismic hazard assessment. With rapid developments in deep learning, the…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-10 Weiqiang Zhu , Junhao Song , Haoyu Wang , Jannes Münchmeyer

Data augmentation with generative adversarial networks (GANs) has been popular for class imbalance problems, mainly for pattern classification and computer vision-related applications. Extreme value forecasting is a challenging field that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Junru Hua , Rahul Ahluwalia , Rohitash Chandra

One of the most significant challenges involved in efforts to understand the effects of repeated earthquake cycle activity are the computational costs of large-scale viscoelastic earthquake cycle models. Computationally intensive…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-05-03 Phoebe R. DeVries , T. Ben Thompson , Brendan J. Meade

We quantify the correlation between earthquakes and use the same to distinguish between relevant causally connected earthquakes. Our correlation metric is a variation on the one introduced by Baiesi and Paczuski (2004). A network of…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-03-25 T. R. Krishna Mohan P. G. , Revathi

In Hezaveh et al. 2017 we showed that deep learning can be used for model parameter estimation and trained convolutional neural networks to determine the parameters of strong gravitational lensing systems. Here we demonstrate a method for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-29 Laurence Perreault Levasseur , Yashar D. Hezaveh , Risa H. Wechsler

Extreme rainfall over the Indian monsoon region poses severe societal and infrastructural risks but remains difficult to predict at daily time scales due to stochastic convective triggering and multiscale atmospheric interactions. While…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Arun Govind Neelan

We introduce a Self-affine Asperity Model (SAM) for the seismicity that mimics the fault friction by means of two fractional Brownian profiles (fBm) that slide one over the other. An earthquake occurs when there is an overlap of the two…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 R. Hallgass , V. Loreto , O. Mazzella , G. Paladin , L. Pietronero

The Gutenberg-Richter law is a fundamental empirical law in seismology describing earthquake frequency-magnitude distributions, with one of its key parameters, the so-called b-value, quantifying the relative frequency of small versus large…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-10 Wenbo Pan , Zixin Zhang , Bjorn Lund , Qinghua Lei