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In distributed systems where strong consistency is costly when not impossible, causal consistency provides a valuable abstraction to represent program executions as partial orders. In addition to the sequential program order of each…
Nonparametric random coefficient (RC)-density estimation has mostly been considered in the marginal density case under strict independence of RCs and covariates. This paper deals with the estimation of RC-densities conditional on a…
Predicting counterfactual outcomes in longitudinal data, where sequential treatment decisions heavily depend on evolving patient states, is critical yet notoriously challenging due to complex time-dependent confounding and inadequate…
In this article, we review selective inference, a set of techniques for inference when the statistical question asked is a function of the data. This setting often arises in contemporary scientific workflows, where hypotheses and parameters…
There is a growing gap between the impressive results of deep image generative models and classical algorithms that offer theoretical guarantees. The former suffer from mode collapse or memorization issues, limiting their application to…
This paper develops a new time series clustering procedure allowing for heteroskedasticity, non-normality and model's non-linearity. At this aim, we follow a fuzzy approach. Specifically, considering a Dynamic Conditional Score (DCS) model,…
This paper proposes confidence regions for the identified set in conditional moment inequality models using Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics with a truncated inverse variance weighting with increasing truncation points. The new weighting…
We derive the divergence-kernel formula for the scores of random dynamical systems, then formally pass to the continuous-time limit of SDEs. Our formula works for multiplicative noise systems over any period of time; it does not require…
In this paper, we present a novel approach for conformal prediction (CP), in which we aim to identify a set of promising prediction candidates -- in place of a single prediction. This set is guaranteed to contain a correct answer with high…
Deploying artificial intelligence (AI) models on edge devices involves a delicate balance between meeting stringent complexity constraints, such as limited memory and energy resources, and ensuring reliable performance in sensitive…
Explainable artificial intelligence promises to yield insights into relevant features, thereby enabling humans to examine and scrutinize machine learning models or even facilitating scientific discovery. Considering the widespread technique…
We introduce a simple tool to control for false discoveries and identify individual signals in scenarios involving many tests, dependent test statistics, and potentially sparse signals. The tool applies the Cauchy combination test…
In a recent article entitled "A simple explanation of the quantum violation of a fundamental inequality," Cabello proposes a condition on a class of probabilistic models that, he claims, gives the same bound on contextuality for the KCBS…
Time series prediction underpins a broad range of downstream tasks across many scientific domains. Recent advances and increasing adoption of black-box machine learning models for time series prediction highlight the critical need for…
Confidence intervals based on the central limit theorem (CLT) are a cornerstone of classical statistics. Despite being only asymptotically valid, they are ubiquitous because they permit statistical inference under weak assumptions and can…
Fractional derivatives can be used to model time delays in a diffusion process. When the order of the fractional derivative is distributed over the unit interval, it is useful for modeling a mixture of delay sources. In some special cases…
The Cauchy+characteristic matching (CCM) problem for the scalar wave equation is investigated in the background geometry of a Schwarzschild black hole. Previously reported work developed the CCM framework for the coupled…
Techniques for detecting critical phenomena -- phase transitions where correlation length diverges and small perturbations have large effects -- have been developed across multiple fields over nine decades. We survey between six and twelve…
Quantifying how distinguishable two stochastic processes are lies at the heart of many fields, such as machine learning and quantitative finance. While several measures have been proposed for this task, none have universal applicability and…
This paper introduces statistical order convergence and its pointwise variant for sequences of order bounded operators between Riesz spaces. We establish fundamental properties: uniqueness of the limit, stability under lattice operations,…