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Human behavior is a dynamic process that evolves with experience. Understanding the evolution of individual's risk propensity is critical to design public health interventions to propitiate the adoption of better biosecurity protocols and…

As a reaction to the high infectiousness and lethality of the COVID-19 virus, countries around the world have adopted drastic policy measures to contain the pandemic. However, it remains unclear which effect these measures, so-called…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-08-11 Lucas Baier , Niklas Kühl , Jakob Schöffer , Gerhard Satzger

Recommender systems are nowadays a pervasive part of our online user experience, where they either serve as information filters or provide us with suggestions for additionally relevant content. These systems thereby influence which…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-01-14 Mathias Jesse , Dietmar Jannach

In this study, we propose a clustering-based approach on time-series data to capture COVID-19 spread patterns in the early period of the pandemic. We analyze the spread dynamics based on the early and post stages of COVID-19 for different…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-05 Mehedi Hassan , Md Enamul Haque , Mehmet Engin Tozal

The new coronavirus disease (COVID-19) threatens the lives of millions of people around the world, making it the largest health threat in recent times. Billions of people around the world are asked to adhere to strict shelter-in-place…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-02 Ennio Bilancini , Leonardo Boncinelli , Valerio Capraro , Tatiana Celadin , Roberto Di Paolo

Social contexts -- such as families, schools, and neighborhoods -- shape life outcomes. The key question is not simply whether they matter, but rather for whom and under what conditions. Here, we argue that prediction gaps -- differences in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Javier Garcia-Bernardo , Eva Jaspers , Weverthon Machado , Samuel Plach , Erik Jan van Leeuwen

We study the question of how best to assign an encouragement in a randomized encouragement study. In our setting, units arrive with covariates, receive a nudge toward treatment or control, acquire one of those statuses in a way that need…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Tim Morrison , Minh Nguyen , Jonathan Chen , Michael Baiocchi , Art B. Owen

The Covid-19 pandemic has sparked renewed attention on the prevalence of misinformation online, whether intentional or not, underscoring the potential risks posed to individuals' quality of life associated with the dissemination of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-07 Emanuele Brugnoli , Marco Delmastro

In combating the ongoing global health threat of the Covid-19 pandemic, decision-makers have to take actions based on a multitude of relevant health data with severe potential consequences for the affected patients. Because of their…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-04-28 Marco Lünich , Kimon Kieslich

Ensuring widespread public exposure to best-science guidance is crucial in a crisis, e.g. Covid-19, climate change. Mapping the emitter-receiver dynamics of Covid-19 guidance among 87 million Facebook users, we uncover a multi-sided battle…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-20 L. Illari , N. Johnson Restrepo , R. Leahy , N. Velasquez , Y. Lupu , N. F. Johnson

To mitigate the adverse effects of low-quality or false information, studies have shown the effectiveness of various intervention techniques through debunking or so-called pre-bunking. However, the effectiveness of such interventions can…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Vaibhav Krishna , Nicholas A. Christakis

Living in the 'Information Age' means that not only access to information has become easier but also that the distribution of information is more dynamic than ever. Through a large-scale online field experiment, we provide new empirical…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-01-05 Taha Yasseri , Jannie Reher

Faced with uncertainty in decision making, individuals often turn to their social networks to inform their decisions. In consequence, these networks become central to how new products and behaviors spread. A key structural feature of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-07 Luca Lazzaro , Manuel S. Mariani , René Algesheimer , Radu Tanase

Our model describes competition between groups driven by the choices of self-interested voters within groups. Within a Poisson voting environment, parties observe aggregate support from groups and can allocate prizes or punishments to them.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-21 Alastair Smith , Bruce Bueno de Mesquita , Tom LaGatta

Spreading processes represent a very efficient tool to investigate the structural properties of networks and the relative importance of their constituents, and have been widely used to this aim in static networks. Here we consider simple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-11 Michele Starnini , Anna Machens , Ciro Cattuto , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor Satorras

While enforcing egalitarian social norms is critical for human society, punishing social norm violators often incurs a cost to the self. This cost looms even larger when one can benefit from an unequal distribution of resources (i.e.…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-29 Shen Zhang , Oriel FeldmanHall , Sébastien Hétu , A. Ross Otto

Pathogens usually exist in heterogeneous variants, like subtypes and strains. Quantifying treatment effects on the different variants is important for guiding prevention policies and treatment development. Here we ground analyses of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-15 Gellert Perenyi , Mats J. Stensrud

Political and advertising campaigns increasingly exploit social networks to spread information and persuade people. This paper studies a persuasion model to examine whether such a strategy is better than simply sending public signals.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-12 Yifan Zhang

We analyse the distribution and the flows between different types of employment (self-employment, temporary, and permanent), unemployment, education, and other types of inactivity, with particular focus on the duration of the school-to-work…

General Economics · Economics 2023-05-31 Davide Fiaschi , Cristina Tealdi

Understanding how vaccine effectiveness (VE) changes over time can provide evidence-based guidance for public health decision making. While commonly reported by practitioners, time-varying VE estimates obtained using Cox regression are vul-…

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