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Obtaining a closed-form sampling distribution for the coalescent with recombination is a challenging problem. In the case of two loci, a new framework based on asymptotic series has recently been developed to derive closed-form results when…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Anand Bhaskar , Yun S. Song

In time series analysis, statistics based on collections of estimators computed from sub-samples play a crucial role in an increasing variety of important applications. Proving results about the joint asymptotic distribution of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-27 Stanislav Volgushev , Xiaofeng Shao

The results in this paper provide new information on asymptotic properties of classical models: the neutral Kingman coalescent under a general finite-alleles, parent-dependent mutation mechanism, and its generalisation, the ancestral…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Martina Favero , Henrik Hult

The aim of this paper is to provide a resampling technique that allows us to make inference on superpopulation parameters in finite population setting. Under complex sampling designs, it is often difficult to obtain explicit results about…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-24 Pier Luigi Conti , Alberto Di Iorio

Solving the recombination equation has been a long-standing challenge of \emph{deterministic} population genetics. We review recent progress obtained by introducing ancestral processes, as traditionally used in the context of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Ellen Baake , Michael Baake

We present a robust method which translates information on the speed of coming down from infinity of a genealogical tree into sampling formulae for the underlying population. We apply these results to population dynamics where the genealogy…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-01 Julien Berestycki , Nathanael Berestycki , Vlada Limic

Asymptotic expansions are derived for the tail distribution of the product of two correlated normal random variables with non-zero means and arbitrary variances, and more generally the sum of independent copies of such random variables.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Robert E. Gaunt , Zixin Ye

Randomness is one of the important key concepts of statistics. In epidemiology or medical science, we investigate our hypotheses and interpret results through this statistical randomness. We hypothesized by imposing some conditions to this…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-11 T. Usuzaki , M. Shimoyama S. Chiba , S. Hotta

Although complete randomization ensures covariate balance on average, the chance for observing significant differences between treatment and control covariate distributions increases with many covariates. Rerandomization discards…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-15 Xinran Li , Peng Ding , Donald B. Rubin

For population genetics models with recombination, obtaining an exact, analytic sampling distribution has remained a challenging open problem for several decades. Recently, a new perspective based on asymptotic series has been introduced to…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-03 Paul A. Jenkins , Yun S. Song

We obtain bivariate asymptotics for the number of (unicellular) combinatorial maps (a model of discrete surfaces) as both the size and the genus grow. This work is related to two research topics that have been very active recently:…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Andrew Elvey Price , Wenjie Fang , Baptiste Louf , Michael Wallner

Wright-Fisher diffusions and their dual ancestral graphs occupy a central role in the study of allele frequency change and genealogical structure, and they provide expressions, explicit in some special cases but generally implicit, for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Martina Favero , Paul A. Jenkins

A large offspring number diploid biparental multilocus population model of Moran type is our object of study. At each timestep, a pair of diploid individuals drawn uniformly at random contribute offspring to the population. The number of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-31 Matthias Birkner , Jochen Blath , Bjarki Eldon

Consider a continuous-time binary branching process conditioned to have population size n at some time t, and with a chance p for recording each extinct individual in the process. Within the family tree of this process, we consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Lea Popovic

We consider a spatial branching process with emigration in which children either remain at the same site as their parents or migrate to new locations and then found their own colonies. We are interested in asymptotics of the partition of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Jean Bertoin

Widely used models in genetics include the Wright-Fisher diffusion and its moment dual, Kingman's coalescent. Each has a multilocus extension but under neither extension is the sampling distribution available in closed-form, and their…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-24 Paul A. Jenkins , Paul Fearnhead , Yun S. Song

Frequentist-style large-sample properties of Bayesian posterior distributions, such as consistency and convergence rates, are important considerations in nonparametric problems. In this paper we give an analysis of Bayesian asymptotics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Ryan Martin , Liang Hong

In this work, we study the concept of self-overlapping permutations, which is related to the larger study of consecutive patterns in permutations. We show that this concept admits a simple and clear geometrical meaning, and prove that a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Sergey Kirgizov , Khaydar Nurligareev

The probability that two randomly selected phylogenetic trees of the same size are isomorphic is found to be asymptotic to a decreasing exponential modulated by a polynomial factor. The number of symmetrical nodes in a random phylogenetic…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-07 Miklos Bona , Philippe Flajolet

With many pretreatment covariates and treatment factors, the classical factorial experiment often fails to balance covariates across multiple factorial effects simultaneously. Therefore, it is intuitive to restrict the randomization of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Xinran Li , Peng Ding , Donald B. Rubin
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