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We introduce a novel generative model for the representation of joint probability distributions of a possibly large number of discrete random variables. The approach uses measure transport by randomized assignment flows on the statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-15 Bastian Boll , Daniel Gonzalez-Alvarado , Stefania Petra , Christoph Schnörr

Microgrid operation is highly vulnerable to short-term load uncertainty, while conventional predict-then-optimize pipelines cannot fully align probabilistic forecasting quality with downstream robust scheduling performance. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Tingwei Cao , Yan Xu

We propose Generative Adversarial Regression (GAR), a framework for learning conditional risk scenarios through generators aligned with downstream risk objectives. GAR builds on a regression characterization of conditional risk for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-10 Saeed Asadi , Jonathan Yu-Meng Li

We propose the joint graph attention neural network (GAT), clustering with adaptive neighbors (CAN) and probabilistic graphical model for dynamic power flow analysis and fault characteristics. In fact, computational efficiency is the main…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Tan Le , Van Le

We study a continuous-time portfolio optimization problem under an explicit constraint on the Deviation Conditional Value-at-Risk (DCVaR), defined as the difference between the CVaR and the expected terminal wealth. While the mean-CVaR…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Jérôme Lelong , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , William Thevenot

This paper proposes a novel meta-learning approach to optimize a robust portfolio ensemble. The method uses a deep generative model to generate diverse and high-quality sub-portfolios combined to form the ensemble portfolio. The generative…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Kamer Ali Yuksel

Modeling and characterizing multiple factors is perhaps the most important step in achieving excess returns over market benchmarks. Both academia and industry are striving to find new factors that have good explanatory power for future…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-31 Zikai Wei , Bo Dai , Dahua Lin

Instead of conducting manual factor construction based on traditional and behavioural finance analysis, academic researchers and quantitative investment managers have leveraged Genetic Programming (GP) as an automatic feature construction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-14 Jie Fang , Jianwu Lin , Shutao Xia , Yong Jiang , Zhikang Xia , Xiang Liu

We propose and study a simple model of dynamical redistribution of capital in a diversified portfolio. We consider a hypothetical situation of a portfolio composed of N uncorrelated stocks. Each stock price follows a multiplicative random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Matteo Marsili , Sergei Maslov , Yi-Cheng Zhang

We address a portfolio selection problem that combines active (outperformance) and passive (tracking) objectives using techniques from convex analysis. We assume a general semimartingale market model where the assets' growth rate processes…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-19 Ali Al-Aradi , Sebastian Jaimungal

Obtaining reliable estimates of conditional covariance matrices is an important task of heteroskedastic multivariate time series. In portfolio optimization and financial risk management, it is crucial to provide measures of uncertainty and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-19 Davide Ravagli , Georgi N. Boshnakov

Propose a deep learning driven multi factor investment model optimization method for risk control. By constructing a deep learning model based on Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) and combining it with a multi factor investment model, we…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-02 Ruisi Li , Xinhui Gu

Signals coming from multivariate higher order conditional moments as well as the information contained in exogenous covariates, can be effectively exploited by rational investors to allocate their wealth among different risky investment…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-21 Mauro Bernardi , Leopoldo Catania

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has been widely studied in the portfolio management task. However, it is challenging to understand a DRL-based trading strategy because of the black-box nature of deep neural networks. In this paper, we…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-21 Mao Guan , Xiao-Yang Liu

Portfolio optimization is one of the most attentive fields that have been researched with machine learning approaches. Many researchers attempted to solve this problem using deep reinforcement learning due to its efficient inherence that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-11 Tae Wan Kim , Matloob Khushi

This study introduces a dynamic investment framework to enhance portfolio management in volatile markets, offering clear advantages over traditional static strategies. Evaluates four conventional approaches : equal weighted, minimum…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-07 Jinhui Li , Wenjia Xie , Luis Seco

While maximizing expected return is the goal in most reinforcement learning approaches, risk-sensitive objectives such as conditional value at risk (CVaR) are more suitable for many high-stakes applications. However, relatively little is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-06 Ramtin Keramati , Christoph Dann , Alex Tamkin , Emma Brunskill

Graph neural networks are often used to model interacting dynamical systems since they gracefully scale to systems with a varying and high number of agents. While there has been much progress made for deterministic interacting systems,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

Portfolio Selection is an important real-world financial task and has attracted extensive attention in artificial intelligence communities. This task, however, has two main difficulties: (i) the non-stationary price series and complex asset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-09 Yifan Zhang , Peilin Zhao , Qingyao Wu , Bin Li , Junzhou Huang , Mingkui Tan

Stock trend classification remains a fundamental yet challenging task, owing to the intricate time-evolving dynamics between and within stocks. To tackle these two challenges, we propose a graph-based representation learning approach aimed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-17 Zinuo You , Pengju Zhang , Jin Zheng , John Cartlidge
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