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We develop a new approach for detecting changes in the behavior of stochastic processes and random fields based on tensor product representations such as the Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansion. From the associated eigenspaces of the covariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Julio Enrique Castrillon-Candas , Mark Kon

In this paper, Wang's log-Harnack inequality and exponential ergodicity are derived for two types of distribution dependent SDEs: one is the CKLS model, where the diffusion coefficient is a power function of order $\theta$ with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-20 Yifan Bai , Xing Huang

Comparing yield quality distributions across multiple agricultural fields is fundamental for evaluating management practices, yet it is complicated by two pervasive data characteristics: non-normality and spatial autocorrelation.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Marco Mandap

Latent variable models have been widely applied for the analysis of time series resulting from experimental neuroscience techniques. In these datasets, observations are relatively smooth and possibly nonlinear. We present Variational…

High-dimensional multivariate time series are common in many scientific and industrial applications, where the interest lies in identifying key dependence structure within the data for subsequent analysis tasks, such as forecasting. An…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-15 Madeline A. Shelley , Chiara Boetti , Marina I. Knight , Matthew A. Nunes

In this work we propose a novel approach for modeling spatio-temporal data characterized by group structures. In particular, we extend classical mixed effect regression models by introducing a space-time nonparametric component, regularized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Marco F. De Sanctis , Eleonora Arnone , Francesca Ieva , Laura M. Sangalli

We propose robust two-sample tests for comparing means in time series. The framework accommodates a wide range of applications, including structural breaks, treatment-control comparisons, and group-averaged panel data. We first consider…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-23 Ulrich Hounyo , Min Seong Kim

We introduce computational methods that allow for effective estimation of a flexible, parametric non-stationary spatial model when the field size is too large to compute the multivariate normal likelihood directly. In this method, the field…

Computation · Statistics 2018-09-20 Amanda Muyskens , Joseph Guinness , Montserrat Fuentes

The Swift-Hohenberg fluid convection system with both local and nonlocal nonlinearities under the influence of white noise is studied. The objective is to understand the difference in the dynamical behavior in both local and nonlocal cases.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Wei Wang , Jianhua Sun , Jinqiao Duan

In this work, we propose a deep learning-based method to perform semiparametric regression analysis for spatially dependent data. To be specific, we use a sparsely connected deep neural network with rectified linear unit (ReLU) activation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-19 Kexuan Li , Jun Zhu , Anthony R. Ives , Volker C. Radeloff , Fangfang Wang

This article investigates the weak approximation towards the invariant measure of semi-linear stochastic differential equations (SDEs) under non-globally Lipschitz coefficients. For this purpose, we propose a linear-theta-projected Euler…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Chenxu Pang , Xiaojie Wang , Yue Wu

In spatial statistics, it is often assumed that the spatial field of interest is stationary and its covariance has a simple parametric form, but these assumptions are not appropriate in many applications. Given replicate observations of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-14 Brian Kidd , Matthias Katzfuss

In this paper, we conduct a simulation study with subject-level data to evaluate conventional meta-regression approaches (study-level random, fixed, and mixed effects) against seven methodology specifications new to meta-regressions that…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-18 Ali Habibnia , Jonathan Gendron

We propose a statistical-stochastic surrogate modeling approach to predict the response of the mean and variance statistics under various initial conditions and external forcing perturbations. The proposed modeling framework extends the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-04-07 Di Qi , John Harlim

With the emergence of dynamic multiplex networks, corresponding to graphs where multiple types of edges evolve over time, a key inferential task is to determine whether the layers associated with different edge types differ in their…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-04 Maximilian Baum , Francesco Sanna Passino , Axel Gandy

We study the construction of the theoretical foundation of model comparison for ergodic stochastic differential equation (SDE) models and an extension of the applicable scope of the conventional Bayesian information criterion. Different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Shoichi Eguchi , Yuma Uehara

Spatial dependence, referring to the correlation between variable values observed at different geographic locations, is one of the most fundamental characteristics of spatial data. The presence of spatial dependence violates the classical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-23 Chuan Chen , Peng Luo

Towards understanding the fundamental limits of estimation from data of varied quality, we study the problem of estimating a mean parameter from heteroskedastic Gaussian observations where the variances are unknown and may vary arbitrarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Yanjun Han , Abhishek Shetty , Jacob Shkrob

We propose a nonparametric test for serial independence that aggregates pairwise similarities of observations with lag-dependent weights. The resulting statistic is powerful to general forms of temporal dependence, including nonlinear and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Qihua Zhu , Mingshuo Liu , Yuefeng Han , Doudou Zhou

Extreme events over large spatial domains may exhibit highly heterogeneous tail dependence characteristics, yet most existing spatial extremes models yield only one dependence class over the entire spatial domain. To accurately characterize…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Muyang Shi , Likun Zhang , Mark D. Risser , Benjamin A. Shaby
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