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We introduce Accelerated Sequential Posterior Inference via Reuse (ASPIRE), a broadly applicable framework that transforms existing posterior samples and Bayesian evidence estimates into unbiased results under alternative models without…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2025-11-07 Michael J. Williams

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables amortized Bayesian inference by first training a neural posterior estimator (NPE) on prior-simulator pairs, typically through low-dimensional summary statistics, which can then be cheaply reused for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Sherman Khoo , Dennis Prangle , Song Liu , Mark Beaumont

Conventional atmospheric retrieval codes are designed to extract information, such as chemical abundances, thermal structures and cloud properties, from fully "reduced" spectra obtained during transit or eclipse. Reduced spectra, however,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-03-05 Quentin Changeat , Yuichi Ito , Ahmed F. Al-Refaie , Kai Hou Yip , Theresa Lueftinger

This brief review focuses on methods and applications of modeling exoplanetary atmospheres. We discuss various kinds of state of the art self-consistent and retrieval models in 1D and multi-D with a focus on open questions and short- and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-15 Jonathan J. Fortney , Joanna K. Barstow , Nikku Madhusudhan

Accurate precipitation estimation is critical for flood forecasting, water resource management, and disaster preparedness. Satellite products provide global hourly coverage but contain systematic biases; ground-based gauges are accurate at…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Shunya Nagashima , Takumi Bannai , Shuitsu Koyama , Tomoya Mitsui , Shuntaro Suzuki

Contemporary exoplanet and brown dwarf atmospheric research relies heavily on retrieval frameworks to recover thermal and chemical properties and perform model comparison in an observational data-driven approach. However, the computational…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-24 Elspeth K. H. Lee

Atmospheric retrievals are now a standard tool to analyze observations of exoplanet atmospheres. This data-driven approach quantitatively compares atmospheric models to observations in order to estimate atmospheric properties and their…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-10 Joshua D. Lothringer , Travis S. Barman

Estimation of permutation entropy (PE) using Bayesian statistical methods is presented for systems where the ordinal pattern sampling follows an independent, multinomial distribution. It is demonstrated that the PE posterior distribution is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-02-09 Douglas J. Little , Joshua P. Toomey , Deb M. Kane

The high-contrast imaging technique is meant to provide insight into those planets orbiting several astronomical units from their host star. Space missions such as WFIRST, HabEx, and LUVOIR will measure reflected light spectra of cold…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-08 Mario Damiano , Renyu Hu

Recent spectroscopic observations of transiting hot Jupiters have permitted the derivation of the thermal structure and molecular abundances of H2O, CO2, CO, and CH4 in these extreme atmospheres. Here, for the first time, we apply the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-30 Jae-Min Lee , Leigh N. Fletcher , Patrick G. J. Irwin

Inferring the number of planets $N$ in an exoplanetary system from radial velocity (RV) data is a challenging task. Recently, it has become clear that RV data can contain periodic signals due to stellar activity, which can be difficult to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-23 Brendon J. Brewer , Courtney P. Donovan

Over the last several years, spectroscopic observations of transiting exoplanets have begun to uncover information about their atmospheres, including atmospheric composition and indications of the presence of clouds and hazes. Spectral…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-10 Joanna K. Barstow , Quentin Changeat , Ryan Garland , Michael R. Line , Marco Rocchetto , Ingo P. Waldmann

To increase the sample size of future atmospheric characterization efforts, we build on the planetary infrared excess (PIE) technique that has been proposed as a means to detect and characterize the thermal spectra of transiting and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-11-03 Jacob Lustig-Yaeger , Kevin B. Stevenson , L. C. Mayorga , Kristin S. Sotzen , Erin M. May , Noam R. Izenberg , Kathleen Mandt

In the last decade, over a million stars were monitored to detect transiting planets. Manual interpretation of potential exoplanet candidates is labor intensive and subject to human error, the results of which are difficult to quantify.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-12-20 Kyle A. Pearson , Leon Palafox , Caitlin A. Griffith

Exoplanet characterization is one of the main foci of current exoplanetary science. For super-Earths and sub-Neptunes, we mostly rely on mass and radius measurements, which allow to derive the body's mean density and give a rough estimate…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-06-16 J. F. Otegi , C. Dorn , R. Helled , F. Bouchy , J. Haldemann , Y. Alibert

Atmospheric retrieval studies are essential to determine the science requirements for future generation missions, such as the Large Interferometer for Exoplanets (LIFE). The use of heterogeneous absorption cross-sections might be the cause…

We present a new method to retrieve molecular abundances and temperature profiles from exoplanet atmosphere photometry and spectroscopy. We run millions of 1D atmosphere models in order to cover the large range of allowed parameter space,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 N. Madhusudhan , S. Seager

Neural networks are popular state-of-the-art models for many different tasks.They are often trained via back-propagation to find a value of the weights that correctly predicts the observed data. Although back-propagation has shown good…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Simón Rodríguez Santana , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

The search for exoplanets is an active field in astronomy, with direct imaging as one of the most challenging methods due to faint exoplanet signals buried within stronger residual starlight. Successful detection requires advanced image…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-24 Théo Bodrito , Olivier Flasseur , Julien Mairal , Jean Ponce , Maud Langlois , Anne-Marie Lagrange

Neural architecture search (NAS) remains a challenging problem, which is attributed to the indispensable and time-consuming component of performance estimation (PE). In this paper, we provide a novel yet systematic rethinking of PE in a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-21 Xiawu Zheng , Rongrong Ji , Qiang Wang , Qixiang Ye , Zhenguo Li , Yonghong Tian , Qi Tian
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