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Generative modeling of spatio-temporal fields is crucial for a variety of applications, including stochastic weather generators and climate-model surrogates. However, many such fields exhibit complex dependence structures that vary across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Carrie J. Lei-Cramer , Jian Cao , Matthias Katzfuss

Data assimilation in models representing spatio-temporal phenomena poses a challenge, particularly if the spatial histogram of the variable appears with multiple modes. The traditional Kalman model is based on a Gaussian initial…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-26 Maxime Conjard , Henning Omre

State-space models (SSM) are central to describe time-varying complex systems in countless signal processing applications such as remote sensing, networks, biomedicine, and finance to name a few. Inference and prediction in SSMs are…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-26 Víctor Elvira , Émilie Chouzenoux

Probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) are powerful tools for representing statistical dependencies through graphs in high-dimensional systems. However, they are limited to pairwise interactions. In this work, we propose the simplicial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-16 Lorenzo Marinucci , Gabriele D'Acunto , Paolo Di Lorenzo , Sergio Barbarossa

Though Gaussian graphical models have been widely used in many scientific fields, relatively limited progress has been made to link graph structures to external covariates. We propose a Gaussian graphical regression model, which regresses…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-01 Jingfei Zhang , Yi Li

The Gaussian process state-space model (GPSSM) has garnered considerable attention over the past decade. However, the standard GP with a preliminary kernel, such as the squared exponential kernel or Mat\'{e}rn kernel, that is commonly used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Zhid Lin , Feng Yin , Juan Maroñas

Graphical models are an important tool in exploring relationships between variables in complex, multivariate data. Methods for learning such graphical models are well developed in the case where all variables are either continuous or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-15 Konstantin Göbler , Anne Miloschewski , Mathias Drton , Sach Mukherjee

With the rapid development of web services, large amounts of time series data are generated and accumulated across various domains such as finance, healthcare, and online platforms. As such data often co-evolves with multiple variables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Shingo Higashiguchi , Koki Kawabata , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

This paper introduces the Gaussian multi-Graphical Model, a model to construct sparse graph representations of matrix- and tensor-variate data. We generalize prior work in this area by simultaneously learning this representation across…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-28 Bailey Andrew , David Westhead , Luisa Cutillo

For a learning task, Gaussian process (GP) is interested in learning the statistical relationship between inputs and outputs, since it offers not only the prediction mean but also the associated variability. The vanilla GP however struggles…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-01 Haitao Liu , Yew-Soon Ong , Xiaomo Jiang , Xiaofang Wang

We address the problem of building theoretical models that help elucidate the function of the visual brain at computational/algorithmic and structural/mechanistic levels. We seek to understand how the receptive fields and topographic maps…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Simon Osindero

The vast quantity of information brought by big data as well as the evolving computer hardware encourages success stories in the machine learning community. In the meanwhile, it poses challenges for the Gaussian process (GP) regression, a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-10 Haitao Liu , Yew-Soon Ong , Xiaobo Shen , Jianfei Cai

Marginalization of latent variables or nuisance parameters is a fundamental aspect of Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification. In this work, we focus on scalable marginalization of latent variables in modeling correlated data,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-13 Mengyang Gu , Xubo Liu , Xinyi Fang , Sui Tang

We present an improved model and theory for time-causal and time-recursive spatio-temporal receptive fields, obtained by a combination of Gaussian receptive fields over the spatial domain and first-order integrators or equivalently…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-25 Tony Lindeberg

Advances in neural variational inference have facilitated the learning of powerful directed graphical models with continuous latent variables, such as variational autoencoders. The hope is that such models will learn to represent rich,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-09-26 Iulian V. Serban , Alexander G. Ororbia , Joelle Pineau , Aaron Courville

Machines that can replicate human intelligence with type 2 reasoning capabilities should be able to reason at multiple levels of spatio-temporal abstractions and scales using internal world models. Devising formalisms to develop such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Vaisakh Shaj

We introduce a generic, compositional and interpretable class of generative world models that supports open-ended learning agents. This is a sparse class of Bayesian networks capable of approximating a broad range of stochastic processes,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Lancelot Da Costa

Deep Recurrent Neural Network architectures, though remarkably capable at modeling sequences, lack an intuitive high-level spatio-temporal structure. That is while many problems in computer vision inherently have an underlying high-level…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-04-12 Ashesh Jain , Amir R. Zamir , Silvio Savarese , Ashutosh Saxena

Differential equations are important mechanistic models that are integral to many scientific and engineering applications. With the abundance of available data there has been a growing interest in data-driven physics-informed models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Oliver Hamelijnck , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

The increased demand for online prediction and the growing availability of large data sets drives the need for computationally efficient models. While exact Gaussian process regression shows various favorable theoretical properties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-02 Armin Lederer , Alejandro Jose Ordonez Conejo , Korbinian Maier , Wenxin Xiao , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche