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In this work we study the non-parametric reconstruction of spatio-temporal dynamical Gaussian processes (GPs) via GP regression from sparse and noisy data. GPs have been mainly applied to spatial regression where they represent one of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Marco Todescato , Andrea Carron , Ruggero Carli , Gianluigi Pillonetto , Luca Schenato

Graphs are fundamental mathematical structures used in various fields to represent data, signals and processes. In this paper, we propose a novel framework for learning/estimating graphs from data. The proposed framework includes (i)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-07 Hilmi E. Egilmez , Eduardo Pavez , Antonio Ortega

This paper describes methods for comparative evaluation of the interpretability of models of high dimensional time series data inferred by unsupervised machine learning algorithms. The time series data used in this investigation were logs…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Nicholas Hoernle , Kobi Gal , Barbara Grosz , Leilah Lyons , Ada Ren , Andee Rubin

Gaussian graphical models (GGM) have been widely used in many high-dimensional applications ranging from biological and financial data to recommender systems. Sparsity in GGM plays a central role both statistically and computationally.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-12 Zhaoshi Meng , Brian Eriksson , Alfred O. Hero

Although spatio-temporal graph neural networks have achieved great empirical success in handling multiple correlated time series, they may be impractical in some real-world scenarios due to a lack of sufficient high-quality training data.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-10 Chao Pan , Siheng Chen , Antonio Ortega

In the study of natural and artificial complex systems, responses that are not completely determined by the considered decision variables are commonly modelled probabilistically, resulting in response distributions varying across decision…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Athénaïs Gautier , David Ginsbourger , Guillaume Pirot

Intensive longitudinal studies are becoming progressively more prevalent across many social science areas, especially in psychology. New technologies like smart-phones, fitness trackers, and the Internet of Things make it much easier than…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-17 Yunxiao Chen , Siliang Zhang

Gaussian state space models have been used for decades as generative models of sequential data. They admit an intuitive probabilistic interpretation, have a simple functional form, and enjoy widespread adoption. We introduce a unified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-06 Rahul G. Krishnan , Uri Shalit , David Sontag

As we continue to collect and store textual data in a multitude of domains, we are regularly confronted with material whose largely unknown thematic structure we want to uncover. With unsupervised, exploratory analysis, no prior knowledge…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2015-07-20 Samuel Rönnqvist

In this work, we present a new approach for constructing models for correlation matrices with a user-defined graphical structure. The graphical structure makes correlation matrices interpretable and avoids the quadratic increase of…

We consider the estimation and inference of graphical models that characterize the dependency structure of high-dimensional tensor-valued data. To facilitate the estimation of the precision matrix corresponding to each way of the tensor, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-27 Xiang Lyu , Will Wei Sun , Zhaoran Wang , Han Liu , Jian Yang , Guang Cheng

Extremal graphical models encode the conditional independence structure of multivariate extremes and provide a powerful tool for quantifying the risk of rare events. Prior work on learning these graphs from data has focused on the setting…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Sebastian Engelke , Armeen Taeb

With the rapid adoption of machine learning techniques for large-scale applications in science and engineering comes the convergence of two grand challenges in visualization. First, the utilization of black box models (e.g., deep neural…

We explore various Bayesian approaches to estimate partial Gaussian graphical models. Our hierarchical structures enable to deal with single-output as well as multiple-output linear regressions, in small or high dimension, enforcing either…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-14 Eunice Okome Obiang , Pascal Jézéquel , Frédéric Proïa

The interface between stochastic analysis and machine learning is a rapidly evolving field, with path signatures - iterated integrals that provide faithful, hierarchical representations of paths - offering a principled and universal feature…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-26 Csaba Tóth

We propose a new method for simplification of Gaussian process (GP) models by projecting the information contained in the full encompassing model and selecting a reduced number of variables based on their predictive relevance. Our results…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari

This paper proposes a novel graphical model, termed the spatial dependence graph model, which captures the global dependence structure of different events that occur randomly in space. In the spatial dependence graph model, the edge set is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-26 Matthias Eckardt

Real-world optimization problems are generally not just black-box problems, but also involve mixed types of inputs in which discrete and continuous variables coexist. Such mixed-space optimization possesses the primary challenge of modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Jaeyeon Ahn , Taehyeon Kim , Seyoung Yun

Model-based approaches bear great promise for decision making of agents interacting with the physical world. In the context of spatial environments, different types of problems such as localisation, mapping, navigation or autonomous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-21 Atanas Mirchev , Baris Kayalibay , Maximilian Soelch , Patrick van der Smagt , Justin Bayer

Dynamic topic models (DTMs) model the evolution of prevalent themes in literature, online media, and other forms of text over time. DTMs assume that word co-occurrence statistics change continuously and therefore impose continuous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-22 Patrick Jähnichen , Florian Wenzel , Marius Kloft , Stephan Mandt
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