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In this paper we propose a Bayesian method as a numerical way to correct and stabilise projection-based reduced order models (ROM) in computational fluid dynamics problems. The approach is of hybrid type, and consists of the classical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Giovanni Stabile , Bojana Rosic

In line with Pomeau's conjecture about the relevance of directed percolation (DP) to turbulence onset/decay in wall-bounded flows, we propose a minimal stochastic model dedicated to the interpretation of the spatially intermittent regimes…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-12-18 Paul Manneville , Masaki Shimizu

We consider optimal signalling and control of discrete-time nonlinear partially observable stochastic systems in state space form. In the first part of the paper, we characterize the operational {\it control-coding capacity}, $C_{FB}$ in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Charalambos D. Charalambous , Stelios Louka

The Koopman and Perron Frobenius transport operators are fundamentally changing how we approach dynamical systems, providing linear representations for even strongly nonlinear dynamics. Although there is tremendous potential benefit of such…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-28 Eurika Kaiser , J. Nathan Kutz , Steven L. Brunton

We study causal waveform estimation (tracking) of time-varying signals in a paradigmatic atomic sensor, an alkali vapor monitored by Faraday rotation probing. We use Kalman filtering, which optimally tracks known linear Gaussian stochastic…

Lagrangian data assimilation exploits the trajectories of moving tracers as observations to recover the underlying flow field. One major challenge in Lagrangian data assimilation is the intrinsic nonlinearity that impedes using exact…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-14 Nan Chen , Shubin Fu

In simulation-based inferences for partially observed Markov process models (POMP), the by-product of the Monte Carlo filtering is an approximation of the log likelihood function. Recently, iterated filtering [14, 13] has originally been…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-26 Dao Nguyen

Resonances of the time evolution (Frobenius-Perron) operator P for phase space densities have recently been shown to play a key role for the interrelations of classical, semiclassical and quantum dynamics. Efficient methods to determine…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Joachim Weber , Fritz Haake , Petr Seba

This paper presents a Carleman-Fourier linearization method for nonlinear dynamical systems with periodic vector fields involving multiple fundamental frequencies. By employing Fourier basis functions, the nonlinear dynamical system is…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-11-19 Panpan Chen , Nader Motee , Qiyu Sun

This paper describes recursive algorithms for state estimation of linear dynamical systems when measurements are noisy with unknown bias and/or outliers. For situations with noisy and biased measurements, algorithms are proposed that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-11 Krishan Mohan Nagpal

This article explores the estimation of parameters and states for linear stochastic systems with deterministic control inputs. It introduces a novel Kalman filtering approach called Kalman Filtering with Correlated Noises Recursive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-11 Abd El Mageed Hag Elamin Khalid

This technical note considers the identification of nonlinear discrete-time systems with additive process noise but without measurement noise. In particular, we propose a method and its associated algorithm to identify the system nonlinear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-04-27 Wei Pan , Ye Yuan , Jorge Gonçalves , Guy-Bart Stan

This paper examines Bayesian belief network inference using simulation as a method for computing the posterior probabilities of network variables. Specifically, it examines the use of a method described by Henrion, called logic sampling,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Homer L. Chin , Gregory F. Cooper

Bayesian inference can be embedded into an appropriately defined dynamics in the space of probability measures. In this paper, we take Brownian motion and its associated Fokker--Planck equation as a starting point for such embeddings and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-09 Sebastian Reich , Simon Weissmann

At the beginning of this century, a real time solution of the nonlinear filtering problem without memory was proposed in [1, 2] by the third author and his collaborator, and it is later on referred to as Yau-Yau algorithm. During the last…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-13 Zeju Sun , Xiuqiong Chen , Stephen S. -T. Yau

A Bayesian data assimilation scheme is formulated for advection-dominated or hyperbolic evolutionary problems, and observations. The method is referred to as the dynamic likelihood filter because it exploits the model physics to dynamically…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-26 Juan M. Restrepo

Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

This paper studies a stochastic algorithm for linearly constrained nonconvex optimization, where the objective function is smooth but only unbiased stochastic gradients with bounded variance are available. We propose a momentum-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Chenyang Qiu , Mihitha Maithripala , Zongli Lin

This paper presents a new numerical scheme for simulating stochastic processes specified by their marginal distribution functions and covariance functions. Stochastic samples are firstly generated to automatically satisfy target marginal…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-11 Zhibao Zheng

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä