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The study of associations and their causal explanations is a central research activity whose methodology varies tremendously across fields. Even within specialized subfields, comparisons across textbooks and journals reveals that the basics…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-13 Sander Greenland

Basketball is often referred to as "a game of runs." We investigate the appropriateness of this claim using data from the full NBA 2016-17 season, comparing actual longest runs of scoring events to what long run theory predicts under the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-22 Mark F. Schilling

In machine learning tasks, especially in the tasks of prediction, scientists tend to rely solely on available historical data and disregard unproven insights, such as experts' opinions, polls, and betting odds. In this paper, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Jafar Habibi , Amir Fazelinia , Issa Annamoradnejad

In this paper, we employ machine learning techniques to analyze seventeen seasons (1999-2000 to 2015-2016) of NBA regular season data from every team to determine the common characteristics among NBA playoff teams. Each team was…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-05 Ikjyot Singh Kohli

The forecasting of sports events is of broad interest from the applied but also from the theoretical perspective. In this work the question is addressed for the example of the German soccer Bundesliga how a theoretically optimum forecast of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-23 Andreas Heuer

This paper presents a study on the prediction of outcomes in matches of the electronic game League of Legends (LoL) using machine learning techniques. With the aim of exploring the ability to predict real-time results, considering different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Jailson B. S. Junior , Claudio E. C. Campelo

The application of Data Science and Analytics to optimize or predict outcomes is Ubiquitous in the Modern World. Data Science and Analytics have optimized almost every domain that exists in the market. In our survey, we focus on how the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-19 Sachin Kumar S , Prithvi HV , C Nandini

In most professional sports, the structure of the environment is kept neutral so that scoring imbalances may be attributed to differences in team skill. It thus remains unknown what impact structural heterogeneities can have on scoring…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-11-04 Sears Merritt , Aaron Clauset

Can one understand the statistics of wins and losses of baseball teams? Are their consecutive-game winning and losing streaks self-reinforcing or can they be described statistically? We apply the Bradley-Terry model, which incorporates the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-25 C. Sire , S. Redner

We investigate the dynamics of football matches. Our goal is to characterize statistically the temporal sequence of ball movements in this collective sport game, searching for traits of complex behavior. Data were collected over a variety…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 R. S. Mendes , L. C. Malacarne , C. Anteneodo

Batting average is one of the principle performance measures for an individual baseball player. It is natural to statistically model this as a binomial-variable proportion, with a given (observed) number of qualifying attempts (called…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Lawrence D. Brown

This study analyzes pass networks in football (soccer) using a stochastic model known as the P\'olya urn. By focusing on preferential selection, it theoretically demonstrates that the time evolution of networks can be characterized by a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-19 Ken Yamamoto

We propose a statistical framework for quantifying the importance of single events that do not provide intermediate rewards but offer implicit incentives through the reward structure at the end of a multi-event contest. Applying the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-07 Daniel Goller , Sandro Heiniger

The Elo algorithm, renowned for its simplicity, is widely used for rating in sports tournaments and other applications. However, despite its widespread use, a detailed understanding of the convergence characteristics of the Elo algorithm is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Daniel Gomes de Pinho Zanco , Leszek Szczecinski , Eduardo Vinicius Kuhn , Rui Seara

World record setting has long attracted public interest and scientific investigation. Extremal records summarize the limits of the space explored by a process, and the historical progression of a record sheds light on the underlying…

Statistical analysis and modeling is becoming increasingly popular for the world's leading organizations, especially for professional NBA teams. Sophisticated methods and models of sport talent evaluation have been created for this purpose.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Andreas Gavros , Foteini Gavrou

In fantasy sports, strategic thinking-not mere luck-often defines who wins and who falls short. As fantasy cricket grows in popularity across India, understanding whether success stems from skill or chance has become both an analytical and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-23 Supratim Das , Sarthak Sarkar , Subhamoy Maitra , Tridib Mukherjee

Social media has emerged as a popular platform for sports fans to express their opinions regarding athletes' performance. Fans consistently hold high expectations for athletes, anticipating exceptional performances week after week. This…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Edinam Kofi Klutse , Samuel Nuamah-Amoabeng , Hanjia Lyu , Jiebo Luo

In many sports, it is commonly believed that the home team has an advantage over the visiting team, known as the home field advantage. Yet its causal effect on team performance is largely unknown. In this paper, we propose a novel causal…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-18 Chen Wang , Katherine Price , Hengrui Cai , Weining Shen , Zhanrui Cai , Guanyu Hu

This paper explores the significant history of professional football and the betting industry, tracing its evolution from clandestine beginnings to a lucrative multi-million-pound enterprise. Initiated by the legalization of gambling in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Purnachandra Mandadapu